Maple Leafs vs. Blues Player Props & Predictions – Monday, Feb. 19

Oct 21, 2023; Tampa, Florida, USA; Toronto Maple Leafs center John Tavares (91) celebrates with Toronto Maple Leafs right wing William Nylander (88) after scoring a goal in overtime against the Tampa Bay Lightning at Amalie Arena.
Image Credit: Nathan Ray Seebeck-USA TODAY Sports

We have your Toronto Maple Leafs vs. St. Louis Blues prop betting and game preview needs covered as the Toronto Maple Leafs hit the road to face the St. Louis Blues.

The Toronto Maple Leafs (29-16-8) are set to face off against the St. Louis Blues (29-23-2) in a highly anticipated matchup. With both teams looking to solidify their playoff positions, this game could have significant implications for the postseason race.

Toronto Maple Leafs vs. St. Louis Blues Odds Info

Moneyline: Toronto Maple Leafs -160 (BetMGM) / St. Louis Blues +135 (BetMGM)

Puck Line: +1.5 – Toronto Maple Leafs +152 (FanDuel) / St. Louis Blues -175 (PointsBet)

Total: 6.5 – -115 (BetRivers) / -100 (FanDuel)

Game Info

Date: Monday, Feb. 19

Time: 01:00 PM

Location: Enterprise Center – St. Louis, MO


Toronto Maple Leafs Betting Trends

  • On the road this season, the Toronto Maple Leafs have 14 wins and 12 losses.
  • As the favorite this season, the Toronto Maple Leafs have 25 wins and 21 losses.
  • This season, the Toronto Maple Leafs have hit 30 overs and 23 unders.

St. Louis Blues Betting Trends

  • At home this season, the St. Louis Blues have 16 wins and 11 losses.
  • As the underdog this season, the St. Louis Blues have 20 wins and 17 losses.
  • This season, the St. Louis Blues have hit 23 overs and 31 unders.

Historic Head-to-Head Stats and Analysis

Over the last two seasons, the Toronto Maple Leafs and the St. Louis Blues have faced each other three times, with the Maple Leafs emerging victorious in two of those encounters while the Blues claimed one win. The visiting team has had the upper hand, winning two out of the three games. When it comes to betting statistics, the St. Louis Blues have outperformed expectations more frequently, covering the spread in two games, compared to the Maple Leafs who covered the spread in just one game. In terms of the over/under betting market, the total score has exceeded the projected over/under line twice, indicating higher-scoring games, while only one game resulted in a total score that fell below the over/under line, signaling a lower-scoring affair. Key statistics from these matchups show a trend of competitive games, with the Maple Leafs having a slight edge in the win column.

The most recent game between the two teams took place on February 13, 2024, where the Toronto Maple Leafs secured a convincing 4-1 victory over the St. Louis Blues. In this game, the Maple Leafs were the favorites with a closing moneyline of -192 and a closing spread of -1.5, which they successfully covered. The game stayed under the closing over/under of 6.5, with a total score of 5. Bobby McMann of the Maple Leafs played a pivotal role, scoring a hat-trick with goals at 5:33 in the first period, and two more in the third period at 8:02 and 18:21. William Nylander also contributed with a goal at 16:25 in the first period. The Blues’ sole goal came from Alexey Toropchenko at 5:36 in the second period. The Maple Leafs displayed a strong defensive game with 16 blocked shots and a physical presence with 43 hits, while also dominating in faceoffs won (29) and takeaways (14). The Blues struggled in comparison, with only 10 blocked shots and 38 hits.

Toronto Maple Leafs vs. St. Louis Blues Predictions

The Maple Leafs are coming into the game on a high, riding a three-game winning streak that has seen them outscore opponents 13-5. Star center Auston Matthews is leading the charge with an impressive 48 goals, while William Nylander has been a key playmaker with 43 assists. Toronto’s offense ranks fifth in the Eastern Conference, and their power play is a force to be reckoned with. However, their defense has been a point of concern throughout the season, and with key defensemen potentially missing the game, the Leafs will need to rely on their offensive prowess to carry them through.

On the other side, the Blues are looking to bounce back from a recent loss to Nashville. Despite the setback, they have won seven of their last ten games and are holding onto a playoff spot in the Western Conference. The Blues’ success has been partly due to the stellar play of center Robert Thomas, who leads the team with 19 goals and 42 assists. St. Louis has struggled with puck possession, ranking 30th in expected goals at 5-on-5, but their goaltending has been solid, with Jordan Binnington providing a much-needed backbone for the team.

This game is not just about the star players, as both teams have depth that could tip the scales. The Maple Leafs’ depth scoring has been a highlight, with players like Bobby McMann stepping up in big moments. For the Blues, contributions from players like Pavel Buchnevich and Jordan Kyrou could be the difference-makers. As these two teams clash, it will be a battle of Toronto’s high-octane offense against St. Louis’ resilient defense and goaltending. With playoff positioning on the line, expect a tightly contested game with both teams eager to secure a win.

Toronto Maple Leafs vs. St. Louis Blues Pick

Given the current circumstances, the St. Louis Blues moneyline bet presents a compelling value. The Blues are playing at home, where they have a solid record of 16 wins to 11 losses, and they have been strong as underdogs this season, with 20 wins against 17 losses. The Blues have also been trending positively, covering the spread in two out of their last three games against the Maple Leafs. With the Maple Leafs potentially missing key defensemen, their already shaky defense could be further compromised, providing an opportunity for the Blues’ offense to capitalize. Additionally, the Blues’ goaltender Jordan Binnington has been a reliable presence in net, which could be a deciding factor in a game that may feature high offensive pressure from the Maple Leafs.

Historically, the head-to-head matchups have favored the visiting team, but the Blues’ recent form and the Maple Leafs’ defensive woes suggest a deviation from this trend. The Maple Leafs have struggled to cover the spread in recent encounters with the Blues, and with the Blues’ home-ice advantage and the Maple Leafs’ defensive injuries, the scales are tipped in favor of St. Louis. The Blues have not lost consecutive games in over a month, indicating their resilience and ability to bounce back, which is crucial after their recent loss to Nashville. Taking all these factors into account, the smart money is on the St. Louis Blues to emerge victorious on their home ice.

The Pick: St. Louis Blues +135. (BetMGM)

Toronto Maple Leafs vs. St. Louis Blues Player Prop Picks

Here are the players who have hit over their current prop line in at least 7 of their last 10 games.

Toronto Maple Leafs

Player Name Prop Line Over Rate Over Odds Under Odds Last 10 Average Projection
John Tavares Shots On Goal 3.5 7/10 -120 -110 4.3 4.3

St. Louis Blues

Player Name Prop Line Over Rate Over Odds Under Odds Last 10 Average Projection
Robert Thomas Assists 0.5 8/10 -130 +100 1.2 1.15
Robert Thomas Points 0.5 8/10 -210 +160 1.5 1.20
Brayden Schenn Points 0.5 7/10 -120 -110 0.8 0.80