Nuggets vs. Warriors Player Props & Predictions – Wednesday 11/8

Stephen Curry #30 of the Golden State Warriors reacts as he walks back to defend during the first half against the Los Angeles Lakers in game three of the Western Conference Semifinal Playoffs at Crypto.com Arena on May 06, 2023 in Los Angeles, California.
(Photo by Ronald Martinez/Getty Images)

If you’re on the hunt for predictions regarding Nuggets vs. Warriors, look no further. The Warriors are hitting the road to challenge the Nuggets on Wednesday, Nov 8 at 10:00 ET. Currently, the total is 227.5, with the Nuggets being favored by 3.5. Keep reading to get our Nuggets vs. Warriors player props and predictions.

Nuggets vs. Warriors Odds

  • Spread: Nuggets -3.5
  • Total 227.5

Game Info

  • Date: Wednesday, Nov 8
  • Time: 10:00 ET
  • Location: Ball Arena, Denver CO
  • TV: ESPN

Warriors Betting Trends

  • Over their last five games, the Warriors have an over/under record of 3-2 and are 2-3 vs. the spread.
  • Across their three previous road games, Golden State has an ATS mark of 1-2. Their straight up record in these matchups was 2-1 while averaging 121 points per game.
  • The last ten games that Golden State was the underdog, they have an ATS mark of 3-7 while going 3-7 straight up.

Nuggets Betting Trends

  • In their last five games, the Nuggets have an over/under record of 3-2 and are 4-1 vs. the spread.
  • Across their last five home contests, Denver has been good against the spread posting a mark of 3-2. Their overall mark in these games was 4-1, while averaging 108 points per game.
  • Going back to their last ten games as the favorite, the Nuggets have a straight up record of 9-1. But, their mark vs the spread was just 6-4.

Do the Warriors Have What it Takes to Win as Road Underdogs?

Over the Warriors’ last five games, they are 4-1 and come in with an overall record of 6-2. The team is presently 3rd in the Western Conference and 1st in the Pacific division.

The Warriors’ offense wrapped up their last game with 120 points, aligning closely with their current season average of 116.1 points per contest. The Warriors offense has been looking to get up shots from outside so far this season, averaging 39.2 three-point attempts per contest. Overall, they have connected on 36% of their looks from outside this season.

Golden State’s defense has been playing well, ranking 12th in the NBA with 110.4 points allowed per game.

Can Denver Pull Off a Home Win?

Coming into today’s game vs. the Warriors, the Nuggets are looking to build on their above .500 record of 7-1. During their eight games, the Nuggets have gone 6-1 against teams in the Western Conference and 1-0 in non-conference matchups.

In their latest game, Denver’s offense looked good, scoring 134 points against the Pelicans. They recorded an overall field goal percentage of 53.7% and made 17/23 free throws. Nikola Jokic is the current leading scorer for the team, with an average of 28.4 as they approach today’s matchup. In addition, Michael Porter Jr. brings a PPG average of 15.9 into the game.

Currently, the Nuggets’ defense holds the 4th rank in the NBA, allowing 106.1 points per game.

Nuggets vs. Warriors Player Prop

A player prop we are looking at is Stephen Curry and his points prop of 28.5. Currently, the over for this prop is sitting at a payout of -120 while the under is at -105. For his matchup against the Nuggets, we recommend taking the under on Stephen Curry and his prop bet of 28.5 points. According to our player projection model, he is expected to fall short of his prop, with a projection of 22.

The Prop: Stephen Curry Under 28.5 Points (-105)

Nuggets vs. Warriors Predictions

When looking to get a point-spread pick down in this Nuggets vs. Nuggets game, our recommendation is to take the Warriors at +3.5. Despite our model showing the Nuggets winning 109-108, we like Nuggets as our point-spread pick.

As for the over/under, the line is currently at 227.5, and our model projects the Warriors and Nuggets to reach a combined total of 217 points. Our bet is on taking the under.

The Pick: Warriors +3.5