The Bills are gearing up for a showdown against the Kansas City Chiefs on Sunday, Jan 21. This Divisional round game is scheduled to start at 6:30 ET and will be broadcast on CBS. Buffalo comes into this matchup as a 3-point favorite, with the over/under set at 45.5. Will the Bills manage to secure a win as the favorite? Below, you’ll find our Bills vs. Chiefs player props and predictions.
Bills VS. Chiefs Odds
- Spread: Bills -3
- Total 45.5
NFL Player Props Special: Divisional Round
This is a no-brainer NFL prop for NEW USERS of Underdog Fantasy for the Divisional Round.
Our partners at Underdog Fantasy are offering a promotion that allows you to take Patrick Mahomes over 0.5 total yards.
- New customers can also get up to a $100 deposit bonus with promo code PROPS.
- You can pair this with one of the aforementioned props or use our NFL cheat sheets for help.
- This presents a fantastic opportunity to boost your bankroll.
To redeem this exclusive offer, simply click here or the banner below.
Game Info
- Date: Sunday, Jan 21
- Time: 6:30 ET
- Location: Highmark Stadium, Orchard Park NY
- TV: CBS
Chiefs Betting Trends
- Over their last five games, the Chiefs have an over/under record of 1-4 and are 3-1-1 vs. the spread.
- When looking at their past five road matchups, Kansas City has an ATS record of 2-2-1 while averaging 19 per game. The team went 3-2 overall in these games.
- In their last five games as the betting underdog, the Chiefs have a strong straight-up record of 4-1. In addition, their ATS record was 4-1 in these scenarios.
Bills Betting Trends
- In their last five games, the Bills have an over/under record of 2-3 and are 3-2 vs. the spread.
- Through their last ten home games, Buffalo has an ATS record of just 5-5. However, their overall record was 6-4 while averaging 25 points per game.
- The Bills have played well in their last three games as the betting favorite, going 3-0 straight up and 2-1 against the spread.
Can Kansas City Pull Off a Road Win?
As the Divisional Round approaches, Kansas City is in 1st place in the AFC-West, coming in with an overall record of 11-6. In the AFC, they currently reside in 3rd place. Looking at their ATS performance so far, the Chiefs are above .500 at 10-7-1. Their average scoring margin is +5.3.
In their last game, the Chiefs welcomed the Dolphins. The game finished in a 26-7 win for the Chiefs. Being favored by 4.5 points against the Dolphins, the Chiefs came through with an ATS win. The pre-game over/under line in their most recent game vs. Miami was 43.5. The teams fell short of this figure with 33 points.
On offense, Patrick Mahomes ended with 262 passing yards on a completion rate of 56%. On the ground, the Chiefs ran the ball 34 times, amassing 147 yards. The team converted 6 third-downs at a rate of 40%.
On defense, the Chiefs are giving up an average of 177.2 passing yards per game and 111.2. In terms of sacks, Kansas City is 2nd among other defenses, and they are giving up 16.7 points per game and 288.3 yards.
Can the Bills Live Up to the Hype at Home?
Looking at the AFC-East standings, the Bills are in 1st place on a record of 11-6. In the AFC, Buffalo is in 2nd place heading into the Divisional round. When it comes to the spread, the Bills have an 8-10 record. This year, their scoring margin is at +8.6 (per game).
The Bills came out on top in their last contest against the Steelers, winning with a final score of 31-17. Heading into the game, the Bills were favored by 10. Their 14-point win was enough to cover the spread. Combining for 48 points with Pittsburgh, the teams exceeded the over/under line of 39.
Against the Steelers, the Bills ran the ball 34 times, with James Cook as the primary rusher, accumulating 79 yards. Josh Allen attempted 30 passes, amassing 203 yards and a passer rating of 121.
When it comes to turnovers, the Buffalo defense has forced 30 takeaways, putting them 2nd in the NFL. Overall, they are allowing 18.2 points per game and yielding 308.1 yards.
Bills vs. Chiefs Player Prop
Buffalo quarterback Josh Allen’s passing yards prop is 231.5. Based on the odds, he has a 54% chance of surpassing this figure and his under payout is -116.
So far, Allen has thrown for 4306 yards on 579 attempts. Overall, he has completed 66.5% of his passes for a passer rating of 92.2. With the Chief’s defense coming in as an above-average group at getting off the field on third down, I’m leaning toward the under at 231.5 passing yards. In this game, the Bills offense could end up having a lot of short drives, making it tough for Josh Allen to surpass his prop.
- The Prop: Josh Allen Under 231.5 Passing Yards (-116)
Bills VS. Chiefs Predictions
Buffalo initially opened as 2.5 point favorites on their home turf. The lines have shifted in their favor, now standing at -3.
With the Bills coming in as 3-point favorites, we like them to not only pick up the win and cover the spread. Coming off both a straight-up and ATS win, look for the Bills to do so once again vs. the Chiefs.
The Pick: Bills -3 | +101 at Fanduel Sportsbook