It all comes down to this. The NBA Finals are here, and you better believe our Celtics vs Warriors player props are here as well.
The Warriors were able to even the series at one game apiece, but now things shift to Boston. The Celtics will be looking to grab control on the home court, and they’re currently listed as 3.5-point favorites. They’ve also moved to slight -115 favorites to win the series on DraftKings Sportsbook.
Let’s dive into our top Warriors vs Celtics player props for Game 3. We’ll feature a pair of value-based player props from both squads.
Odds via DraftKings and updated as of 12:30 p.m. ET on June 8.
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Warriors vs Celtics Player Props
Golden State Warriors SG Jordan Poole
The prop: 12.5 points
The odds: Over -125/Under +100
On the surface, this number feels thin for Poole. He averaged 18.5 points per game during the regular season, and he averaged at least 16.4 points per game in each of his first three playoff series. He also racked up 17 points in his last outing.
However, Poole played just 22.6 minutes in Game 2 vs. the Celtics, which ranked merely fourth among the Warriors’ backcourt options. That includes playing the entire fourth quarter of a blowout victory, which is when Poole scored eight of his points.
Those are significant red flags about Poole’s workload moving forward. The Warriors don’t necessarily need his scoring – Steph Curry, Klay Thompson, and Andrew Wiggins should have them covered – and Gary Payton II is a better fit for the team on defense. Poole could be held under 20 minutes if Game 3 is more competitive, and it’s going to be hard for him to hit the over with such minimal playing time.
I’ll roll the dice on the under at even money.
Editor’s Note: New to NBA player props? Check out our complete NBA prop betting guide to get up to speed!
Golden State Warriors PF Draymond Green
The prop: 5.5 assists
The odds: Over -155/Under +115
The over on Green’s assist prop has been juiced way up, but it’s still providing excellent value. Green averaged seven assists per game during the regular season, and he’s handed out at least six dimes in three of his past four games. NBA.com credited him with nine potential assists in his last contest, and his teammates are among the most efficient finishers in the league.
Green was also barely needed in the fourth quarter of his last contest, finishing with just one assist over the final 12 minutes. That likely won’t be the case on Wednesday, so he should have more opportunities to make plays.
Boston Celtics PG Marcus Smart
The prop: 5.5 assists
The odds: +115/Under -155
The odds on Smart’s assist prop are the inverse of Green, with the over available at +115. That’s an appealing number for the Celtics point guard.
Smart averaged a career-best 5.9 assists per game during the regular season, and he’s been even better during the playoffs. He’s increased his output to 6.0 assists per game, even though he’s dealing with a recent injury.
Smart has played a minor role through the first two games of this series, but he is no longer listed on the injury report. He was playing closer to 40 minutes per game before getting injured, and it’s possible that he returns to that level of playing time on Wednesday. He managed five assists in just 25.1 minutes in his last outing, so that would be an excellent development for his assist upside.
I’m happy to grab the over at better than even money.
Boston Celtics SF Jayson Tatum
The prop: 27.5 points
The odds: Over -125/Under +100
Tatum was dreadful in his first NBA Finals game, which was to be expected. It’s the biggest stage for a basketball player, so he was always going to deal with some nerves. He bounced back nicely in Game 2, finishing with 28 points on 8-19 shooting from the field with six 3-pointers.
Tatum is likely due for some regression from behind the arc in Game 3, but he should make up for it with increased volume. Tatum played just one minute in the fourth quarter of Game 2, and he finished with just 34.3 minutes overall. He played nearly 41.6 minutes in Game 1, and Tatum has routinely played around 42 minutes per game during the playoffs. If he’s capable of scoring 28 points in 34.3 minutes, I have zero doubts that he can do it in 42.
Let’s grab this number while we still can.
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