Maple Leafs vs. Golden Knights Player Props, Picks and Predictions – Thursday, Feb. 22

Oct 26, 2023; Dallas, Texas, USA; Toronto Maple Leafs right wing William Nylander (88) in action during the game between the Dallas Stars and the Toronto Maple Leafs at the American Airlines Center.
Image Credit: Jerome Miron-USA TODAY Sports

We have your Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Vegas Golden Knights prop betting and game preview needs covered as the Toronto Maple Leafs hit the road to face the Vegas Golden Knights.

The Toronto Maple Leafs (31-16-8) are set to face off against the Vegas Golden Knights (32-18-6) in a high-stakes battle at T-Mobile Arena. With both teams looking to solidify their playoff positioning, this matchup promises to be a clash of titans as the Leafs aim to extend their five-game winning streak, while the Knights look to rebound from a recent loss.

Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Vegas Golden Knights Odds Info

Moneyline: Toronto Maple Leafs +100 (DraftKings) / Vegas Golden Knights -120 (DraftKings)

Puck Line: -1.5 – Toronto Maple Leafs -230 (DraftKings) / Vegas Golden Knights +195 (FanDuel)

Total: 6.0 – -105 (DraftKings) / -110 (BetRivers)

Game Info

Date: Thursday, Feb. 22

Time: 10:00 PM

Location: T-Mobile Arena – Las Vegas, NV

TV: ESPN+

Toronto Maple Leafs Betting Trends

  • On the road this season, the Toronto Maple Leafs have 16 wins and 12 losses.
  • As the underdog this season, the Toronto Maple Leafs have 4 wins and 3 losses.
  • This season, the Toronto Maple Leafs have hit 31 overs and 24 unders.

Vegas Golden Knights Betting Trends

  • At home this season, the Vegas Golden Knights have 19 wins and 10 losses.
  • As the favorite this season, the Vegas Golden Knights have 19 wins and 16 losses.
  • This season, the Vegas Golden Knights have hit 25 overs and 31 unders.

Historic Head-to-Head Stats and Analysis

Over the last three seasons, the Toronto Maple Leafs and the Vegas Golden Knights have faced off four times, with each team securing two victories apiece. These matchups have been evenly split, with both the home and visiting teams winning two games each. When it comes to betting statistics, the Vegas Golden Knights have proven more successful against the spread, covering it in three out of the four games, while the Maple Leafs have only done so once. The total score outcomes have been evenly distributed as well, with the over hitting twice and the under also occurring twice. In terms of game stats, the Maple Leafs have shown a slight edge in shots on goal, averaging 25.75 shots compared to the Golden Knights’ 25.25 shots across the four games. However, the Golden Knights have been more physical, averaging 34.5 hits to the Maple Leafs’ 30 hits. The faceoff battle has been relatively even, with Toronto winning 52.75% of the draws on average. The power play performance has been modest for both teams, with neither team scoring more than one power play goal in any of the games.

The most recent encounter between the two teams took place on November 8, 2022, where the Vegas Golden Knights edged out the Toronto Maple Leafs with a 4-3 victory in an overtime thriller. The Golden Knights, who were the visitors, managed to overcome a 3-2 deficit heading into the third period, thanks to a short-handed goal by Reilly Smith, who also scored the game-winning goal in overtime. The Maple Leafs, despite being the favorites with a closing moneyline of -122, could not hold onto their lead, with Mitchell Marner and Timothy Liljegren contributing to their score tally. The game saw the Golden Knights take fewer shots on goal, 20 compared to the Maple Leafs’ 31, but Vegas was more efficient, converting their opportunities at a higher rate. The game ultimately went over the set over-under of 6.5, with a total of 7 goals scored. Logan Thompson, the goaltender for Vegas, made 28 saves with a save percentage of 0.903, while Toronto’s Erik Kallgren saved 16 out of 20 shots, resulting in a save percentage of 0.8.

Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Vegas Golden Knights Predictions

The Maple Leafs are coming into this game on a hot streak, having won their last five games. Auston Matthews is leading the charge with an impressive 51 goals this season, making him a key player to watch in this matchup. Toronto’s offense has been firing on all cylinders, and their power play has been particularly effective. However, they’ll be facing a Golden Knights team that has been strong at home with a 19-8-2 record at T-Mobile Arena. The Knights will be looking to leverage their home-ice advantage and bounce back from their latest defeat.

Vegas has been dealing with some key injuries, including their captain Mark Stone, which could impact their performance. However, Jonathan Marchessault has stepped up in Stone’s absence, leading the team with 28 goals. The Golden Knights have shown resilience this season and have been successful against the spread, covering it in three out of their last four games against the Maple Leafs. This game will be a test of their depth and ability to overcome adversity against a surging Toronto team.

Defensively, both teams have their strengths and weaknesses, and it will be interesting to see how they match up. The Maple Leafs have been strong on the road with a 16-6-6 record, and their recent form suggests they could be tough to beat. However, the Golden Knights’ physical play and ability to capitalize on scoring opportunities could pose a challenge for Toronto’s defense. This game could come down to key player matchups and special teams performance, making it a must-watch for hockey fans.

Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Vegas Golden Knights Pick

The Toronto Maple Leafs are entering this game with a significant momentum, riding a five-game winning streak that has seen them climb up the standings. Auston Matthews is in exceptional form, leading the league with 51 goals, and his presence on the ice has been a game-changer for the Leafs. Despite the Golden Knights’ strong home record, they are currently dealing with the absence of key players like Mark Stone, which could hinder their performance. The Maple Leafs have also been formidable on the road, boasting a 16-6-6 record, which suggests they have the resilience and skill to overcome the home-ice advantage that Vegas holds.

Historically, the head-to-head matchups have been evenly split, but the current form of the Maple Leafs, combined with the Golden Knights’ injury concerns, gives Toronto the edge in this encounter. The Leafs’ recent success against the spread, covering it in four out of their last five games, also points to their ability to outperform expectations. Given the odds and recent trends, a moneyline bet on the surging Toronto Maple Leafs is the prudent choice for this high-stakes matchup.

The Pick: Toronto Maple Leafs +100 (DraftKings)

Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Vegas Golden Knights Player Prop Picks

Here are the players who have hit over their current prop line in at least 7 of their last 10 games.

Toronto Maple Leafs

Player Name Prop Line Over Rate Over Odds Under Odds Last 10 Average Projection
Noah Gregor Shots On Goal 1.5 7/10 -145 +114 2.3 2.4

Vegas Golden Knights

Player Name Prop Line Over Rate Over Odds Under Odds Last 10 Average Projection
Nicolas Roy Points 0.5 9/10 +105 -135 1.3 1.20
Nicolas Roy Assists 0.5 8/10 +175 -230 1.0 0.93
Jonathan Marchessault Points 0.5 7/10 -160 +124 1.1 1.00