Texas vs. Baylor Bears Picks and Predictions – Monday, Mar. 4

Texas Longhorns guard Max Abmas (3) dribles the ball towards the West Virginia basket during the basketball game at the Moody Center on Saturday, Feb. 10, 2024 in Austin.
Image Credit: Aaron E. Martinez/American-Statesman / USA TODAY NETWORK

We have your Texas Longhorns vs. Baylor Bears prop betting and game preview needs covered as the Texas Longhorns hit the road to face the Baylor Bears.

The Texas Longhorns (19-10) are set to face off against the Baylor Bears (21-8) in a high-stakes Big 12 showdown. With the end of the regular season in sight, both teams are eager to secure a victory to bolster their conference standings and NCAA Tournament resumes.

Texas Longhorns vs. Baylor Bears Odds Info

Moneyline: Texas Longhorns +235 (DraftKings) / Baylor Bears -265 (FanDuel)

Spread: -7.0 – Texas Longhorns -108 (BetRivers) / Baylor Bears -105 (Bet365)

Total: 145.5 – -105 (BetMGM) / -110 (FanDuel)

Game Info

Date: Monday, Mar. 04

Time: 09:00 PM

Location: Foster Pavilion – Waco, TX

TV: ESPN

Texas Longhorns Betting Trends

  • On the road, Texas Longhorns are 4 and 5 this season.
  • Against the spread this season, Texas Longhorns are 11 and 18.
  • Against the spread on the road, Texas Longhorns are 4 and 6.

Baylor Bears Betting Trends

  • At home, Baylor Bears are 14 and 2 this season.
  • Against the spread this season, Baylor Bears are 17 and 10.
  • Against the spread at home, Baylor Bears are 10 and 5.

Texas Longhorns vs. Baylor Bears Predictions

The matchup between the Texas Longhorns and the Baylor Bears is shaping up to be a classic Big 12 battle. Texas, coming off a 2-game losing streak, is looking to regain their early-season form that saw them climb the rankings. The Longhorns’ offense, led by guard Max Abmas averaging 16.5 points per game, will need to be sharp against a Baylor team that boasts a strong defensive presence. The Bears, on a 1-game winning streak, have been formidable at home with a 14-2 record and will rely on their efficient scoring, ranked 30th in the nation with 81.6 points per game, to challenge the Longhorns’ defense.

Baylor’s guard RayJ Dennis, who leads the team with 6.7 assists per game, will be a key playmaker, while center Yves Missi’s rebounding prowess will be crucial in controlling the boards. Texas forward Dillon Mitchell, pulling down 8.2 rebounds per game, will have his hands full in the paint. Both teams have shown they can score, but it will likely be the defensive efforts, particularly in the perimeter where Baylor shoots an impressive 39.7% from three-point range, that could decide the outcome.

This game also features a compelling coaching matchup and potential strategic chess match. Texas will need to leverage their slight edge in assists, where they rank 62nd nationally, to create scoring opportunities. The Longhorns’ ability to disrupt Baylor’s shooting rhythm and force turnovers could be pivotal. With both teams eyeing a favorable seed in the upcoming conference tournament, expect a fiercely contested game with significant implications for March Madness positioning.

Texas Longhorns vs. Baylor Bears Pick

The Baylor Bears have demonstrated a strong ability to control games at home, boasting an impressive 14-2 record in their own arena. Their efficient scoring, ranking 30th in the nation, combined with their solid three-point shooting percentage of 39.7%, gives them a significant advantage, especially against a Texas team that has struggled on the road with a 4-5 record. Baylor’s defense will be a critical factor, and their ability to disrupt Texas’s offense will likely lead to a victory for the Bears. The moneyline bet for Baylor is the safer pick, considering their overall performance and the fact that they are playing at home where they have been dominant.

Historically, Texas leads the all-time series, but Baylor has been strong under coach Scott Drew and has reached double-digit conference wins for the sixth straight season. Given the current form and the stakes of the game, Baylor is expected to continue their home-court success. Texas’s recent 2-game losing streak and their less favorable road record suggest that they may not be able to overcome Baylor’s momentum. The Bears’ ability to perform under pressure and their recent win over a top-ranked Kansas team further solidify the confidence in a Baylor moneyline bet for this matchup.

The Pick: Baylor Bears -265. (FanDuel)