The Raptors are gearing up for a showdown against the Miami Heat on Wednesday, Jan 17. Today’s game is scheduled to start at 7:30 ET and will be broadcast on SN. Miami comes into this matchup as 2-point favorites, with the over/under set at 227.5. Will the Heat manage to secure a win as the favorite? Below, you’ll find our Raptors vs. Heat player props and predictions.
Raptors vs. Heat Odds
- Spread: Heat -2
- Total 227.5
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Game Info
- Date: Wednesday, Jan 17
- Time: 7:30 ET
- Location: Scotiabank Arena, Toronto ON
- TV: SN
Heat Betting Trends
- Over their last five games, the Heat have an over/under record of 2-3 and are 3-1-1 vs. the spread.
- Through their last five road games, Miami has an ATS record of just 1-3-1. However, their overall record was 2-3 while averaging 103 points per game.
- Through their last three games as the favorite, the Heat have an ATS record of 2-0-1 and a straight up mark of 3-0.
Raptors Betting Trends
- In their last five games, the Raptors have an over/under record of 2-3 and are 2-3 vs. the spread.
- Through their last ten home contests, the Raptors offense has averaged 123 points per game while allowing an average of 123. Toronto posted an overall record of 3-7 while going 6-4 ATS.
- Going back to their previous ten games as the underdog, Toronto has an ATS mark of 5-5 while going 2-8 straight up.
Will Miami Be The Talk of Scotiabank Arena?
As we analyze the Heat’s last ten games, they hold a 6-4 record and come into their matchup vs. the Raptors with an overall record of 24-16. Within the Eastern Conference, the Heat are currently in 5th place and sit atop the Southeast division.
On the road, the Heat are 27th in scoring offense at 108.6 PPG. Overall, they are 25th in scoring at 111.9 PPG. Bam Adebayo is the team’s leading scorer at 21.7 PPG, while Jaime Jaquez Jr. is also averaging 14 PPG.
On the season, the Heat are the 2nd ranked defense in the NBA, allowing 110.6 points per game. They are even better on the road, giving up just 107.3 points per contest. In terms of three-point shooting, opposing teams are hitting 35.9% from beyond the arc vs. Miami.
During their current five-game stretch, the Heat have been even better on defense, allowing just 103.8 points per game. Over that span, opposing teams have shot just 30.5% from three-point range vs. Miami.
So far this season, the Heat are 16th in the NBA in steals per game, 30th in blocked shots per game, and 28th in personal fouls per contest. They have also been solid at making opposing teams work for their points at the free-throw line, ranking 4th in free throws made allowed per game.
Will the Raptors Find a Way to Win at Home?
With an overall record of 15-25, the Raptors are looking to snap their four game losing streak when they take on the Heat. In the Eastern Conference, they are currently 12th and are 5th in the Atlantic division.
In the Raptors most recent game, they scored 96 points vs. the Celtics. They shot 40% from the field and hit 4 three-pointers. Pascal Siakam is the team’s leading scorer at 22.2 PPG, while Scottie Barnes is averaging 20.1 PPG.
When it comes to points allowed per game, the Raptors are 18th in the league at 116.8. At home, they are giving up 112.4 points per game (14th).
Opponents have scored more than their season average 55.0% of the time vs. Toronto. In terms of made threes, opposing teams have made more than their season average 52.5% of the time.
Raptors vs. Heat Player Prop
A player prop we are looking at is Pascal Siakam and his points prop of 20.5. Currently, the over for this prop is sitting at a payout of -123 while the under is at -111.
Our model predicts that Pascal Siakam will finish the game going 9/17 from the field and scoring 23 points. Our suggested wager is to bet on the over for his prop bet, which comes with a payout of -123.
- The Prop: Pascal Siakam Over 20.5 Points (-123)
Raptors vs. Heat Predictions
Coming in as the underdogs at +2, we have the Raptors as the way to go on the point spread. Not only do we have them covering, but our projections show they have a good one of winning this one straight-up, if you’re looking for a higher payout on the moneyline.
Regarding the over/under, the current line is set at 227.5, and our model predicts the Heat and Raptors to score a combined 227 points. We recommend betting on the under.
The Pick: Raptors +2 | at Fanduel Sportsbook