Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Calgary Flames Player Props, Picks and Predictions – Thursday, Jan. 18

We have your Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Calgary Flames prop betting and game preview needs covered as the Toronto Maple Leafs hit the road to face the Calgary Flames.

The Toronto Maple Leafs (21-13-8) are set to face off against the Calgary Flames (21-18-5) in a battle at the Scotiabank Saddledome. With both teams eager to assert their dominance, the Maple Leafs aim to snap a 4-game losing streak, while the Flames look to extend their 4-game winning streak.

Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Calgary Flames Odds Info

Moneyline: Toronto Maple Leafs -125 (FanDuel) / Calgary Flames +110 (DraftKings)

Puck Line: +1.5 – Toronto Maple Leafs +188 (FanDuel) / Calgary Flames -225 (DraftKings)

Total: 6.5 – -100 (FanDuel) / -120 (PointsBet)

Game Info

Date: Thursday, Jan. 18

Time: 09:00 PM

Location: Scotiabank Saddledome – Calgary, AB

TV: ESPN+

Toronto Maple Leafs Betting Trends

• On the road this season, the Toronto Maple Leafs have 11 wins and 10 losses.
• As the favorite this season, the Toronto Maple Leafs have 18 wins and 19 losses.
• This season, the Toronto Maple Leafs have hit 23 overs and 19 unders.

Calgary Flames Betting Trends

• At home this season, the Calgary Flames have 11 wins and 8 losses.
• As the underdog this season, the Calgary Flames have 10 wins and 13 losses.
• This season, the Calgary Flames have hit 24 overs and 20 unders.

Historic Head-to-Head Stats and Analysis

Over the last two seasons, the Toronto Maple Leafs and the Calgary Flames have faced each other three times, with the Maple Leafs emerging victorious in all encounters. These matchups took place between December 2022 and November 2023, showcasing a consistent edge for Toronto whether playing at home or away. In terms of betting statistics, the Maple Leafs covered the spread once, while the Flames managed to beat the spread twice, indicating closer contests than the outright results might suggest. The over/under betting saw the total score go over the predicted line twice and under once, reflecting a tendency for higher-scoring games between these two teams. Key statistics from these games reveal that the Maple Leafs have demonstrated a stronger win percentage overall, with a 50% win rate in the 2023-2024 season compared to the Flames’ 30.7692% at the time of their last meeting. The Maple Leafs also showed a more effective power play, scoring on their opportunities, while the Flames struggled to capitalize on their man-advantage situations.

The most recent game between the Toronto Maple Leafs and the Calgary Flames, played on November 10, 2023, ended in a dramatic 5-4 victory for the Maple Leafs after a shootout. The game was tightly contested, with the score tied at 4-4 at the end of regulation time. William Nylander was a standout performer for Toronto, netting two goals, while the Flames saw a more distributed scoring effort with goals from Connor Zary, Calle Jarnkrok, Nikita Zadorov, and A.J. Greer. The Maple Leafs had a significant advantage in faceoffs, winning 59.3% compared to the Flames’ 40.7%. Both teams displayed strong penalty-killing abilities, with the Flames not allowing any power play goals and the Maple Leafs scoring on their only power play chance. The Flames were more active in blocking shots with 19 blocks to the Maple Leafs’ 15, and both teams were nearly equal in hits delivered, with the Maple Leafs edging out the Flames 25 to 21. The game’s intensity was reflected in the physical stats and the close final score, setting the stage for another exciting matchup in their upcoming game.

Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Calgary Flames Predictions

The upcoming clash between the Toronto Maple Leafs and the Calgary Flames is shaping up to be a high-stakes encounter. The Maple Leafs, despite a solid start to the season, have hit a rough patch, losing their last four games. Their offensive firepower, led by Auston Matthews and William Nylander, will be crucial in breaking this slump. The Flames, on the other hand, are riding a wave of momentum with a four-game winning streak, largely thanks to the efforts of Blake Coleman and Nazem Kadri, who have been key contributors to their recent success.

Defensively, both teams have had their struggles, with the Maple Leafs ranking 18th in expected goals against and the Flames not far behind at 17th. However, Toronto’s elite power play, scoring 25.8% of the time, could be a game-changer, although they’ll be up against Calgary’s strong penalty kill, which has succeeded 84.5% of the time. The goaltending matchup will also be critical, with the Leafs likely starting Martin Jones, who has a .922 save percentage, against the Flames’ Dan Vladar or Dustin Wolf, who have had mixed results this season.

Key player matchups to watch include the Leafs’ top line against the Flames’ defensive pairing of Rasmus Andersson and Noah Hanifin. Additionally, the battle at the faceoff dot could prove pivotal, with both teams looking to control the game’s pace. As the Maple Leafs seek to regain their early-season form and the Flames aim to solidify their playoff positioning, this game promises to be a tightly contested affair with significant implications for both teams’ seasons.

Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Calgary Flames Pick

The decision to back the Toronto Maple Leafs in their upcoming game against the Calgary Flames is based on a comprehensive analysis of both teams’ recent performances and historical matchups. Despite the Maple Leafs’ current four-game losing streak, they have consistently outperformed the Flames in their past encounters, winning all three games over the last two seasons. This historical edge, combined with the Maple Leafs’ superior power play unit, which operates at a 25.8% success rate, gives them a significant advantage. Furthermore, the Maple Leafs’ top line, featuring the likes of Auston Matthews and William Nylander, has the potential to overpower the Flames’ defense and capitalize on scoring opportunities, especially with Martin Jones’ solid goaltending backing them up.

While the Flames have been on a winning streak, their overall season performance and lower win percentage suggest that their recent success may not be sustainable against a team with Toronto’s offensive capabilities. Additionally, the Flames’ power play has struggled throughout the season, which could limit their ability to exploit the Maple Leafs’ weaknesses. Considering these factors, along with the Maple Leafs’ motivation to break their losing streak and regain their early-season form, a moneyline bet on Toronto is the more compelling choice for this matchup.

The Pick: Toronto Maple Leafs -125 (FanDuel)

Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Calgary Flames Player Prop Picks

Here are the players who have hit over their current prop line in at least 7 of their last 10 games.

Toronto Maple Leafs

Calgary Flames