Timberwolves vs. Grizzlies Player Props, Odds & Predictions – Thursday, Jan 18

Jaren Jackson Jr. #13 of the Memphis Grizzlies during the game against the Indiana Pacers at FedExForum on January 29, 2023 in Memphis, Tennessee.
Image Credit: Justin Ford/Getty Images

Looking for Timberwolves vs. Grizzlies predictions? We have you covered as the Grizzlies travel to take on the Timberwolves on Thursday, Jan 18 at 10:00 ET. Currently, the total sits at 214 with the Timberwolves favored by 12.5 at home. Keep reading to get our Timberwolves vs. Grizzlies player props and predictions.

Timberwolves vs. Grizzlies Odds

  • Spread: Timberwolves -12.5
  • Total 214

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Game Info

  • Date: Thursday, Jan 18
  • Time: 10:00 ET
  • Location: Target Center, Minneapolis MN
  • TV: TNT

Grizzlies Betting Trends

  • Over their last five games, the Grizzlies have an over/under record of 2-3 and are 3-2 vs. the spread.
  • When looking at their past three road matchups, Memphis has an ATS record of 3-0 while averaging 122 per game. The team went 3-0 overall in these games.
  • In their last three games as the betting underdog, the Grizzlies have a straight up record of 1-2 and an ATS mark of 1-2.

Timberwolves Betting Trends

  • In their last five games, the Timberwolves have an over/under record of 2-3 and are 2-3 vs. the spread.
  • In their last five home games, Minnesota has averaged 117 points per game while allowing 109. The team’s record in this stretch was 3-2 while going 3-2 vs. the spread.
  • Spanning across their last ten games as the betting favorite, the Timberwolves have gone 4-6 vs the spread. Their overall record in these games was 7-3.

Can Memphis Secure a Road Victory?

Coming into today’s game, the Grizzlies are 15-25 overall and are +12.5 point underdogs. In the Western Conference, they are currently 13th and rank 4th in the Southwest division.

When playing away from home, the Grizzlies have the 22nd highest scoring offense, averaging 111.0 points per game. Overall, they are 29th in scoring with 108.2 points per game. Desmond Bane is the team’s leading scorer, putting up 24.4 points per game. Jaren Jackson Jr. is also a key contributor, averaging 21.2 points per game.

When it comes to defense, the Memphis Grizzlies have been solid this season. They are currently 13th in the NBA, allowing 113.2 points per game. In their last five games, Memphis has been even better, ranking 8th in points allowed at 111.8 per contest.

One area where the Grizzlies have excelled is in protecting the paint. They are 4th in two-point shooting percentage allowed at 52.4%. Overall, Memphis is 10th in field goal percentage defense at 46.7%.

While they have been solid inside, the Grizzlies have struggled to defend the three-point line. On the season, they are 22nd in three-point shooting percentage allowed at 38.3%. In terms of three-pointers made allowed per game, Memphis is 22nd at 13.6.

Pressure Builds for Minnesota as Home Favorites

In their most recent five games, the Timberwolves are 4-1 and have an overall record of 29-11. In their 40 games, the Timberwolves are 20-6 against Western Conference teams and 9-5 against non-conference opponents.

In their most recent game against the Pistons, Minnesota scored 124 points, which is higher than their season-average of 113.4 PPG. Leading the team in scoring is Anthony Edwards, who comes into today’s game averaging 26 PPG. Karl-Anthony Towns is also a key contributor, averaging 21.8 PPG.

When it comes to defense, the Minnesota Timberwolves have been the best in the NBA this season, allowing just 107.6 points per game. They have been especially stingy at home, giving up just 102.5 points per contest, which is the best mark in the league.

One area where the Timberwolves have excelled is in defending the paint, as they are first in the NBA in two-point shooting percentage allowed at 50.2%. Overall, opposing teams are shooting just 44.6% from the field against Minnesota, which is also tops in the league.

Over their last five games, the Timberwolves have continued to play well on the defensive end, allowing just 106.8 points per game. During that stretch, opponents have shot just 42.7% from the field against Minnesota.

Timberwolves vs. Grizzlies Player Prop

A player prop we are looking at is Jaren Jackson Jr. and his points prop of 22.5.

Currently, the over for this prop is sitting at a payout of -145 while the under is at +114. Our projections have Jaren Jackson Jr. finishing with a stat line of 21 points, 6 and 2 assists. As for his points prop, we like the under at 22.5.

  • The Prop: Jaren Jackson Jr. Under 22.5 Points (+114)

Timberwolves vs. Grizzlies Predictions

For a point-spread bet in this Grizzlies vs. Timberwolves matchup, we’re leaning towards the Grizzlies at +12.5. Although our projections show the Timberwolves winning 116-112, we suggest placing your bet on the Grizzlies for the point-spread.

As for the total, the line is currently sitting at 214 and our model has the Grizzlies and Timberwolves finishing with a combined 228 points. Our pick is to take the over.

The Pick: Grizzlies +12.5 | at Fanduel Sportsbook