Best Luka Doncic Prop Bets vs. Denver Nuggets – Monday, December 18

Dec 14, 2023; Dallas, Texas, USA; Dallas Mavericks guard Luka Doncic (77) runs back up the court after making a three point shot against the Minnesota Timberwolves during the first quarter at the American Airlines Center.
Image Credit: Jerome Miron-USA TODAY Sports

For each game of the NBA season, we provide the best Luka Doncic prop bets. Doncic’s next game is Monday, December 18 against the Denver Nuggets.

Best Luka Doncic Player Props Bets vs. the Denver Nuggets

As the Dallas Mavericks prepare to face off against the Denver Nuggets, all eyes are on Luka Doncic, whose performance continues to fuel MVP conversations. Doncic has been on a tear recently, and his ability to score, distribute, and control the game will be critical for the Mavericks, especially with key players like Kyrie Irving sidelined due to injury. The Nuggets, known for their home-court advantage, will test Doncic’s leadership and versatility in what promises to be a high-stakes matchup.

Luka Doncic Over 9.5 Assists (-166)

Luka Doncic’s assists prop is set at 9.5, and there’s a strong case for the over hitting in this matchup. Statistically, Doncic has been dishing out assists at a high rate, averaging 10.6 assists over the last 10 games, which is above the line set for this game. His recent form shows even more promise, with an average of 11.2 assists in the last 5 games, indicating an 80% hit rate for the over. This uptrend in playmaking is crucial for the Mavericks, especially with the absence of other key playmakers like Kyrie Irving, which means Doncic will likely take on an even larger role in facilitating the offense against the Nuggets.

Luka Doncic Over 45.5 Points & Assists (-105)

The Points & Assists prop for Luka Doncic is another area where the over seems likely to hit. The line is set at 45.5, and Doncic’s recent performances suggest he’s up for the challenge. Over the last 10 games, he’s averaged 46.2 in these combined categories, showing a 60% hit rate for the over. The narrative supports this as well; with the Mavericks missing several key players, Doncic’s usage rate is expected to be high, and he will be the focal point of the offense. His ability to score in bunches, combined with his role as the primary distributor, positions him well to exceed this prop against a Nuggets team that will be focused on containing him.

All Luka Doncic Player Prop Picks for Monday, Dec 18

Player Name Prop Line Over Rate Over Odds Under Odds Last 10 Average Projection Our Pick
Luka Doncic Points 34.5 6/10 -120 -110 35.6 35.32 Over
Luka Doncic Rebounds 9.5 4/10 -135 +105 8.7 8.07 Under
Luka Doncic Assists 9.5 6/10 -166 +130 10.6 10.90 Over
Luka Doncic Three Pointers 3.5 4/10 -110 -120 3.5 3.47 Under
Luka Doncic Points, Rebounds & Assists 55.5 6/10 -110 -120 54.9 54.38 Under
Luka Doncic Points & Rebounds 44.5 5/10 -125 -105 44.3 43.69 Under
Luka Doncic Points & Assists 45.5 6/10 -105 -125 46.2 45.90 Over
Luka Doncic Rebounds & Assists 19.5 5/10 -130 +100 19.3 18.98 Under

Luka Doncic Stats for the 2023/24 NBA Season

  • Points Per Game
    • Season: 32.67
    • Away: 31.15
    • vs. Denver Nuggets: 34.0
  • Rebounds Per Game
    • Season: 8.29
    • Away: 7.77
    • vs. Denver Nuggets: 10.0
  • Assists Per Game
    • Season: 9.12
    • Away: 8.0
    • vs. Denver Nuggets: 8.0

Game Info

  • Date: Monday, Dec. 18
  • Time: 09:00 PM
  • Location: Ball Arena – Denver, CO
  • TV: NBA TV