Pittsburgh Penguins vs. Dallas Stars Player Props, Picks and Predictions – Friday, Mar. 22

Nov 20, 2023; Dallas, Texas, USA; Dallas Stars center Tyler Seguin (91) in action during the game between the Dallas Stars and the New York Rangers at the American Airlines Center.
Image Credit: Jerome Miron-USA TODAY Sports

We have your Pittsburgh Penguins vs. Dallas Stars prop betting and game preview needs covered as the Pittsburgh Penguins hit the road to face the Dallas Stars.

The Dallas Stars (42-19-9) are set to host the Pittsburgh Penguins (30-29-9) in a clash that could have significant playoff implications. With the Stars looking to solidify their position in the Western Conference and the Penguins fighting to keep their playoff hopes alive, this matchup promises high stakes and intense action.

Pittsburgh Penguins vs. Dallas Stars Odds Info

Moneyline: Pittsburgh Penguins +165 (BetMGM) / Dallas Stars -200 (BetMGM)

Puck Line: -1.5 – Pittsburgh Penguins -144 (FanDuel) / Dallas Stars +123 (BetRivers)

Total: 6.5 – -110 (PointsBet) / -109 (BetRivers)

Game Info

Date: Friday, Mar. 22

Time: 07:00 PM

Location: American Airlines Center – Dallas, TX


Pittsburgh Penguins Betting Trends

  • On the road this season, the Pittsburgh Penguins have 12 wins and 21 losses.
  • As the underdog this season, the Pittsburgh Penguins have 11 wins and 17 losses.
  • This season, the Pittsburgh Penguins have hit 31 overs and 37 unders.

Dallas Stars Betting Trends

  • At home this season, the Dallas Stars have 21 wins and 14 losses.
  • As the favorite this season, the Dallas Stars have 39 wins and 21 losses.
  • This season, the Dallas Stars have hit 41 overs and 29 unders.

Historic Head-to-Head Stats and Analysis

Over the last two seasons, the Dallas Stars and Pittsburgh Penguins have faced off three times, with the Stars emerging victorious in two of those encounters. The games, which took place on December 12, 2022, March 23, 2023, and October 24, 2023, saw the home team win twice and the visiting team once. In terms of betting, the Stars covered the spread in two games, while the Penguins did so once. Interestingly, none of the games saw the total score go over the set Over-Under line, with all three games resulting in an under. The Stars showed a strong defensive performance across these matchups, with a notable number of blocked shots and hits, while the Penguins often had more shots on goal but struggled to convert these opportunities into scores. The faceoff win percentage was fairly even between the two teams, and the Stars’ goaltending was particularly effective, with high save percentages in each game.

The most recent game on October 24, 2023, ended with a 4-1 victory for the Dallas Stars over the Pittsburgh Penguins. The Stars, who were the favorites with a closing moneyline of -132, managed to cover the spread of 1.5. The game remained under the closing Over-Under of 6.5, with a total score of 5. Key statistics from this game include the Stars’ 19 blocked shots and 12 hits, which contributed to their strong defensive performance. The Penguins had 39 shots on goal but were only able to capitalize once. The Stars’ goaltender, Jake Oettinger, had an impressive save percentage of 0.974, stopping 38 out of 39 shots. On the offensive side, the Stars had a balanced attack with contributions from multiple players, as evidenced by their seven assists and eleven points.

Pittsburgh Penguins vs. Dallas Stars Predictions

The Stars enter the game on a two-game winning streak, showcasing a blend of solid defense and opportunistic scoring. With key players like Roope Hintz leading the team in goals and Jason Robertson contributing with the highest number of assists and points, Dallas has been finding ways to win crucial games. Their defensive unit, backed by goaltender Jake Oettinger’s impressive performances, will be put to the test against a Penguins team desperate for a win.

Pittsburgh, on the other hand, is on a one-game losing streak and sits uncomfortably at the bottom of the Metropolitan Division. The Penguins’ captain, Sidney Crosby, continues to be the driving force of the team, leading in both goals and points, with defenseman Erik Karlsson providing essential playmaking from the blue line. However, the team’s overall inconsistency has been a concern, and they’ll need to address their defensive lapses and power play execution to stand a chance against the Stars’ formidable lineup.

This game could come down to key player matchups and special teams performance. The Stars’ ability to shut down Crosby and limit Karlsson’s influence from the back end will be crucial. Meanwhile, the Penguins must find a way to penetrate the Stars’ defense and capitalize on their scoring chances. With both teams having much to play for, fans can expect a tightly contested game filled with strategic plays and pivotal moments that could ultimately decide the trajectory of their seasons.

Pittsburgh Penguins vs. Dallas Stars Pick

Despite the Dallas Stars being the favorites and having a strong home record, the value lies with the Pittsburgh Penguins moneyline bet. The Penguins are fighting for their playoff lives and have historically risen to the occasion under pressure. With Sidney Crosby leading the charge and Erik Karlsson providing a spark from the defense, Pittsburgh has the veteran leadership and experience to pull off an upset. Additionally, the Penguins’ recent trend of hitting the over in four out of their last five games suggests they are finding their offensive rhythm, which could prove vital in a high-stakes matchup like this one.

While the Stars have been formidable at home, the Penguins have shown they can compete with top teams, and their desperation to stay in the playoff hunt should give them an extra edge. Moreover, the Penguins’ moneyline offers a more attractive return on investment given the odds, making it a compelling pick for bettors seeking value. Considering the high stakes and Pittsburgh’s urgency to secure a win, betting on the Penguins’ moneyline is a calculated risk that could yield significant rewards.

The Pick: Pittsburgh Penguins +165 (BetMGM)

Pittsburgh Penguins vs. Dallas Stars Player Prop Picks

Here are the players who have hit over their current prop line in at least 7 of their last 10 games.

Pittsburgh Penguins

Player Name Prop Line Over Rate Over Odds Under Odds Last 10 Average Projection
Michael Bunting Shots On Goal 2.5 8/10 +114 -145 3.0 2.91
Bryan Rust Points 0.5 7/10 -145 +114 1.0 0.94
Reilly Smith Shots On Goal 1.5 7/10 -160 +124 2.5 2.38

Dallas Stars

Player Name Prop Line Over Rate Over Odds Under Odds Last 10 Average Projection
Jason Robertson Points 0.5 9/10 -200 +154 1.3 1.20
Jamie Benn Points 0.5 8/10 -115 -115 1.2 1.20
Jason Robertson Assists 0.5 7/10 -105 -125 0.8 0.81
Wyatt Johnston Points 0.5 7/10 -125 -105 1.2 1.10
Joe Pavelski Shots On Goal 1.5 8/10 -195 +150 2.2 2.24
Jamie Benn Shots On Goal 1.5 7/10 -175 +135 2.7 2.77
Wyatt Johnston Shots On Goal 2.5 7/10 -135 +105 3.9 3.92