Lions vs. Buccaneers Player Props & Predictions – Sunday, Jan. 21

Detroit Lions tight end Sam LaPorta (87) celebrates after catching a touchdown pass against the Atlanta Falcons in the second quarter at Ford Field.
Image Credit: Lon Horwedel-USA TODAY Sports

The Lions are all set to face off against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers on Sunday, Jan 21. This Divisional round game is slated to kick off at 3:00 ET and will be shown on NBC. Detroit enters this contest as 6.5-point favorites, and the over/under total stands at 48.5. Can the Buccaneers come out on top as the favorite? Our Lions vs. Buccaneers player props and predictions can be found below.

Lions VS. Buccaneers Odds

  • Spread: Lions -6.5
  • Total 48.5

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Game Info

  • Date: Sunday, Jan 21
  • Time: 3:00 ET
  • Location: Ford Field, Detroit MI
  • TV: NBC

Buccaneers Betting Trends

  • Over their last five games, the Buccaneers have an over/under record of 1-4 and are 4-1 vs. the spread.
  • Tampa Bay has played well in their previous three road games, going 3-0 straight up. In this stretch, they averaged 24 points per game while allowing 15. The team also performed well vs the spread at 3-0.
  • Through their last five games as the underdog, the Buccaneers have an ATS record of 4-1 and a straight-up mark of 4-1.

Lions Betting Trends

  • In their last five games, the Lions have an over/under record of 4-1 and are 2-3 vs. the spread.
  • In their last five home games, Detroit has averaged 27 points per game while allowing 27. The team’s record in this stretch was 3-2 while going 4-1 vs. the spread.
  • Detroit has done well both straight up and vs the spread when favored to win the game, going 4-1 SU and 4-1 ATS in their last five games.

Can the Buccaneers Lock in a Road Win?

Coming into this playoff matchup, the Buccaneers have a record of 9-8. This puts them at 1st in the NFC-South and 4th in the NFC. Tampa Bay’s scoring margin up to this point is currently at +2.6. The team comes in with an ATS mark of 12-6.

The Buccaneers are coming off a successful game, where they beat the Eagles with a score of 32-9. The Buccaneers not only won straight-up but also covered the spread as 2.5-point underdogs. In their most recent game, the over/under line was 43 points. By combining for 41 points, the under hit.

Versus the Eagles, the Buccaneers turned to the run 29 times, and it was Richard White who led the way with 72 yards. Meanwhile, Baker Mayfield finished with 36 pass attempts, resulting in 337 yards and a passer rating of 119.

With a matchup against the Lions’ offense, the Buccaneers defense has allowed an average of 18.6 points per game so far. They currently are 20th in quarterback hits and are allowing 340.4 yards per contest.

Can Detroit Pull Out the Win as Home Favorites?

Heading into the Divisional round, Detroit is in 1st place in the NFC-North with a 12-5 record. Within the NFC, they find themselves in 3rd place. When it comes to the spread, the Lions have a 12-6 record. For the season, their scoring margin is at +3.7 (per game).

The Lions had the Rams as their opponent in the Wild Card Round. This game ended in a 24-23 win for the Lions. Despite winning the game, the Lions did not cover the spread vs. the Rams, as they were favored by 3.5. In the Lions’ latest game, the under bettors were correct as the teams totaled 47 points, below the line of 53 points.

Against the Rams, the Lions ran the ball 25 times, with David Montgomery as the top rusher, gaining 57 yards. Jared Goff attempted 27 passes, amassing 277 yards and a passer rating of 121.

Looking at Detroit’s defense, they currently stand 23rd in points allowed. Opponents have been averaging 23.2 points per game and 341.1 yards per contest against them.

Lions vs. Buccaneers Player Prop

Going up against the Lions, Mike Evans has a receiving yards player prop of 69.5 yards. The current payout for taking the over is -122, indicating implied odds of 55%.

Mike Evans is currently ranked 9th in terms of receiving yards among receivers, totaling 1255 yards. Throughout 17 games, he has been targeted 8.0 times per contest. In terms of fantasy production, he is 8th in fantasy points for his position. I find Evans’ prop to be set too high, especially given that the Buccaneers have a below-average rate of pass attempts. Therefore, I’m leaning towards the under, which is at 69.5 yards.

  • The Prop: Mike Evans Under 69.5 Receiving Yards (-111)

Lions VS. Buccaneers Predictions

Since the lines were initially set, Detroit has moved from -6 point favorites to their current line of -6.5 (-112). On the other hand, Tampa Bay currently finds themselves as +6.5 (-110) point underdogs on the road.

With the Lions coming off a game in which they racked up 23 first downs on offense, I like them to ride that momentum to a big win over the Buccaneers. I recommend locking in the Lions at 6.5.

The Pick: Lions -6.5 | -112 at Fanduel Sportsbook