Super Bowl props are now filling odds boards at sportsbooks from coast to coast in advance of Sunday’s matchup between the Los Angeles Rams and Cincinnati Bengals.
Throughout the week leading up to Super Bowl 56 in Inglewood, California, Props.com will offer up our five favorite Super Bowl props for each teams’ skill position group on offense, as well as our top five defensive, kicker/punter, and special teams props. We’ll also break down five game-specific props; best bets for player to score the first touchdown; and even our favorite cross-sport props.
Yes, consider us your one-stop prop shop for Rams vs. Bengals. So be sure to check back all week for comprehensive and (we hope!) compelling Super Bowl 56 betting coverage.
We close out this series with one of the most popular Super Bowl props offerings every year: cross-sport props.
Odds via The SuperBook and Caesars Sportsbook, and updated as of 4 p.m. ET on Feb. 11.
Stephen Curry Vs Joe Burrow
The prop: Curry points/rebounds/assists (vs. Lakers, Feb. 12) vs. Burrow longest completion
The odds: Curry -1.5 (+100)/Burrow +1.5 (+100)
Let’s start with couple of important notes: This one will only be available to wager until the Lakers-Warriors game tips off at 8:30 p.m. ET Saturday. Also, Curry is minus-1.5, which means this: For the Curry bettors to win, the two-time NBA MVP has to finish with at least two more points/rebounds/assists than the total yards of Burrow’s longest completion. So if, say, Curry’s tallies 33 points/rebounds/assists against the Lakers and Burrow’s longest completion is 32 yards on Super Sunday, Burrow bettors cash. Got it? Good!
Now let’s break this down, starting with Burrow:
According to Sharp Football Stats, the Rams have an 8 percent explosive pass rate. That ranks top 10 in the league, which isn’t a surprise to anyone given the talent in L.A.’s secondary. Assuming Rams All-Pro cornerback Jalen Ramsey shadows Bengals speedster/playmaker extraordinaire Ja’Marr Chase all day, Burrow probably will struggle to connect on a lengthy pass. Keep in mind: Burrow’s median long completion this season is 44 yards, while his longest completion prop number at Caesars is 38.5 yards.
Looking at Curry, he’s averaging 37.5 points/rebounds/assists on the season. However, on Saturday, he’ll be facing a Lakers squad that ranks 29th in defensive efficiency versus opposing point guards. Uh, last time we checked, there are still only 30 NBA teams.
The Lakers also currently play at the fastest pace in the Association. This should translate to more possessions and opportunities for Curry to exploit a terrible defense.
The last time Curry faced a team that ranked bottom-five in defensive efficiency and top five in pace, he posted 54 points/rebounds/assists at Houston (Jan. 31). Also, back on opening night in Los Angeles, Curry went for 31 points, 10 rebounds, and 10 assists in a victory over the Lakers.
Needless to say, Curry’s side of this bet looks quite appealing at +100 odds.
Gonzaga Vs Ja’Marr Chase
The prop: Gonzaga total points (vs. St. Mary’s, Feb. 12) vs. Chase total receiving yards
The odds: Gonzaga -0.5 (-110)/Chase +0.5 (-110)
Here’s another Super Bowl props situation in which one side goes off before Super Sunday, as Gonzaga hosts St. Mary’s at 10 p.m. ET Saturday. So again, if you want in on this prop, place your bet before tipoff.
Ranked No. 2 in the nation — and a lock to return to No. 1 next week with a win over St. Mary’s — Gonzaga leads the nation in scoring … and by a mile! The Bulldogs average 90.8 points per game, which is nearly three points ahead of second-place South Dakota State (86.9 ppg) and more than six points clear of the next-best Power 5 school (Arizona, 84.6 ppg).
Gonzaga has tallied at least 89 points in 10 of its last 11 games, topping 100 points four times. Ah, but here’s the catch: The Zags have yet to face No. 22 St. Mary’s this season. The Gaels rank ninth nationally in scoring defense, yielding just 59.1 ppg. They enter Saturday night’s West Coast Conference showdown in Spokane, Washington, having held four of their last five opponents to 60 points or less.
Gonzaga’s total points in its last six meetings against St. Mary’s dating to the 2019-2020 season: 78 (neutral site), 87 (home), 73 (road), 84 (neutral site) and 86 (home).
So even as good as St. Mary’s is defensively, and as much as the Gaels will try to control pace, it’s difficult to imagine Gonzaga scoring fewer than 85 points. Assuming that’s accurate, the question then becomes: Can Chase at least match that number with his receiving yards against the Rams on Super Bowl Sunday?
Well, we already noted that Rams DB Jalen Ramsey probably will be superglued to Chase the entire game. That doesn’t bode well for the rookie’s with this prop. And while Chase put up huge yardage numbers in four straight games that Joe Burrow started leading up to the AFC Championship Game at Kansas City (109, 116, 266 and 125), he produced just 54 yards against the Chiefs.
Also, prior to that monster four-game run, Chase had seven straight receiving-yardage duds: 3, 77, 52, 39, 32, 49, 32.
All signs point to Gonzaga with this one.
Jon Rahm Vs Odell Beckham Jr.
The prop: Rahm 4th-round birdies (at Waste Management Phoenix Open) vs. Beckham total receptions
The odds: Rahm +0.5 (-110)/Beckham -0.5 (-110)
Rahm arrived in the desert as the world’s No. 1 player. He also arrived as the world’s sixth best player when it comes to beating par, having averaged 5.5 birdies per round this season (77 total birdies through 14 rounds).
