Will Patrick Mahomes Break The NFL Single-Season Passing Record?

Kansas City Chiefs quarterback Patrick Mahomes (15) throws during the first half against the Houston Texans at NRG Stadium.
Image Credit: Kevin Jairaj-USA TODAY Sports

Peyton Manning sits atop the single-season passing yards history books with an incredible 5,477 yards for the Denver Broncos in 2013. Fast forward to 2022, and Patrick Mahomes is currently 982 yards away from breaking that record with three games remaining in the regular season. Will Mahomes surpass that record and enter a league of his own as an all-time great?

Will Patrick Mahomes Break The NFL Single-Season Passing Record?

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Should You Bet On Mahomes To Break The Record?

Now it definitely seems like a win-win here, so let’s dive into the numbers to solidify why Mahomes is set up to break this monumental record.

The first stat to consider is how many yards the Chiefs’ playmaker is averaging per game. The answer is 313. Now if we extrapolate that out, including some of the strong opponents he has already found success against, he would end up with 939. This number could easily be higher if the dangerous Chiefs offense explodes for just one big play.

Breaking Down The Opponents

Mahomes’ final three opponents will be the Seahawks, Broncos, and Raiders. The numbers are a bit more confounding if we take a look at how many passing yards each of these teams have been giving up in 2022:

  • Seahawks – 217.7 per game – 17th in pass defense
  • Broncos – 194.5 per game – 5th in pass defense
  • Raiders – 244.3 per game – 26th in pass defense

An important note to consider is that Mahomes has thrown for over 300 yards in his past two games against the Texans (336 yds) and the aforementioned Broncos (352). So the key here is not to let the numbers fool you. Mahomes is a dominant quarterback who is easily capable of topping the necessary yardage to surpass the NFL single-season passing yards record and establish all the needed momentum for his team entering the playoffs.

In addition, the Chiefs are in a dead heat with the Buffalo Bills and Cincinnati Bengals for the top seed in the AFC, which comes with an all-important first round bye. Because of that, Mahomes should keep his foot on the gas pedal across the last three games of the regular season.

Act Now: This Special Expires Dec. 24

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