Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Edmonton Oilers Player Props, Picks and Predictions – Tuesday, Jan. 16

EDMONTON, CANADA - MARCH 22: Zach Hyman #18 of the Edmonton Oilers plays the puck in the second period against the Arizona Coyotes on March 22, 2023 at Rogers Place in Edmonton, Alberta, Canada. (Photo by
Image Credit: Lawrence Scott/Getty Images

We have your Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Edmonton Oilers prop betting and game preview needs covered as the Toronto Maple Leafs hit the road to face the Edmonton Oilers.

The Edmonton Oilers (23-15-1) are set to host the Toronto Maple Leafs (21-12-8) in a high-stakes showdown at Rogers Place. With the Oilers on a 10-game winning streak and the Maple Leafs looking to snap a 3-game losing streak, this matchup promises to be a clash of titans with both teams eager to assert their dominance.

Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Edmonton Oilers Odds Info

Moneyline: Toronto Maple Leafs +130 (PointsBet) / Edmonton Oilers -160 (PointsBet)

Puck Line: -1.5 – Toronto Maple Leafs -170 (Bet365) / Edmonton Oilers +160 (BetRivers)

Total: 6.5 – +130 (PointsBet) / -160 (PointsBet)

Game Info

Date: Tuesday, Jan. 16

Time: 09:00 PM

Location: Rogers Place – Edmonton, AB

TV: ESPN+

Toronto Maple Leafs Betting Trends

  • This season, the Toronto Maple Leafs have hit 23 overs and 18 unders.
  • On the road this season, the Toronto Maple Leafs have hit 9 overs and 11 unders.
  • As the underdog this season, the Toronto Maple Leafs have hit 2 overs and 2 unders.

Edmonton Oilers Betting Trends

  • This season, the Edmonton Oilers have hit 21 overs and 18 unders.
  • At home this season, the Edmonton Oilers have hit 11 overs and 7 unders.
  • As the favorite this season, the Edmonton Oilers have hit 17 overs and 16 unders.

Historic Head-to-Head Stats and Analysis

Over the last three seasons, the Toronto Maple Leafs and the Edmonton Oilers have faced off four times, with the Maple Leafs emerging victorious in three of those encounters while the Oilers claimed one win. The home team has held the advantage, securing three wins compared to just one for the visiting team. When it comes to betting, Toronto has consistently outperformed expectations, covering the spread in three out of the four games, whereas Edmonton has done so only once. The over/under betting results have seen the total score go over the predicted line twice and under once, with one game resulting in a push where the total score matched the over/under line. The most recent game between the two teams, played on March 11, 2023, ended with a high-scoring affair and a 7-4 victory for the Maple Leafs. Throughout these matchups, the teams have demonstrated considerable offensive capabilities, with the Maple Leafs showing a particularly strong power play performance, operating at a 40% efficiency in their latest game.

The most recent game on March 11, 2023, showcased the offensive prowess of the Toronto Maple Leafs as they defeated the Edmonton Oilers with a final score of 7-4. In this game, the Maple Leafs’ Noel Acciari and John Tavares each scored twice, contributing to the team’s total of seven goals. Other notable scorers for Toronto included Mattias Ekholm, Mitchell Marner, William Nylander, and Auston Matthews. The Oilers, despite the loss, saw goals from Evander Kane, Connor McDavid, and late contributions from Leon Draisaitl and Acciari. The Maple Leafs capitalized on their power play opportunities, while the Oilers were hindered by penalties, accumulating 10 penalties for a total of 20 penalty minutes. Toronto’s goaltender, Matt Murray, saved 22 out of 26 shots, while Edmonton’s Stuart Skinner faced 37 shots, saving 31. The game was a clear display of Toronto’s ability to exploit their power play chances and Edmonton’s struggle to stay disciplined, affecting the game’s outcome.

Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Edmonton Oilers Predictions

The Edmonton Oilers are riding a wave of momentum, having secured 10 consecutive victories, a testament to their offensive prowess and improved defensive play. The Oilers’ success has been largely fueled by the exceptional performances of their star players, with Connor McDavid leading the charge, supported by a strong cast including Leon Draisaitl and Zach Hyman. As they prepare to face the Maple Leafs, the Oilers’ offense, ranked among the top in the league, will be a key factor, especially on home ice where they have been particularly formidable.

On the other side, the Toronto Maple Leafs are looking to rebound from a series of losses that have seen them slip in the standings. Despite their recent struggles, the Maple Leafs boast a potent offensive lineup led by Auston Matthews and William Nylander, who have been consistent contributors throughout the season. The Maple Leafs’ power play, which has shown flashes of brilliance, will need to capitalize on opportunities if they are to overcome the Oilers’ surge. Toronto’s defense, which has been a point of concern, will face a stern test against Edmonton’s high-flying attack.

This game is not just a battle of two offensive juggernauts, but also a showcase of some of the NHL’s brightest stars. The head-to-head matchup between McDavid and Matthews, two of the league’s premier talents, will be a focal point. Both teams will be looking to their goaltenders to provide the stability needed to secure a win. With the Oilers seeking to extend their winning streak and the Maple Leafs aiming to get back on track, this game could have significant implications for the playoff race in their respective divisions.

Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Edmonton Oilers Pick

The upcoming clash between the Edmonton Oilers and the Toronto Maple Leafs is poised to be an exciting encounter, but the pick here is the Under on the total line of 6.5. Despite both teams possessing high-caliber offensive talent, recent trends suggest a tilt towards a tighter, more defensively focused game. The Oilers, while on a 10-game winning streak, have seen the total go under in four of their last five games. Similarly, the Maple Leafs have hit the under in three of their last five road games. With both teams aware of the other’s offensive threats, a more cautious approach could lead to fewer goals than the line suggests.

Moreover, the historic head-to-head data indicates that while these teams have had high-scoring games in the past, the most recent matchups have not always been reflective of a consistent over trend. The last game between these two, a 7-4 victory for the Maple Leafs, was an outlier compared to the other three games in the past three seasons, where the total went under twice. Given the importance of this game for both teams’ playoff positioning, combined with the Oilers’ recent penchant for playing under the total and the Maple Leafs’ under trend on the road, the under seems to be the more prudent pick for this matchup.

The Pick: Under 6.5 +130 (PointsBet)

Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Edmonton Oilers Player Prop Picks

Here are the players who have hit over their current prop line in at least 7 of their last 10 games.

Toronto Maple Leafs

Player Name Prop Line Over Rate Over Odds Under Odds Last 10 Average Projection
William Nylander Shots On Goal 3.5 8/10 -125 -105 4.4 4.37
Morgan Rielly Points 0.5 7/10 -125 -105 1.1 1.11

Edmonton Oilers

Player Name Prop Line Over Rate Over Odds Under Odds Last 10 Average Projection
Warren Foegele Shots On Goal 2.5 7/10 +100 -130 3.4 3.41
Connor McDavid Assists 0.5 8/10 -238 +180 1.1 1.06