Rahm’s birdie ranking last season? Tied for first (4.51 per round). And now you know why the Spaniard is the top golfer in the land.
This weekend marks Rahm’s seventh appearance at the Waste Management Phoenix Open. He’s made the cut in each of his previous six visits to TPC Scottsdale, finishing in the top 10 three times. But how many birdies has he drained in his 24 trips around the very player-friendly track? 105 (not including eagles).
Of course, this prop is focused solely on his number of birdies in Sunday’s closing round. So here are Rahm’s fourth-round birdie totals at TPC Scottsdale in his career: four (2021), five (2020), one (2019), three (2018), two (2017), four (2015). Our trusty calculator says that’s an average of 3.2 birdies per year.
Through the first two rounds of this week’s tournament (Thursday and Friday), Rahm drained seven total birdies playing in absolute pristine conditions. Those conditions will be even better on Sunday, with temperatures in the low 80s and little wind.
Given the perfect weather, his fourth-round history at the Waste Management (especially the last two years, and his birdie prowess this season, let’s pencil Rahm in for four birdies Sunday. That would mean Beckham would have to haul in at least five receptions to win this prop. So what’s OBJ’s reception number on The SuperBook’s prop board? 5.5, but with significant juice to the Under (-150).
In 11 games with the Rams this season (playoffs included), Beckham has finished with exactly five catches twice; more than five catches three times; and fewer than five catches six times. However, his two most prolific games were his most recent: six receptions on eight targets at Tampa Bay and nine receptions on 11 targets against the 49ers.
That suggests two things: 1) Rams quarterback Matthew Stafford is developing more of a rapport with OBJ, and 2) Opposing defenses are hyper-focused on containing Cooper Kupp, L.A.’s all-everything wideout. You have to figure the Bengals will deploy the same game plan. So when it comes to one of the more unique Super Bowl props, we’ll ride with Beckham on this prop.
AC Milan Vs Rams/Bengals
The prop: AC Milan total goals (at Sampdoria) vs. Rams/Bengals total rushing TDs
The odds: AC Milan -0.5 (-110)/Rams-Bengals +0.5 (-110)
The Rams (10) and Bengals (16) combined for just 26 rushing touchdowns during the regular season (one fewer than league-leader Philadelphia). In six total playoff games, the two squads have tacked on just three more. So in 40 combined games this season, Los Angeles and Cincinnati have crossed the goal line on the ground just 29 times (or 0.73 per contest).
Defensively, the Rams have surrendered 21 rushing TDs (three in the playoffs), while the Bengals have yielded 16 (one in the playoffs). That equates to 0.93 rushing TDs allowed per game.
Over on the pitch in Italy, AC Milan is enjoying a Serie A season that would make Ted Lasso proud. Milan is 16-4-4 with 49 goals in those 24 matches. (We don’t even need that trusty calculator to compute that as pretty much two goals per contest.) More recently, Milan has tallied 3, 3, 1, 0 and 2 goals in its last five.
At 9:30 a.m. ET on Super Sunday, Milan will head to Sampdoria, which has given up 41 goals in its 24 matches (by comparison, Milan has allowed 26). However, Sampdoria held Milan to one goal in a 1-0 season-opening loss back on Aug. 23. And in its last four contests, Sampdoria has yielded 1, 1, 4, 1 and 0 goals.
This one is a tough call. But seeing that Sampdoria has been stingy at home of late (one or zero goals allowed in four of the last five matches), let’s roll the dice on Rams/Bengals rushing TDs and hope one or both offenses can beat their season averages.
Sidney Crosby Vs Cooper Kupp
The prop: Sidney Crosby total points (at New Jersey) vs. Kupp total touchdowns
The odds: Crosby PK (-140)/Kupp PK (+120)
Even at age 34 and in his 17th NHL season, Crosby remains an offensive force for the Pittsburgh Penguins. He’s averaging more than a point per game (42 in 36 contests), including at least one goal or assist in 24 of those contests.
Crosby enters Sunday’s 1:30 p.m. ET tilt at New Jersey riding a five-game point-scoring streak. The totals: 2, 2, 2, 1 and 1. It’s his second-longest such streak of the season, following a seven-gamer (13 total points) from late November to early December.
Crosby also has been quite prolific on the road, with points in 13 of 20 contests (including multiple points five times). Yes, he’s been shutout in two games against the Devils this season (one home, one road). However, Crosby lit up New Jersey for nine points in eight games last year. That includes at least one point in seven contests.
As for Kupp, what can you say that hasn’t already been said? He was the NFL’s best wide receiver in 2021, with a league-best 145 catches, 1,947 yards (an NFL record), and 16 touchdowns. He’s also hit paydirt four more times in the playoffs.
Including the postseason, Kupp has found the end zone 14 times in 20 games, with six two-TD efforts. He enters Super Bowl 56 having scored at least one TD in eight of his last nine games overall (including five in a row) and eight of his 10 contests at SoFi Stadium (including five in a row). He’ll be matched up against a Bengals defense that has permitted 31 passing touchdowns this year (five in the playoffs).
All those numbers suggests Kupp is a solid bet to find the end zone Sunday — and he’s -160 at The SuperBook to score at least once. However, as noted earlier, the Bengal would be foolish not to scheme their defensive to stop the Rams’ gamebreaker.
Throw in the fact that the Devils have given up at least four goals in seven of their last 11 games (37 in all), and we’ll back Sid The Kid on this Super Bowl prop.
