Rockets vs. Bucks Player Props & Predictions – Saturday, Jan 6

Nov 10, 2023; Houston, Texas, USA; Houston Rockets center Alperen Sengun (28) reacts after a play during the third quarter against the New Orleans Pelicans at Toyota Center.
Image Credit: Troy Taormina-USA TODAY Sports

The Rockets are gearing up for a showdown against the Milwaukee Bucks on Saturday, Jan 6. Today’s game is scheduled to start at 8:00 ET and will be broadcast on Spac. Milwaukee comes into this matchup as 6.5-point favorites, with the over/under set at 237.5. Will the Bucks manage to secure a win as the favorite? Below, you’ll find our Rockets vs. Bucks player props and predictions.

Rockets vs. Bucks Odds

  • Spread: Bucks -6.5
  • Total 237.5

Game Info

  • Date: Saturday, Jan 6
  • Time: 8:00 ET
  • Location: Toyota Center, Houston TX
  • TV: Spac

Bucks Betting Trends

  • Over their last five games, the Bucks have an over/under record of 2-3 and are 2-3 vs. the spread.
  • Across the Bucks last three road games, the team averaged 124 points per game while allowing 124. Their record vs the spread in these contests was 1-2, while going 2-1 straight-up.
  • Going back to their last three games as the favorite, the Bucks have a straight up record of 1-2. But, their mark vs the spread was just 0-3.

Rockets Betting Trends

  • In their last five games, the Rockets have an over/under record of 4-1 and are 2-3 vs. the spread.
  • Across their last five home contests, Houston has been good against the spread posting a mark of 3-2. Their overall mark in these games was 3-2, while averaging 114 points per game.
  • As the betting underdog, the Rockets have an ATS mark of just 0-3 in their last three games. Houston posted a straight up mark of 0-3 in these matchups.

Will the Bucks Pull Through as the Favored Road Team?

Coming into today’s matchup against the Rockets, the Bucks are above .500 with a 25-10 record. When playing on the road, the Bucks are 9-7 compared to their 16-3 record at home.

The Bucks’ offense is averaging 124.8 points per game and is coming off a 125-point performance in their last game. Overall, the Bucks are shooting 50% from the field, which is the 3rd highest mark in the league. From beyond the arc, the Bucks are 6th in percentage and 6th in made three-pointers.

On the season, the Bucks are giving up 119.7 points per game, which is 24th in the NBA. In their last five games, they have been even worse, allowing 123.6 points per contest, which is 26th in the league over that span.

One area where Milwaukee has been strong defensively is three-point shooting, as they are 6th in the NBA in three-point percentage allowed at 33.0%. In terms of steals, the Bucks are 28th in the league at 6.7 per game.

When it comes to rebounding, Milwaukee is 10th in the NBA at 44.4 boards per contest. They have also been solid at blocking shots, ranking 10th in the league at 5.6 blocks per game.

Do the Rockets Have What it Takes at Home?

In today’s matchup, the Rockets are looking to stay above .500 as they come in with a 17-16 record. So far, the Rockets have gone 14-10 against other Western Conference teams and are 3-6 in non-conference games.

In their most recent game, the Rockets scored 95 points while shooting 40% from the field. This was below their season average of 112.5 points per game. Leading the team in scoring was Jalen Green, who put up 20 points. Alperen Sengün also chipped in with 19 points for the Rockets.

When it comes to defense, the Houston Rockets have been one of the best units in the league this season. They are currently ranked 2nd in the NBA, allowing just 109.9 points per game. At home, they have been even better, giving up just 106.2 points per contest, which is also 2nd in the league.

One of the reasons for their success has been their ability to defend the three-point line. On the season, they are 7th in three-point shooting percentage allowed at 32.7%. In terms of made threes allowed per game, they are 7th at 11.7.

Over their last five games, the Rockets have struggled a bit on the defensive end, giving up 119.2 points per game. During that stretch, opponents have shot 39.1% from three-point range.

Rockets vs. Bucks Player Prop

A player prop we are looking at is Giannis Antetokounmpo and his points prop of 31.5. Currently, the over for this prop is sitting at a payout of -127 while the under is at -108. With his prop at 31.5, our model suggests taking the over as we have him finishing with 33. We have him finishing with a field goal percentage of 57.1% and knocking down one three.

  • The Prop: Giannis Antetokounmpo Over 31.5 Points (-127)

Rockets vs. Bucks Predictions

For a point-spread wager in this Bucks vs. Rockets game, we suggest taking the Rockets at +6.5. Even though our predictions have the Bucks winning 117-114, we see the Rockets as the better choice on the point-spread.

Right now, the over/under line for the game is sitting at 237.5 and given that our model is projecting 231 points between the teams, we like the under.

The Pick: Rockets +6.5 | at Fanduel Sportsbook