Each week, Props.com selects five intriguing player and/or team NBA Props from a busy night of action. Then, we do what we do best: Provide in-depth analysis that you can choose to use (or not use!) for wagering purposes. Here are our five favorite Wednesday NBA Props from a slate of 11 games.
Odds via DraftKings and updated as of 4:15 p.m. ET on Feb. 16.
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Atlanta Hawks: PG Trae Young
The Prop: 9.5 assists (at Orlando)
The Odds: Over -130/Under -105
Some strong stats support the juice to the Over for this Wednesday NBA props offering, as Young has registered double-digit assists in more than half of his games (28 of 51). That includes a five-game streak of 10-plus dimes that ended last night at home against Cleveland when he finished with … nine.
Young also has done a stellar job setting up his teammates on the road of late, averaging 10.4 assists in his last 10 games as a visitor. During this stretch, the Oklahoma product notched double-digit dimes seven times (10, 11, 13, 14, 14, 11, and 11).
On the flip side, Young hasn’t exactly been an assist machine in recent matchups against tonight’s opponent. In fact, Young has fallen short of this prop number in five straight encounters with Orlando, posting 8, 7, 7, 4 and 6 assists (the latter two coming this season).
Given the Hawks played Tuesday, this is also noteworthy: Young has averaged 8.5 assists in eight previous back-to-back situations this season … but he topped double digits on three of those occasions (13 at Toronto, 11 at Minnesota, 13 at Washington).
Tonight represents Young’s third game in four nights, all in a different city. But while his double-digit assist streak ended last night at five, this is still true: The last time he went consecutive games without 10 or more dimes was Jan. 21 and 23 — a stretch of 10 contests.
Editor’s Note: New to NBA player props? Check out our complete NBA Prop Betting Guide to get up to speed!
Brooklyn Nets: SG Seth Curry
The Prop: 2.5 made 3-pointers (at N.Y. Knicks)
The Odds: Over -115/Under -115
We typically steer clear of NBA props involving recently traded players. However, in the next two cases , we’re happy to make an exception.
With Ben Simmons still getting into game shape in Brooklyn following a three-month holdout in Philadelphia — and with Kevin Durant (knee sprain) and Kyrie Irving (COVID protocols) sidelined tonight — Curry commands the bulk of the spotlight with his new Nets teammates.
Just look at what happened in his Brooklyn debut Monday: Curry drained 3 of 8 triples. Of equal importance, the Duke/Liberty alum buried 10 of 18 overall shots, finishing with 23 points in barely 32 minutes to help the Nets snap an 11-game losing skid.
Admittedly, Curry struggled from beyond the arc during his final days with the 76ers, making just 10 of 38 attempts (26.3%) in seven games. And sank three or more treys just once in those seven outings. However, he’s still cleared this prop number in 17 games and finished with exactly two 3-pointers 18 times.
The Knicks have held Curry in check this season, allowing him to drill just 2 of 10 triples. But again, Curry wasn’t the focal point of the offense in those contests. He will be tonight, and the fact remains New York is permitting the seventh-most 3-pointers this season (13.1 per game).
Indiana Pacers: PG Tyrese Haliburton
The Prop: 29.5 points/rebounds/assists (vs. Washington)
The Odds: Over -115/Under -115
Since joining the Pacers last week via trade with Sacramento, Haliburton has stealthily averaged 34.7 points/rebounds/assists in three games. He topped this Wednesday NBA props number in two of those contests and nearly did it a third time (17 points, eight assists, four rebounds last night against Milwaukee).
Also, in his final five outings with the Kings, Haliburton averaged 32.2 PRAs, getting to at least 30 on three occasions.
Does the fact Haliburton has cleared 29.5 PRAs in five of his last eight games make him a solid choice to do it again tonight versus the Wizards? In the immortal words of Kool-Aid Man … OOOH, YEAH!!!
Here’s a big reason why: In Washington’s last eight games, the opposing team’s No. 1 playmaking guard — Cade Cunningham, De’Aaron Fox, Kyrie Irving, Kyle Lowry, Chris Paul, Tyrese Maxey, Jrue Holiday, and Ja Morant — averaged 30.8 PRAs. During this stretch, the 29.5 total was eclipsed four times (32, 42, 37, and 39 credits).
Additionally, Haliburton has seven or more assists in 13 of his last 15 games. The one negative? In those 15 contests, Haliburton yanked down four or more rebounds just seven times.
How did Haliburton do back on Dec. 15 when the Kings hosted Washington? Eight points, nine assists, eight rebounds. What are his points/rebounds/assists totals in back-to-back situations this season? In chronological order: 31, 21, 24, 16, 39, 24, 31, 31, 21 and 22.
Utah Jazz: C Rudy Gobert
The Prop: 11.5 rebounds (at L.A. Lakers)
The Odds: Over -150/Under +115
In 22 games from Nov. 29 to Jan. 23, Gobert cleared tonight’s 11.5 total a staggering 18 times. And two of the three times he fell short, he landed on 11 total rebounds.
The only thing that could slow down Gobert was an injury, which cost him nine games from Jan. 24 through Friday. Despite the long layoff, Gobert still managed to grab seven boards (all defensive) in his return to action Monday against Houston.
The Frenchman has been a force on the glass in opposing gyms lately, too, snagging 12-plus rebounds in seven of his last eight road games (18, 16, 19, 17, 14, 13, 11 and 21). That 16-rebound effort? It came Jan. 17 in Los Angeles against the Lakers.
Speaking of the Lakers: They rank 27th in rebounds yielded to the opposition (47.2 per game) and 25th in offensive rebounds allowed (11.2 per contest).
So hammer the Over on this Wednesday NBA props offering, despite the heavy juice, right? Maybe not. After all, Gobert played less than 22 minutes against Houston on Monday. That’s a far cry from the 32-plus minutes he averaged in eight straight contests before getting hurt.
Will Gobert remain on a minutes restriction tonight? If so, that could put a dent into his expected rebounding output.
Denver Nuggets: C Nikola Jokic
The Prop: 25.5 points (at Golden State)
The Odds: Over -105/Under -120
You don’t have to dig too deep to unearth how bookmakers came up with this Wednesday NBA props number: It virtually mirror’s Jokic’s scoring average this season (25.8).
Also, he’s scored at least 26 points in 27 of 51 games. And he’s tallied exactly 25 three times. But when you turn the focus to more recent results, you see this: Jokic is merely averaging 24.7 points in his last seven games. To be fair, during this stretch, the reigning NBA MVP eclipsed this total four different times (28, 29, 26, and 28 points). However, not by much each time.
Furthermore, Jokic hasn’t fared well in recent meetings against the Warriors, averaging just 22.8 points in the last four clashes. That includes exactly 22 points on Dec. 28, the only other time Denver and Golden State have squared off this season.
The Warriors enter Wednesday ranked second in field-goal defense (43.2%) and fourth in scoring defense (allowing 103.5 ppg). On top of that, Jokic has accounted for just 20.8 percent of the Nuggets’ scoring output in their last four road games. We bring that up because for the season, 23.4 percent of the Nuggets’ total points have come courtesy of their big man.
