The buzz around who will lead the NFL in passing yards in 2023 is in full swing, and interestingly, it’s not just about the favorite. According to BetMGM, Patrick Mahomes of the Kansas City Chiefs is the top choice, with odds placed at +400. He’s followed by Justin Herbert and Joe Burrow, both at +600 and then Josh Allen at +900. Mahomes, the reigning champ, won last year with an impressive 5,250 passing yards, marking the first such title in his career.
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Justin Herbert of the Los Angeles Chargers is turning heads in this betting market. Despite missing two of his main receivers for a large part of last season, he came in second with 4,739 yards. It’s a testament to his skill and adaptability.
Now, with Keenan Allen and Mike Williams back and in top form, bettors are seeing Herbert in a new light. His chances are even better now that the Chargers have drafted Quentin Johnston, a promising 6’3″ receiver from TCU, adding to their formidable roster.
The Chargers when Justin Herbert starts have been putting up historic numbers on both sides of the ball pic.twitter.com/sQKOMTomTQ
— Barstool Sportsbook (@BSSportsbook) July 24, 2023
As of July 25, BetMGM’s stats show that while Mahomes garners the most betting tickets at 22.3%, the story takes a surprising turn when it comes to where the big money lies. Herbert, who has 11.7% of betting tickets, commands 22.9% of the betting handle.
He edges out Mahomes who holds 22.6% of the handle, implying that high-roller bettors are banking on Herbert to take the lead in passing yards in 2023.
This shift indicates a level of confidence in Herbert’s potential to outperform his peers. It’s also an endorsement of the new Chargers offensive coordinator, Kellen Moore. The sharp money movement suggests bettors are expecting him to leverage his team’s health and new additions to their fullest.
It’ll be exciting to see how this prediction plays out as the season progresses. One thing is for sure: the passing yards race is shaping up to be more thrilling than ever.
Looking for more NFL season-long player props? Matt LaMarca dishes his 5 favorite props to bet on before the 2023 NFL season.
