Maple Leafs vs. Islanders Player Props, Picks and Predictions – Monday, Dec. 11

Dec 7, 2023; Elmont, New York, USA; New York Islanders center Bo Horvat (14) reacts after scoring a goal against the Columbus Blue Jackets during the third period at UBS Arena.
Image Credit: John Jones-USA TODAY Sports

We have your Toronto Maple Leafs vs. New York Islanders prop betting and game preview needs covered as the Toronto Maple Leafs hit the road to face the New York Islanders.

The Toronto Maple Leafs (14-6-4) are set to face off against the New York Islanders (12-7-7) in a highly anticipated matchup at UBS Arena. With both teams on a two-game winning streak, this game is expected to be a battle of wills as they vie for a crucial win to bolster their standings in their respective divisions.

Toronto Maple Leafs vs. New York Islanders Odds Info

Moneyline: Toronto Maple Leafs -120 (BetMGM) / New York Islanders +114 (DraftKings)

Puck Line: +1.5 – Toronto Maple Leafs +200 (Bet365) / New York Islanders -220 (FanDuel)

Total: 6.0 – -105 (DraftKings) / -115 (DraftKings)

Game Info

Date: Monday, Dec. 11

Time: 07:00 PM

Location: UBS Arena – Elmont, NY

TV: ESPN+

Toronto Maple Leafs Betting Trends

  • On the road this season, the Toronto Maple Leafs have 6 wins and 5 losses.
  • As the favorite this season, the Toronto Maple Leafs have 13 wins and 10 losses.
  • This season, the Toronto Maple Leafs have hit 13 overs and 11 unders.

New York Islanders Betting Trends

  • At home this season, the New York Islanders have 6 wins and 8 losses.
  • As the underdog this season, the New York Islanders have 5 wins and 10 losses.
  • This season, the New York Islanders have hit 15 overs and 11 unders.

Historic Head-to-Head Stats and Analysis

Over the course of the last two seasons, the Toronto Maple Leafs and the New York Islanders have faced off three times, with the Islanders emerging victorious in two of those encounters. The games were spread across a period from November 2022 to March 2023. In these matchups, the home team secured two wins while the visiting team claimed one. When it came to betting odds, the New York Islanders covered the spread in two games, while the Toronto Maple Leafs did so in one game. The over/under betting results showed that the total score went over the predicted line twice and under once. Key statistics from these games reveal that the Islanders had a strong penalty kill, particularly in the most recent game where they did not allow any power play goals. The Maple Leafs, on the other hand, struggled with giveaways, recording 18 in their last game against the Islanders. Faceoffs were another area of dominance for the Islanders, winning 59.6% in their latest meeting, which contributed to their puck possession and ultimately their success on the scoreboard.

The most recent game between the two teams took place on March 21, 2023, where the New York Islanders defeated the Toronto Maple Leafs with a decisive 7-2 victory at home. The Islanders displayed a dominant performance, particularly in the second and third periods where they scored three and four goals respectively. Cal Clutterbuck was a standout player for the Islanders, netting two goals in the game. The Maple Leafs’ goaltender, Ilya Samsonov, faced a challenging night, saving 22 out of 29 shots, which resulted in a save percentage of 0.786. In contrast, the Islanders’ Ilya Sorokin had a strong game in net, saving 25 of 27 shots for a save percentage of 0.926. The Islanders also showcased their physicality with 36 hits compared to the Maple Leafs’ 15, and they blocked more shots, with 19 to the Maple Leafs’ 9. Despite the loss, Mitchell Marner managed to score a goal for the Maple Leafs, but it wasn’t enough to mount a comeback against the Islanders’ offensive surge.

Toronto Maple Leafs vs. New York Islanders Predictions

The Toronto Maple Leafs are coming into this game with a strong offensive presence, led by center Auston Matthews who has netted 18 goals this season. The team’s performance has been bolstered by right winger William Nylander, who leads with 32 points. The Maple Leafs have been performing well on the road with a 6-2-3 record, and they’ll be looking to continue that trend against the Islanders. Toronto’s power play has been a key asset, and their ability to capitalize on man-advantage situations could be a deciding factor in this game.

The New York Islanders have shown resilience this season, with a solid home record of 6-3-5. Center Mathew Barzal has been a standout player, leading the team with 28 points, and his playmaking abilities will be crucial in breaking through the Maple Leafs’ defense. The Islanders have been relying on their strong penalty kill and physical play to keep opponents at bay. With a conference rank of 8 and a division rank of 4, the Islanders are looking to climb the standings, and a win against a strong Maple Leafs team would provide a significant boost.

This game will also feature key player matchups, including the faceoff between the Maple Leafs’ top scorer Matthews and the Islanders’ Barzal. Both teams have been performing well recently, with the Maple Leafs on a 14-6-4 run and the Islanders not far behind at 12-7-7. The defensive and offensive rankings of both teams will be put to the test, as they each look to maintain their winning streaks. With both teams evenly matched in many aspects, this game could come down to which star players step up and which team can execute their game plan more effectively.

Toronto Maple Leafs vs. New York Islanders Pick

The Toronto Maple Leafs enter this matchup with a strong track record on the road and a potent offensive lineup led by Auston Matthews and William Nylander. Despite the New York Islanders’ solid home record and the physicality they bring to the game, the Maple Leafs’ ability to capitalize on power plays and their overall scoring depth give them the edge. Additionally, Toronto’s recent form, with a 14-6-4 run, indicates a team that is finding ways to win and maintain momentum. The Islanders’ penalty kill will be tested against the Maple Leafs’ power play, which could be a critical factor in the outcome of the game.

Historically, the Islanders have had the upper hand in head-to-head matchups, but the Maple Leafs’ current form suggests a shift in the dynamic. The Islanders’ last victory over the Maple Leafs was a decisive one; however, Toronto’s recent improvements, particularly in their special teams play, suggest they are better equipped to handle the Islanders’ strengths this time around. With the Maple Leafs’ top players in form and the team’s overall cohesion, it’s reasonable to expect Toronto to overcome the Islanders in this encounter, making the Toronto Maple Leafs moneyline bet the more compelling choice.

The Pick: Toronto Maple Leafs -120 (BetMGM)

Toronto Maple Leafs vs. New York Islanders Player Prop Picks

Here are the players who have hit over their current prop line in at least 7 of their last 10 games.

New York Islanders

Player Name Prop Line Over Rate Over Odds Under Odds Last 10 Average Projection
Bo Horvat Points 0.5 7/10 -150 +120 1.1 1.03
Pierre Engvall Shots On Goal 1.5 7/10 -140 +110 2.0 1.92
Noah Dobson Assists 0.5 7/10 -125 -105 1.0 0.95
Noah Dobson Points 0.5 7/10 -166 +130 1.0 0.97
Mathew Barzal Points 0.5 7/10 -215 +165 1.6 1.20