There’s a chance that you’ve heard of Underdog Fantasy. Whether it’s their infamous best ball fantasy drafts or their pick’em prop challenges, Underdog has something for everyone. This article will focus on the second part of that, uncovering some of the best Underdog Fantasy NBA Picks for Friday, October 29.
If you haven’t played on Underdog Fantasy yet, then fear not! Getting started is very simple:
- Create an account on Underdog Fantasy.
- Use the promo code PROPS to claim an extra $10 on your first deposit.
- Go to the Pick’em Games.
- Make two or more selections to receive a correlated payout of 3x, 6x, 10x, 20x.
It’s pretty fun, and Underdog Fantasy is available in most states except for the following: Arizona, Connecticut, Hawaii, Idaho, Nevada, Louisiana, Montana, Washington, Delaware, and Iowa.
We went 4-1 in yesterday’s article, so let’s look to keep the momentum in these Underdog Fantasy NBA picks for Friday!
Mo Bamba OVER 23.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists
Bamba is finally getting the playing time he deserves, averaging 31 minutes across his first five contests of the season. Needless to say, this has been a boon to his stats, as he’s averaging 14 points, 8 rebounds, and 2 assists per contest.
When we hold this points + rebounds + assists total under the microscope, things look even better. Bamba has exceeded this mark in four of five games this season. His lone miss came in a blowout loss against Miami. Foul trouble and general inconsistencies got to him in that outing.
Mo Bamba, Most Improved Player award incoming 🔥#MagicTogether pic.twitter.com/MHJ4gB8EXm
— Kenny Morales (@KennyMoralesTV) October 21, 2021
The matchup against Toronto doesn’t look too shabby either. The Raptors currently rank 25th in defensive efficiency to centers and 29th in rebound rate. In other words, this is the type of game where Bamba could absolutely feast.
Finally, I always like to compare sportsbook lines whenever hunting for props on Underdog Fantasy. DraftKings Sportsbook has Bamba’s 23.5 PRA line set with the over at -130 juice. That gives us a little extra value on Underdog.
Jusuf Nurkic UNDER 28.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists
Nurkic is more than capable of smashing this “PRA” total. However, he’s extremely inconsistent with his production. Let’s break it down.
Looking through his BetPrep Player Page, and there’s plenty of evidence to support a bet to the under. Nurkic has exceeded this total in just 13 of his last 41 games. Yikes! That’s only a 23.93% clip.
The Portland big man has gone over 28.5 PRA in just one of four games this season. That came in a soft matchup against the Kings, who were one of the worst frontcourt defenses last season. In three games since then, Nurkic is averaging just 21.3 PRA.
This isn’t exactly a smash spot for Nurkic either, as the Clippers rank first in defensive efficiency to centers this season. He only came through with 15 PRA against this same Los Angeles team earlier this week.
Add it all up, and the under looks like a fantastic pick.
LaMelo Ball UNDER 28.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists
I mentioned yesterday that I must’ve woken up on the skeptical side of the bed. Well, I guess my sleeping habits haven’t changed!
Truth be told, there seems to be plenty of value to the under when taking a glance across the Underdog Fantasy NBA picks board. Casual gamers tend to prefer the over, so I’m not sure if these lines are fattened with that in mind.
Regardless, our tools are screaming value to the under, and Lonzo Ball’s 28.5 PRA total is no different. Here’s why I like this pick:
- DraftKings has Ball listed at 28.5 PRA as well. However, the under stands at a whopping -140 with the over checking in at +110. I always love a little extra juice squeezed into my Underdog Fantasy NBA picks.
- Ball has achieved this total in just one of four games this season. That came in a wild shootout against Boston, a game environment that will be difficult to replicate.
- Terry Rozier is questionable for this game. If he plays, then he’ll eat into Ball’s usage. If Rozier is out, I still like the under.
I have nothing against LaMelo as a player, but this situation just screams value to the under.
Nickeil Alexander-Walker OVER 24.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists
Hey, what do you know…we finally have another over! Alexander-Walker’s write-up mirrors that of Bamba earlier in the article. The New Orleans’ guard has seen a nice boost in playing time for a squad that desperately needs him to produce.
That especially holds true with Zion Williamson still sidelined for the Pelicans.
would buy every Nickeil Alexander-Walker NFT on the market right now if he minted himself. a Swiss Army Knife of moves on display this first half. holy smokes.
— Rob Perez (@WorldWideWob) October 21, 2021
Alexander-Walker has answered that call with enthusiasm so far. He has sailed over this total in three of five games this season. His two misses predictably came in tough matchups against the Hawks and Bulls.
That shouldn’t be a problem tonight. Alexander-Walker will take on Sacramento, who ranks dead last in defensive efficiency to opposing shooting guards. I don’t believe that’s a mirage either, as the Kings ranked second to last in that category last season.
Fred VanVleet UNDER 30.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists
Once again, I’m a huge fan of getting relative value compared to the sportsbook prices. That’s the case with Fred VanVleet tonight, as DraftKings has him listed at 29.5 PRA with -115 juice to the under. I’ll gladly take that extra point.
VanVleet has fallen under this total in three of five games this season. Zooming out, he’s 24-26 to the over in his last 50 games. There’s always a chance we’ll see a scoring explosion from VanVleet, but that hasn’t really been his role to start the year.
Orlando ranks above-average in defensive efficiency to opposing backcourts, so this matchup isn’t exactly a cakewalk. On top of that, both of these teams rank bottom-ten in pace, meaning there will be fewer opportunities to go around.
