The Eagles are massive favorites on the road against the lowly Texans. Philadephia’s the last of the undefeated teams in the NFL this season, and Houston’s season is slipping down the drain. The game might be a snooze fest. Still, that’s nothing having action on some props can’t fix. So, check out our three favorite Texans vs. Eagles player props for tonight’s game.
Texans vs. Eagles Player Props: TNF Week 9
For a full list of Texans vs. Eagles player props and odds, check out our dedicated matchup page.
Jalen Hurts Over 36.5-Yard Longest Completion (-120)
We are taking this prop at DraftKings. Don’t have an account? Check out our DraftKings Sportsbook Review to find out how to bet $5 and get $200 in free bets.
Jalen Hurts is playing outstanding football this year. The third-year pro has made incredible strides as a passer. According to Pro-Football-Reference, Hurts is ninth in passing yards per game (257.0), fourth in Adjusted Net Yards per Attempt (7.86 ANY/A), and second in Adjusted Yards per Attempt (9.0).
According to numberFire, he has eight completions for more than 36.5 yards in seven games this year. Hurts has also exceeded a 36.5-yard completion in four games (Week 1, Week 2, Week 3, and Week 8).
Conversely, the Texans have allowed only two completions longer than 36.5 yards in two of seven games. Houston has had a lucky draw of erratic or bad quarterbacks, though. They allowed completions longer than 36.5 yards to Justin Herbert and Trevor Lawrence. Yet, the group of quarterbacks they kept under that threshold is a laughingstock collection of Matt Ryan, Russell Wilson, Justin Fields, Derek Carr, and Malik Willis.
Philadelphia’s offensive line should also get the job done against Houston’s lousy pass-rushing defense. Pro Football Focus (PFF) ranks the Eagles first in pass blocking. Meanwhile, per Pro-Football-Reference, the Texans are 20th in quarterback pressure rate (21.8%). Thus, I love Hurts’ chances of having the requisite time to hit deep passes against the Texans.
Where to bet: Jalen Hurts Over 36.5-Yard Longest Completion | -120 at DraftKings Sportsbook
Miles Sanders Over 79.5 Rushing Yards (-113)
Unfortunately, Sanders has rushed for under 79.5 yards in three straight games and four of seven contests in 2022. Further, his median rushing yardage outcome is 78, a pinch below his prop. However, Sanders averages 80.4 rushing yards per game and has a mouthwatering matchup.
According to Football Outsiders, the Texans are 32nd in rush defense Defense-Adjusted Value Over Average (DVOA). Moreover, per Pro-Football-Reference, they’ve allowed the most rushing yards (1,114) to running backs this year, despite having a bye already. Houston allows 159.14 rushing yards per game at 5.71 yards per carry to running backs this season.
Sanders has carried the ball at least 15 times in five games this season. If he hits that threshold and matches the 5.71 yards per carry running backs have posted against the Texans this year, he’ll exceed his yardage prop. In addition, BetPrep projects Sanders for 83.30 rushing yards, putting him over his total. So, let’s hop on the over at FanDuel Sportsbook. New to FanDuel? Check our FanDuel Sportsbook Review to grab up to a $1,000 risk-free bet.
Where to bet: Miles Sanders Over 79.5 Rushing Yards | -113 at FanDuel Sportsbook
DeVonta Smith Under 51.5 Receiving Yards (-115)
The over for 51.5 receiving yards by DeVonta Smith is appealing looking when glancing at his season average of 60.0. However, the second-year wideout has been a boom-or-bust player. As a result, Smith has gone under 51.5 receiving yards four times this year and has a median yardage outcome of 44.
Smith will also have to contend with a challenging matchup and likely a good game script. The Texans are a mediocre 17th in pass defense DVOA. However, they’ve been a nightmare for No. 2 wideouts. Per Football Outsiders, No. 2 wide receivers have the third-fewest receiving yards per game (32.8) against the Texans. Meanwhile, No. 1 receivers torch the Texans for the seventh-most receiving yards per game (83.0). So, A.J. Brown should feast.
Finally, the Eagles are double-digit favorites. Therefore, they can lean on the run to salt away the game if the game goes according to betting expectations. Per numberFire, the Eagles have attempted 73 passes, 71 rushes by non-quarterbacks, and rushes 30 with Hurts when leading by at least eight points. So, I love Smith’s under for 51.5 receiving yards.
Where to bet: DeVonta Smith Under 51.5 Receiving Yards | -115 at DraftKings Sportsbook
More Thursday Night Football Bets
Texans vs. Eagles Predictions & Best Bets: Thursday Night Football Picks (Week 9)