Steelers vs. Patriots Predictions, Odds & Picks

Looking for Steelers vs. Patriots predictions? We have you covered as the Patriots travel to take on the Steelers on Thursday, Dec 7, at 8:15 ET. Currently, the total sits at 30, with the Steelers favored by 6 at home.

Steelers VS. Patriots Odds

Spread: Steelers -6
Total 30

Game Info

Date: Thursday, Dec 7
Time: 8:15 ET
Location: Acrisure Stadium — Pittsburgh, PA
TV: AMZN

Patriots Betting Trends

Over their last five games, the Patriots have an over/under record of 1-4 and are 0-5 vs. the spread.
When looking at their past ten road matchups, New England has an ATS record of 3-7 while averaging 18 per game. The team went 3-7 overall in these games.
In their last three games as the betting underdog, the Patriots have a straight-up record of 0-3 and an ATS mark of 0-3.

Steelers Betting Trends

In their last five games, the Steelers have an over/under record of 1-4 and are 3-2 vs. the spread.
Pittsburgh has played well in their previous five home games, going 3-2 straight up. In this stretch, they averaged 15 points per game while allowing 17. The team also performed well vs the spread at 3-2.
In their last three games as the betting favorite, the Steelers have a strong straight-up record of 2-1. In addition, their ATS record was 2-1 in these scenarios.

Does New England Have a Shot at a Road Win?

Entering week 14, New England is positioned 4th in the AFC-East with a 2-10 record. In the AFC, they are currently in 16th place. Against the spread, the Patriots have a record of 2-10. Their average scoring margin for the season is currently -8.8.

The Patriots hosted the Chargers in their last game but lost by a score of 6-0. With their 6-point loss, the Patriots also were handed a defeat on their ATS record. Going into the game, they were 4.5-point underdogs. The under hit in the Patriots’ most recent game, as the teams combined for 6 points. The line going into the game was 38.5.

Versus the Chargers, the Patriots finished with 32 rushing attempts, and Ezekiel Elliott led the way with 52 yards. Meanwhile, Bailey Zappe had 25 pass attempts, resulting in 141 yards and a passer rating of 68.

New England is 14th in points allowed defensively. So far, their opponents are putting up an average of 21.2 points per game, accumulating 310.5 yards per contest.

Can Pittsburgh Lock in a Home Win?

In the current season, the Steelers hold an overall record of 7-5, placing them at 2nd in the AFC-North. Their performance consists of a 4-3 record as underdogs and 3-2 when they are favored. When it comes to the spread, the Steelers come in at 7-5. Going into week 14, their scoring margin per game is -3.1.

After dropping their last game by a score of 24-10 to the Cardinals, they are looking to bounce back with a win this week. Along with their outright defeat, the Steelers couldn’t cover the spread despite being favored by 6. In the Steelers’ latest game, the under bettors were correct as the teams totaled 34 points, below the line of 41 points.

On offense, Mitch Trubisky ended with 117 passing yards on a completion rate of 64%. On the ground, the Steelers ran the ball 31 times, amassing 130 yards. The team converted 4 third-downs at a rate of 36.4%.

On the defensive side of the ball, the Steelers give up an average of 227.3 passing yards and 121.0 rushing yards per game. Looking at their sack numbers, Pittsburgh is currently ranked 8th in the league. So far, they are giving up 19.1 points per game and 348.3 yards.

Steelers vs. Patriots Player Prop

Jaylen Warren’s prop market against the Patriots has a rushing prop of 42.5. Going with the over comes with a payout of -118, while the under pays at -114. The implied odds for the over are 54%.

Across 12 games, Jaylen Warren has 102 rushing attempts and gained 601 yards. Heading into week 14 he is 23rd among running backs in yardage. I’m not too confident about Jaylen Warren’s facing the Patriots’ rush defense this week. New England has been solid in their run defense, ranking 2nd in the league. I’m betting on Warren’s going under 42.5 yards.

The Prop: Jaylen Warren Under 42.5 Rushing Yards (-114)