The Nuggets are all set to face off against the Phoenix Suns on Tuesday, Mar 5. Today’s game is slated to tip off at 10:00 ET and will be shown on TNT. Denver enters this contest as 9.5-point favorites, and the over/under total stands at 223.5. Can the Suns come out on top as the favorite? Our Nuggets vs. Suns predictions can be found below.
Nuggets vs. Suns Odds
- Spread: Nuggets -9.5
- Total 223.5
Odds via FanDuel SportsBook. New To FanDuel? Check out our FanDuel Sportsbook Review to find out how to redeem a $1,000 risk-free bet!
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Game Info
- Date: Tuesday, Mar 5
- Time: 10:00 ET
- Location: Ball Arena, Denver CO
- TV: TNT
Suns Betting Trends
- Over their last five games, the Suns have an over/under record of 0-5 and are 1-4 vs. the spread.
- In their last ten games away from home, the Suns have a straight up record of 4-6 while going 4-6 vs the spread. The team’s offense averaged 121 points per game in these contests.
- Looking back on the team’s last five games as the underdog, the Suns have a straight up record of 2-3. Their record vs the spread in these games was 2-3.
Nuggets Betting Trends
- In their last five games, the Nuggets have an over/under record of 1-4 and are 2-3 vs. the spread.
- In their last three home games, Denver has averaged 123 points per game while allowing 109. The team’s record in this stretch was 3-0 while going 3-0 vs. the spread.
- Through their last five games as the favorite, the Nuggets have an ATS record of 4-1 and a straight up mark of 5-0.
Can Phoenix Pull Off a Road Win?
Today, the Suns are looking to snap a two-game losing streak as they take on the Nuggets. Phoenix is currently 6th in the Western Conference with a record of 35-26.
Looking at their ATS record, the Suns are 24-36 for the season and 12-16 ATS on the road. As underdogs, they are 5-10 ATS this season and have failed to cover the spread in three straight games.
This season, the Suns have been the underdog in 15 of their 61 games. On average, they have been the underdog by 4.5 points per game, going 6-9 ATS. Today, they are 9.5-point underdogs.
In their last game, the Suns lost to the Thunder by a score of 118-110. The O/U line for that game was 232.5, and Phoenix was getting 4.5 points as the underdog.
Phoenix’s O/U record for the season is 27-34, and the under has hit in their last seven games. Today’s O/U line is 223.5, which is lower than their season average of 232.8.
So far this season, the Suns’ offense has been one of the most efficient in the league. They are currently 4th in field goal percentage and 5th in true shooting percentage. In terms of scoring, they are 13th in the NBA, averaging 117.1 points per game.
When it comes to three-point shooting, the Suns are 10th in the league in three-point percentage but just 22nd in three-point makes per game. Overall, they are 9th in two-point field goal percentage.
Heading into tonight’s game, the Suns have outscored the NBA scoring average in 52.5% of their games. However, they have failed to reach their scoring average in each of their last three games.
On average, the Phoenix defense is giving up 114.4 points per game (16th). Right now, they are on a 2 game streak of giving up fewer points than their season average. Opponents are hitting 53.1% of their two-point field goal attempts this season, and they’re also connecting on 36.3% of their three-point attempts.
Do the Nuggets Have What it Takes at Home?
As the Nuggets look to extend their win streak to seven games, they come into today’s game as 9.5-point favorites. In their last three home games, they have covered the spread.
In the Western Conference, the Nuggets are in 3rd place with a record of 42-19. Against other Western Conference teams, they are 24-13 compared to 18-6 in non-conference games.
Denver’s ATS record for the season is 27-32, and they are 14-14 ATS at home. On average, they are outscoring their opponents by +9.8 points per game at home.
In their most recent game, the Nuggets defeated the Lakers by a score of 124-114. They were also favored by 1 point in that game, giving them a 10-point ATS win.
This season, the Nuggets have a record of 22-38-1 on the O/U, and their games have averaged 224.8 points. Today’s O/U line is set at 223.5, and 41 of their games have had higher over/under lines.
At home this season, the Nuggets are averaging 118.5 points per game, which is 9th in the NBA. Overall, they are 16th in scoring at 114.5 points per game. Denver has outscored the league average in 47.5% of their games this season.
When it comes to shooting, the Nuggets have been one of the best teams inside the arc. They are 2nd in two-point field goals made and have a 56% shooting percentage on two-point attempts. However, