We have your Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Detroit Red Wings prop betting and game preview needs covered as the Toronto Maple Leafs hit the road to face the Detroit Red Wings.
The Toronto Maple Leafs (8-5-2) are gearing up to face the Detroit Red Wings (8-5-3) in a highly anticipated matchup. With both teams neck and neck in the season standings, this game could be a crucial factor in their playoff race.
Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Detroit Red Wings Odds Info
Moneyline: Toronto Maple Leafs -165 (BetMGM) / Detroit Red Wings +150 (FanDuel)
Puck Line: +1.5 – Toronto Maple Leafs +145 (DraftKings) / Detroit Red Wings -156 (FanDuel)
Total: 6.5 – +120 (Bet365) / -125 (DraftKings)
Game Info
Date: Friday, Nov. 17
Time: 02:00 PM
Location: Ericsson Globe – Stockholm, None
TV: ESPN+
Toronto Maple Leafs Betting Trends
- This season, the Toronto Maple Leafs have hit 8 overs and 7 unders.
- On the road this season, the Toronto Maple Leafs have hit 1 over and 5 unders.
- As the favorite this season, the Toronto Maple Leafs have hit 7 overs and 7 unders.
Detroit Red Wings Betting Trends
- This season, the Detroit Red Wings have hit 11 overs and 5 unders.
- At home this season, the Detroit Red Wings have hit 6 overs and 3 unders.
- As the underdog this season, the Detroit Red Wings have hit 9 overs and 3 unders.
Historic Head-to-Head Stats and Analysis
Over the last two seasons, the Detroit Red Wings and the Toronto Maple Leafs have faced off four times, with each team securing two victories apiece. These matchups have been evenly split, with both the visiting and home teams winning two games each. When it comes to betting, both teams have also covered the spread twice. Interestingly, the total score has tended to be on the lower side, with the under hitting three times compared to the over hitting just once. In terms of game statistics, the Maple Leafs have shown a strong offensive presence in their wins, with a notable performance on November 28, 2022, where they had a final score spread of +2 and a closing moneyline of -160, indicating their favoritism in that game. The Red Wings, on the other hand, have demonstrated resilience and the ability to secure wins even when entering as underdogs, such as in the game on April 2, 2023, where they had a closing moneyline of +196. Across these games, the goalies from both teams have had moments of brilliance, with save percentages often hovering above the .840 mark, showcasing the importance of goaltending in these matchups.
The most recent game between the two teams took place on April 2, 2023, where the Detroit Red Wings emerged victorious with a final score of 5-2 against the Toronto Maple Leafs. The Red Wings, despite being the underdogs with a closing moneyline of +196, managed to outperform expectations. Dylan Larkin of the Red Wings was particularly impressive, completing a hat trick and contributing significantly to the team’s offensive output. The Red Wings also demonstrated strong defensive capabilities, blocking a total of 17 shots throughout the game. The Maple Leafs, despite being the favorites with a closing moneyline of -245, were unable to capitalize on their chances, with their goaltenders facing a challenging game, saving only 19 out of 24 shots, resulting in a save percentage of .826. This game not only highlighted the Red Wings’ ability to overcome the odds but also underscored the unpredictable nature of these matchups.
Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Detroit Red Wings Predictions
The Maple Leafs and Red Wings are set to clash in what promises to be an exciting contest. Toronto, coming off a two-game winning streak, is looking to continue their upward trajectory. The team has been relying heavily on the offensive prowess of William Nylander, who leads with 22 points, and Auston Matthews, who tops the goal-scoring chart with 13 goals. The Leafs, however, have struggled defensively, ranking in the middle of the league, which could be a point of concern against a Red Wings team that has shown they can capitalize on their opportunities.
Detroit, on the other hand, is coming off a loss but has been playing well at home with a 5-2-2 record. Dylan Larkin has been a standout performer for the Red Wings, leading the team with 17 points. The Red Wings have shown some defensive resilience, but like the Leafs, they have had their share of defensive woes. The game could come down to which team can tighten up at the back while continuing to leverage their offensive weapons effectively.
Key player matchups to watch include the battle of the top scorers, with Matthews and Nylander on one side and Larkin and Alex DeBrincat, who has netted 11 goals, on the other. The goaltending duel will also be critical, as both teams have had moments of brilliance from their netminders this season. With both teams evenly matched and fighting for a better position in the standings, expect a competitive game that could go either way.
Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Detroit Red Wings Pick
The matchup between the Toronto Maple Leafs and the Detroit Red Wings presents a compelling case for the over. The Maple Leafs have been involved in high-scoring games recently, with their last five games all hitting the over. This trend is indicative of their potent offense, led by Nylander and Matthews, and their middle-of-the-pack defense, which could be exploited by the Red Wings’ attackers. Additionally, the Red Wings have also leaned towards higher-scoring games this season, with 11 overs hit, suggesting that their games tend to feature plenty of goals. With both teams showing offensive strength and some defensive vulnerabilities, it sets the stage for a game where the scoreboard could be busy.
While the historic head-to-head data suggests a tendency towards the under, the current form and offensive capabilities of both teams point towards a different outcome for this game. The Red Wings’ home record of hitting the over in 6 out of 9 games further supports the expectation of a high-scoring affair. Moreover, the last meeting between these two teams saw a combined total of 7 goals, surpassing the total line set for this upcoming game. Given these factors, along with the offensive talents on display and the recent trends, the over seems like the right pick for this encounter.
The Pick: Over 6.5 -125 (DraftKings)
Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Detroit Red Wings Player Prop Picks
Here are the players who have hit over their current prop line in at least 7 of their last 10 games.
Toronto Maple Leafs
| Player Name | Prop | Line | Over Rate | Over Odds | Under Odds | Last 10 Average | Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Nylander | Points | 0.5 | 10/10 | -245 | +185 | 1.3 | 1.20 |
| William Nylander | Shots On Goal | 3.5 | 8/10 | -145 | +114 | 5.0 | 4.98 |
| William Nylander | Assists | 0.5 | 7/10 | +110 | -140 | 0.7 | 0.80 |
| Tyler Bertuzzi | Shots On Goal | 1.5 | 7/10 | -190 | +145 | 2.3 | 2.28 |
Detroit Red Wings
| Player Name | Prop | Line | Over Rate | Over Odds | Under Odds | Last 10 Average | Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Perron | Shots On Goal | 1.5 | 8/10 | -180 | +140 | 2.5 | 2.43 |
| Alex DeBrincat | Shots On Goal | 2.5 | 7/10 | -166 | +130 | 3.3 | 3.22 |
