Each weekday, Props.com selects five intriguing player and/or team NBA props from a busy night of action. Then, we do what we do best: Provide in-depth analysis that you can choose to use (or not use!) for wagering purposes.
Props.com compared the top platforms to find that DraftKings Sportsbook has the most robust offerings for NBA Props. They also have a generous welcome offer for new members (see below).
With that, let’s dive into our top NBA Props for Tuesday’s six-game slate.
Odds via DraftKings Sportsbook updated as of 12 p.m. ET on Mar. 8.
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Brooklyn Nets: F Kevin Durant
The prop: 41.5 points + rebounds + assists
The odds: Over -120/Under -115
Durant recently returned to the lineup following a 21-game absence, but the Nets don’t have the luxury of easing him back into action. They’re currently in ninth place in the Eastern Conference, so there’s not much wiggle room as far as playoff positioning goes. Brooklyn needs to push incredibly hard over the season’s final month to avoid the play-in tournament.
Durant logged 35.8 minutes in his first game back, and he followed that up with 38.9 minutes in his second game. The Nets will benefit from playing on the road vs. the Hornets, which means Durant will have running mate Kyrie Irving in the lineup. (The unvaccinated Irving still isn’t allowed to play in home games.) Even with the explosive Irving at his side, Durant can do a whole lot of damage himself in nearly 40 minutes of playing time. He’s averaged 29.5 points, 7.3 boards, and 5.8 assists per game in 36.5 minutes this season. That’s 42.6 points, rebounds, and assists as a baseline.
Durant also benefits from a tremendous matchup. The Hornets have played at the second-fastest pace this season and rank 20th in defensive efficiency. That’s a great combination for scoring, and the Nets’ implied team total of 121.25 on Tuesday represents a significant increase from their season average of 110.8.
Phoenix Suns: SG/SF Mikal Bridges
The prop: 25.5 points + rebounds + assists
The odds: Over -110/Under -120
The Suns are in rough shape at the moment. Not only are Chris Paul and Devin Booker sidelined, but they’ll also be without Cam Johnson on Tuesday. That’s going to open up plenty of minutes and opportunities for the rest of the roster.
However, Bridges is not the type of player who figures to benefit. He’s out there to play defense and knock down 3-pointers regardless of who he’s sharing the court with. He’s played 101 minutes this season with Booker, Paul, and Johnson off the floor this season, and he’s seen just a +0.9% usage rate bump in that situation. His assist rate stays exactly the same, and his rebound rate actually decreases.
That makes him the perfect candidate for an Under bet. Bridges has gone Under 25.5 PRA in four of his past five games, and I really have no clue why this line is so high. Let’s take advantage.
Cleveland Cavaliers: PF Evan Mobley
The prop: 10.5 rebounds
The odds: Over -105/Under -125
Mobley is having an excellent rookie season, and he’s emerged as a sizable favorite to take home the Rookie of the Year award. That said, his candidacy is based more on the Cavaliers’ success than his own numbers. He’s averaging 14.6 points, 8.2 rebounds, and 2.6 assists per game, and while those are solid marks, they don’t exactly scream Rookie of the Year.
Grabbing the under on 10.5 boards stands out as an excellent value. Mobley has grabbed 11 or more rebounds in just 11 of 56 games this season, meaning he’s hit the under on his current prop in more than 80% of his games. The under being listed at -125 is pure larceny.
New Orleans Pelicans: PF/C Jaxson Hayes
The prop: 15.5 points + rebounds
The odds: Over -105/Under -130
Hayes was the No. 8 pick in the 2019 NBA Draft, and he’s started to find his footing with the Pelicans. It helps that Zion Williamson may never play basketball again – at least for the Pelicans – which has allowed Hayes to slide in as the team’s starting power forward. Instead of having to compete with Jonas Valanciunas for minutes, Hayes has played alongside him of late.
That’s done wonders for his production. He disappointed in his last game, finishing with just six points and six rebounds, but he’s still averaged 11.1 points and 5.9 boards over his past eight games. In 10 games as a member of the starting lineup, he’s averaged 12.3 points and 7.1 rebounds. This is a nice opportunity to buy low on Hayes in a pace-up spot vs. the Grizzlies.
Los Angeles Clippers: F Nicolas Batum
The prop: 7.5 points
The odds: Over +100/Under -125
The Clippers are another team that has been decimated by injuries of late. They’ve already been without Kawhi Leonard and Paul George for most of the season, and they also lost their big trade deadline acquisition in Norman Powell. Robert Covington will also miss Tuesday’s contest due to personal reasons.
Even with all those absences, the Clippers still have an abundance of options on the wing. Terance Mann, Marcus Morris, Luke Kennard, and Amir Coffey are all ahead of Batum in the pecking order at the moment, which doesn’t leave a ton of minutes for the Frenchman. He’s logged 22.4 minutes or fewer in each of his past six games, and he’s scored seven points or fewer in each of them.
The Clippers also face one of the toughest matchups possible vs. the Warriors. They rank second in defensive efficiency, and the Clippers’ implied team total of 108.5 is the second-lowest mark on the slate. Add it all up, and the under on Batum seems like a slam dunk.
