The Patriots are gearing up for a showdown against the Kansas City Chiefs on Sunday, Dec 17. This week 15 game is scheduled to start at 1:00 ET and will be broadcast on FOX. Kansas City comes into this matchup as 8.5-point favorites, with the over/under set at 37.5. Will the Chiefs manage to secure a win as the favorite? Below, you’ll find our Patriots vs. Chiefs player props and predictions.
Patriots VS. Chiefs Odds
- Spread: Chiefs -8.5
- Total 37.5
Game Info
- Date: Sunday, Dec 17
- Time: 1:00 ET
- Location: Gillette Stadium, Foxborough MA
- TV: FOX
Chiefs Betting Trends
- Over their last five games, the Chiefs have an over/under record of 2-3 and are 2-3 vs. the spread.
- Across their three previous road games, Kansas City has an ATS mark of 1-2. Their straight-up record in these matchups was 1-2 while averaging 19 points per game.
- In their last three games as the betting favorite, the Chiefs have a straight-up record of 1-2 and an ATS mark of 1-2.
Patriots Betting Trends
- In their last five games, the Patriots have an over/under record of 1-4 and are 1-4 vs. the spread.
- When looking at their past three home matchups, New England has an ATS record of 1-2 while averaging 15 per game. The team went 1-2 overall in these games.
- In their last three games as the betting underdog, the Patriots have a straight-up record of 1-2 and an ATS mark of 1-2.
Will Kansas City Find a Way to Win on the Road?
Heading into week 15, the Chiefs are 1st in the AFC-West on a record of 8-5. When comparing their mark to other teams in the AFC, they are 3rd. So far, they have gone 4-2 on the road and 4-3 at home. The Chiefs have a scoring margin of +4.9 this season, which has led to an ATS record of 7-6.
The Chiefs recently suffered a 20-17 defeat at the hands of the Bills. Besides their straight-up loss, the Chiefs also failed to cover the spread as 1.5-point favorites. The under hit in the Chiefs’ most recent game, as the teams combined for 37 points. The line going into the game was 49.5.
Kansas City’s offense finished with 346 yards of total offense vs. the Bills. On third down, the Chiefs converted at a rate of 50%. Clyde Edwards-Helaire was the Chiefs’ top rusher with 39 yards, while Patrick Mahomes threw for 271 yards.
In terms of yards allowed, the Chiefs are 6th in the league while giving up 299.9 yards per contest. Kansas City’s defense has allowed 17.5 points per game, placing them 3rd in the NFL.
Will the Patriots Pull Through as the Home Underdog?
As week 15 approaches, New England is in 4th place in the AFC-East, coming in with an overall record of 3-10. In the AFC, they currently reside in 16th place. Against the spread, the Patriots have a record of 3-10. Their average scoring margin for the season is currently -7.9.
In their most recent matchup, the Patriots secured a win against the Steelers, with a final score of 21-18. In addition to winning straight-up, the Patriots covered the spread as 5-point underdogs. The over/under line for the game was 30.5 points, and the combined total points scored went over, reaching 39 points.
Facing the Steelers, the Patriots rushed the ball 25 times, with Ezekiel Elliott leading the team with 68 yards. Bailey Zappe attempted 28 passes, accumulating 240 yards and a passer rating of 115.
When it comes to turnovers, the New England defense has forced 12 takeaways, putting them 12th in the NFL. Overall, they are allowing 20.9 points per game and yielding 306.9 yards.
Patriots vs. Chiefs Player Prop
Bailey Zappe’s passing yards prop vs. the Chiefs is currently 190.5. The odds suggest that he has a 53% chance of surpassing this total, and the under payout stands at -118.
Zappe comes into this game ranked 38th among quarterbacks in passing attempts. Thus far, he has thrown for 539 yards with a completion rate of 55.4%. With the Chiefs defense excelling in getting off the field on third downs this season, I’ll be taking the under at 190.5 passing yards. Look for the Patriots offense to have a tough time sustaining drives vs. Kansas City.
- The Prop: Bailey Zappe Under 190.5 Passing Yards (-118)
Patriots VS. Chiefs Predictions
After starting as the 10.0-point road favorites, Kansas City is still in the favored position, although the lines have shifted to -8.5.
After a good defensive display against Pittsburgh, New England is my top choice to cover the spread this week, especially with the line currently set at +8.5.
The Pick: Patriots +8.5 | -111 at Fanduel Sportsbook