Raiders vs. Chiefs Player Props For Week 18: Will Mahomes Further His MVP Case?

Can I Bet On Sports in a Non-Legal State? Kansas City Chiefs quarterback Patrick Mahomes
Image Credit: Jay Biggerstaff-USA TODAY Sports

The Raiders and Chiefs had a shootout earlier in the season. Las Vegas has changed quarterbacks, but there’s still potential for offensive fireworks. Kansas City’s high-powered offense is a source of two appealing overs, and an ancillary pass-catching option for the Raiders has a good matchup for his yardage outlook. With that, let’s take a look at the top three Raiders vs. Chiefs player props for this game on Saturday, Jan. 7.

Raiders vs. Chiefs Player Props: Week 18

For a full list of Raiders vs. Chiefs player props and odds, check out our dedicated page for NFL player props.

Patrick Mahomes Over 2.5 Passing Touchdowns (+100)

Patrick Mahomes is surging toward another MVP. His resume already includes one big showing against the Raiders. In Week 5, he threw four touchdowns against Las Vegas. Additionally, he’s had more than 2.5 passing touchdowns eight times.

The superstar quarterback guides a pass-first offense. According to numberFire, the Chiefs have attempted 110 rushes by non-quarterbacks and 208 passes in neutral game scripts since Week 11. They also don’t take their foot off the gas. During that timeframe, Kansas City attempted 101 rushes by non-quarterbacks and 176 passes when tied or leading.

The Chiefs also rely on Mahomes’ arm in scoring territory. When within five yards of scoring this year, Kansas City’s attempted 26 rushes and 30 passes. Mahomes tossed 16 touchdowns in that area of the field. Of course, the rocket-armed quarterback can toss a touchdown from anywhere on the field. But, obviously, his passes near the goal line enhance his odds of eclipsing 2.5 passing touchdowns this week. Therefore, I’m betting he throws for more than 2.5 touchdowns for a second time against the Raiders this year at even money on DraftKings Sportsbook.

Where to bet: Patrick Mahomes Over 2.5 Passing Touchdowns | +100 at DraftKings Sportsbook

Hunter Renfrow Over 28.5 Receiving Yards (-115)

Sadly, it’s been a forgettable and injury-marred season for Hunter Renfrow. He showed signs of life in Week 16, though. Renfrow had four receptions for 42 yards against the Steelers. The veteran slot didn’t maintain his momentum in Jarrett Stidham’s first start of his career last week.

Nevertheless, Renfrow might be busy this week. The Raiders are sizable underdogs. They’ll have to air it out when in a negative game script. The matchup is good, too.

According to The 33rd Team and info from Sports Info Solutions, Kansas City’s allowed 60, 67, 53, 20, and 42 receiving yards to wideouts aligned in the slot in their last five games. Specifically, Tyler Boyd (60 receiving yards), Kendall Hinton (38), Jerry Jeudy (29 in Week 14 and 35 in Week 17), and Chris Moore (38) had more than 28.5 receiving yards from the slot against the Chiefs. As a result, I love Renfrow’s odds for besting 28.5 receiving yards against them this week.

Where to bet: Hunter Renfrow Over 28.5 Receiving Yards | -115 at DraftKings Sportsbook

Jerick McKinnon Over 32.5 Receiving Yards (-130)

Jerick McKinnon surged in the postseason for the Chiefs last year. He was part of a three-headed committee early this year. However, McKinnon has taken on a more extensive role in a one-two punch with Isiah Pacheco lately.

McKinnon’s shined brightest for the Chiefs as a pass-catching weapon. According to Pro Football Focus, McKinnon’s run 142 routes, and Pacheco has run 81 since Week 11. McKinnon’s been quite hot lately, too.

He’s had 112, 70, 31, and 52 receiving yards in his last four games. Conversely, the Raiders have allowed three running backs to exceed 32.5 receiving yards in three of their last five games. Namely, Najee Harris (42), Austin Ekeler (53), and Christian McCaffrey (72) had more receiving yards than McKinnon’s line of 32.5. McKinnon’s built to exacerbate Las Vegas’s problems containing running backs in the passing attack. So, I’m all over McKinnon’s prop for over 32.5 receiving yards.

Where to bet: Jerick McKinnon Over 32.5 Receiving Yards | -130 at DraftKings Sportsbook