Welcome to another week of NFL action! When beginning early prep for your weekend prop bets, I find a good exercise is to first examine the spreads.
The larger the opening spread, the more points oddsmakers project the team that’s favored to score.
One game in particular that sticks out without much deep analysis is the Los Angeles Rams, who will face off against the Detroit Lions on Sunday.
The Rams are currently -15.5 favorites, one of the biggest spreads we’ve seen this year, and it’s for a good reason.
Here are just a few reasons why you need to be looking at the Los Angeles Rams offense when placing bets in Week 7.
Difference Between Units
You’ll be hard-pressed to find a larger gap in quality than between what the Lions offer on defense and the Rams’ high-flying offensive attack.
Detroit is one of the worst defenses in the NFL, no matter how you slice it. One such metric that accurately sums up the Lions’ struggles is their opponent’s yards per play, which ranks 31st in the league.
The Lions are allowing 6.4 yards per play, and often much more, as they are particularly vulnerable to deep passes.
Well, that fits right into the Rams style of play, as no team averages more yards per pass attempt than LA at 9.1.
The passing game, for as long as this game stays close, is the clear target in this game.
Trusted Offensive Producers
When planning your bets, I recommend sticking with the trusted stars of this offense: Matthew Stafford and Cooper Kupp.
Both have shown a proclivity for airing it out and should see no resistance this Sunday.
Last week, Kupp caught nine balls for 130 yards and two touchdowns, while Stafford finished with 251 passing yards and four scores.
Kupp has yet to see less than ten targets in a game this season and boasts the elite volume you look for when betting a prop.
Consider both Kupp’s yards and a bet on his long reception, a number he’s surpassed in 5 of 6 games this season.
Stafford is averaging 306.3 passing yards per game and has thrown 16 touchdowns in just six contests. His long completion prop is another popular one, which has hit at a 67% rate to start the year.