Patrick Mahomes prop bets have been released ahead of the Eagles vs. Chiefs showdown for the Super Bowl on Sunday, Feb. 12. Below, we’ll find the best Patrick Mahomes player prop bets with respect to the odds, trends, and overall betting value.
Best Patrick Mahomes Prop For The Super Bowl
Let’s take a look at our favorite Patrick Mahomes prop bet for Super Bowl 57.
Patrick Mahomes Over 288.5 Passing Yards (-115)
Mahomes is averaging 308.8 passing yards per game this season, which was the highest mark in the NFL. He has gone over 288.5 passing yards in 12 of 19 games this season, which includes the playoffs. Mahomes went for 326 passing yards against Cincinnati last week, and now his ankle has had more time to heal up.
As for the playoffs, he’s averaging 300.2 passing yards per game in 13 postseason appearances. He has gone over 288.5 passing yards in 7 of those 13 playoff outings.
As our NFL prop betting analyst, Josh Shepardson, said in his Chiefs Player Props article:
“Mahomes has averaged 320.4 passing yards per game in 11 games played in a dome or stadium with a retractable roof. The lack of weather concerns is perfect for Mahomes’ passing outlook. Finally, the Eagles have rarely been tested by quality quarterbacks this year. Yet, Aaron Rodgers and Jordan Love combined for 253 passing yards on only 25 attempts in Week 12, and Dak Prescott torched them for 347 passing yards on only 35 attempts in Week 16. Therefore, Mahomes can shred them.”
Where to bet: Patrick Mahomes Over 288.5 Passing Yards | -115 at DraftKings Sportsbook
Patrick Mahomes Passing Touchdown Trends
- Threw for 2+ TDs in 8 of his last 10 (80%) games after a win. (avg. 1.9 per gm)
- Threw for 2+ TDs in 7 of his last 24 (29.17%) games against a team with a winning record. (avg. 0.9 per gm)
Patrick Mahomes Passing Yards Trends
- Passed for 289+ yards in 12 of 19 games this season, including the playoffs. (avg. 308.8 per gm)
- Passed for 289+ yards in 7 of 13 career playoff games. (avg. 300.2 per gm)
Patrick Mahomes Interception Trends
- Recorded 1+ interception in 3 of his last 13 (23.08%) games. (avg. 0.3 per gm)
- Recorded 1+ interception in 3 of his last 13 (23.08%) games when his team is the favorite. (avg. 0.3 per gm)