It’s a light Monday in the MLB betting market, with only six games on the docket (including just one involving teams that are both north of .500). Even with the truncated schedule, there’s plenty of action happening in the wide, wide world of baseball wagering.
Props.com provides a snippet of that MLB betting action with a breakdown of two games featuring lopsided numbers on the moneyline and total, plus two games in which bettors have differences of opinion on the moneyline and total.
PointsBet USA betting splits updated as of 3:30 p.m. ET. DraftKings betting splits updated as of 4:45 p.m. ET.
All odds updated as of 4:45 p.m. ET.
Lopsided Action (Side)
| Sportsbook | Moneyline Odds | Ticket Percentage | Money Percentage |
|---|---|---|---|
| PointsBet USA | Blue Jays -186/Royals +155 | 88% Blue Jays | 89% Blue Jays |
| DraftKings | Blue Jays -195/Royals +165 | 90% Blue Jays | 86% Blue Jays |
Case for the Blue Jays: 9-2 in their last 11 games, including 5-0 on the road.
Case for the Royals: Home team has won five straight Jays-Royals meetings, and Kansas City is 3-1 in its last four at home vs. Toronto. Also, the Blue Jays are 0-3 in SP Ross Stripling’s last three starts.
Prediction: Toronto wins, 6-2.
Lopsided Action (Total)
| Sportsbook | Total | Ticket Percentage | Money Percentage |
|---|---|---|---|
| PointsBet USA | 7.5 (Over -105/Under -115) | 63% Over | 84% Over |
| DraftKings | 7.5 (Over +100/Under -120) | 77% | 80% |
Case for the Over: Mets are 9-3-1 to the Over in their last 13 games
Case for the Under: Padres are 16-6-1 to the Under at home this season and 8-1-1 to the Under in SP Blake Snell’s last 10 starts. Under has hit in all four of Snell’s career starts against New York.
Prediction: 5 total runs
Two-Way Action (Side)
| Sportsbook | Moneyline Odds | Ticket Percentage | Money Percentage |
|---|---|---|---|
| PointsBet USA | Red Sox -105/Angels -115 | 60% Red Sox | 54% Angels |
Case for the Red Sox: Have won four straight overall, four straight on the road and are 6-1 in SP Michael Wacha’s last eight starts (3-1 on the road)
Case for the Angels: Have won four of their last five games against Boston (2-1 this year). Enter Monday on an 11-game losing skid … and losing 12 in a row is really hard to do. Also, Mike Trout’s 0-for-25 slump is bound to end very soon, and when it does — look out.
Prediction: Boston wins, 5-4.
Two-Way Action (Total)
| Sportsbook | Total | Ticket Percentage | Money Percentage |
|---|---|---|---|
| PointsBet USA | 8 (Over -115/Under -105) | 53% Under | 56% Over |
| DraftKings | 8 (Over -110/Under -110) | 58% Over | 53% Under |
Case for the Over: Mariners are 7-3-1 to the Over in SP Robbie Ray’s starts this season, and Ray has a 5.86 ERA in six road starts. Over is 8-2 in Seattle’s last 10 road games and 7-2 in the last nine Mariners-Astros battles in Houston
Case for the Under: Astros are an MLB-best 39-15 to the Under this season, including 15-5 at home and 3-0 in SP Cristian Javier’s three starts. Seattle and Houston are 5-1 to the Under in their last six meetings.
Prediction: 9 total runs
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