Tuesday’s Best Bets went 2-1 on the night, and the great musician Meat Loaf put it best when he said: “two out of three ain’t bad”.
In sports betting, two out of three is considered mastery. If we hit two out of three bets in perpetuity, we’ll be sipping Piña Coladas on an island by November.
Of course, a 66 percent hit rate is impossible to maintain over the long haul in the sports betting universe, but our Best Bets series is clicking at 53 percent overall. That’s slightly positive value, even when factoring in juice (both plus and minus).
Our NBA Props have started like a bat of out hell (hey, it’s a Meat Loaf callback!) with a 20-8 record to this point. We’ll do the math for you: That’s a nearly 71.5 percent cash rate! We have another NBA Prop teed up Wednesday alongside two other NBA picks.
Are you tired of us referencing a late classic rock singer who was named after a mediocre entrée? That’s what we thought. Let’s cut to the chase and dive into Wednesday’s Best Bets!
Best Bets Track Record
Tuesday: 2-1
Year-To-Date: 59-52-1
Bostonian vs. The Book: 14-19-1
BetPrep Prop of the Day: 17-19
NBA Props: 20-8
NHL Props: 6-6
MLB Props: 1-0
MLB Sides: 1-0
NBA First Quarter Spread: Brooklyn Nets vs Boston Celtics
The bet: Nets +1 First Quarter Spread (at Boston)
The odds: -115
Where to bet: Caesars Sportsbook
From: Matt Perrault via The Bostonian Vs. The Book podcast
After misfiring on the Timberwolves-Grizzlies Over on Tuesday, Matt Perrault of The Bostonian Vs. The Book podcast is switching gears a bit with his latest Best Bet. The Bostonian is wagering against his hometown Celtics, at least in the first 12 minutes of Wednesday’s Game 2 clash with Brooklyn. He’s backing the Nets +1 in the first quarter.
“I think Keven Durant has a big first quarter,” said Perrault. “Everything will be in transition. KD will get wide-open threes on the wing.”
Dave Sharapan, co-host of the podcast, agreed on all accounts, supporting the wager and the analysis behind it.
“I think you get Brooklyn and Durant’s best game right now,” said Sharapan. “You’re getting everything in the arsenal tonight.”
Durant shot just 9-for-24 from the field in Game 1 on Sunday, but the Bostonian vs. The Book crew believes the All-Star will come through early and often for the Nets in Game 2. Early is the operative word here, as Perrault and Sharapan believe Brooklyn will get out of the starting blocks fast while trying to avenge a heartbreaking Game 1 loss.
If you’re on board with this Best Bet, you can find the Nets +1 in the first quarter against at -115 at Caesars Sportsbook.
NBA Prop: F Jaylen Brown (Boston Celtics)
The bet: Over 3.5 assists (vs. Brooklyn)
The odds: -130
Where to bet: DraftKings Sportsbook
From: Spencer Limbach via NBA Props Wednesday
Jayson Tatum hit the buzzer-beater for Boston in Game 1. Kyrie Irving’s antics wrote the headlines. Every pundit around the world is calling for a Kevin Durant bounce back in Game 2. But who is talking about Jaylen Brown?
Brown has been overshadowed by the aforementioned talking points, but he has one of the most intriguing NBA props for Game 2 of Nets-Celtics. And it’s related not to his points or rebounding totals, but rather his assists.
Consider:
- Brown has notched more than three assists in six of his last seven games. The lone exception: Game 1 against Brooklyn, when he landed on three helpers.
- Brown played nearly 40 minutes in Game 1 Sunday and the Celtics needed every second to eke out the one-point win. So expect another heavy workload for Game 2.
- Despite falling just short of this prop Sunday, Brown is still averaging five assists against Brooklyn this season. And that includes a goose egg in the first meeting in November.
The Celtics are an excellent passing team, and I’m expecting Brown to do his part in that department on Wednesday. It doesn’t hurt that this is expected to be another high-scoring contest (226 Over/Under).
That means Brown should have plenty of opportunities to feed his teammates the basketball and get Over this modest prop number.
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NBA Prop: PG Kyrie Irving (Brooklyn Nets)
The bet: Over 5.5 assists (at Boston)
The odds: -125
Where to bet: FanDuel Sportsbook
From: BetPrep Prop of the Day via BetPrep.com
Monday’s BetPrep Prop of the Day was another winner, marking six straight cashes when including the weekend picks from @BetProps on Instagram and TikTok.
The folks at BetPrep will try to extend that streak on Wednesday by selecting Nets guard Kyrie Irving Over 5.5 assists in Game 2 of the first round series with the Boston Celtics.
Here’s the rationale behind this Best Bet:
- Irving has recorded six-plus assists in six of his last seven games overall
- He’s also done so in each of his last five road games, and six of his last eight against a team with a winning record
- Irving has cleared this assist prop in both games against the Celtics this season, finishing with exactly six in each contest.
FanDuel Sportsbook has Irving Over 5.5 assists at -125 odds.
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