Ravens vs. Chiefs Player Props & Predictions – AFC Champ (Jan. 28)

Oct 23, 2022; Baltimore, Maryland, USA; Baltimore Ravens running back Gus Edwards (35) reacts after scoring a second quarter touchdown against the Cleveland Browns at M&T Bank Stadium.
Image Credit: Tommy Gilligan-USA TODAY Sports

For your Ravens vs. Chiefs player props and predictions needs, we’ve got you covered as the Chiefs hit the road to face the Ravens on Sunday, Jan 28 at 3:00 ET. Currently, the total sits at 44.5, with the Ravens favored by 4 at home.

Ravens VS. Chiefs Odds

  • Spread: Ravens -4
  • Total 44.5

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Game Info

  • Date: Sunday, Jan 28
  • Time: 3:00 ET
  • Location: M&T Bank Stadium, Baltimore MD
  • TV: CBS

Chiefs Betting Trends

  • Over their last five games, the Chiefs have an over/under record of 1-4 and are 4-1 vs. the spread.
  • In their last ten games away from home, the Chiefs have a straight up record of 8-2 while going 6-3-1 vs the spread. The team’s offense averaged 23 points per game in these contests.
  • Going back to their previous ten games as the underdog, Kansas City has an ATS mark of 8-2 while going 8-2 straight up.

Ravens Betting Trends

  • In their last five games, the Ravens have an over/under record of 3-1-1 and are 3-2 vs. the spread.
  • In their last ten games at home, the Ravens have a straight up record of 7-3 while going 8-2 vs. the spread. The team averaged 22 points per game in this stretch.
  • As the betting favorite, the Ravens have an ATS mark of just 7-3 in their last ten games. Baltimore posted a straight-up mark of 9-1 in these matchups.

Do the Chiefs Have a Shot at a Road Win?

Looking at the AFC-West standings, the Chiefs are in 1st place on a record of 11-6. In the AFC, Kansas City is in 3rd place heading into the Conference Championship. Against the spread, the Chiefs have a record of 11-7-1. Their average scoring margin for the season is currently +5.2.

The Chiefs clinched a win in their most recent contest against the Bills, finishing with a final score of 27-24. Heading into the game, the Chiefs were 2.5-point underdogs. With the straight-up win, they also covered the spread. The over/under line for the game was 46 points, and the teams managed to surpass it, recording a combined total of 51 points.

Offensively, the Chiefs rushed the ball 24 times against the Bills. Isiah Pacheco led the ground attack with 97 yards. Patrick Mahomes made 23 passing attempts, accumulating 215 yards and achieving a passer rating of 131.

Kansas City’s defense has come up with 17 turnovers so far this season. This figure has them 13th in the NFL. Heading into week 3, they are allowing 17.1 points per game and 292.5 yards.

Can the Ravens Deliver Being Favored at Home?

The Ravens enter their matchup against the Chiefs with a 13-4 record. This mark puts them 1st in the AFC North. In the AFC overall standings, they are 1st. The Ravens have put together a record of 12-6 against the spread. This mark has come on an average scoring margin of +12.6.

The Ravens had the Texans as their opponent in the Divisional Round. This game ended in a 34-10 win for the Ravens. Baltimore was favored by 10 against the Texans and notched an ATS victory. Going into the game, the over/under line was 44 points. The teams combined to match this number, giving each team an OU push.

Baltimore’s offense generated 352 total yards against the Texans. On third downs, the Ravens managed a conversion rate of 33.3%. Lamar Jackson led the team in rushing with 100 yards, while Lamar Jackson passed for 152 yards.

Baltimore is 1st in points allowed defensively. So far, their opponents are putting up an average of 16.1 points per game, accumulating 296.4 yards per contest.

Ravens vs. Chiefs Player Props

Last week, Edwards just missed his prop, securing 40 yards on 10 carries against the Texans. However, in the four games prior, he breezed past 41.5 rushing yards in three of them, showcasing his potential.

Now, Edwards faces a golden chance against the Kansas City Chiefs, ranked 27th in DVOA against the run. Baltimore’s strategy will likely involve ball control and exploiting the Chiefs’ weakness against the run, making Edwards a key player.

Additionally, Edwards’ anytime touchdown prop at +140 at FanDuel is worth considering.

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Ravens VS. Chiefs Predictions

Starting as 3.5-point favorites at home, Baltimore has seen the lines move in their favor, now sitting at -4.

For this Ravens vs. Chiefs matchup, we see there being good value on grabbing a Chiefs team that is coming off both a straight-up and an ATS win. Look for the Chiefs to continue this momentum, making them a good pick at +4.

The Pick: Chiefs +4 | -112 at Fanduel Sportsbook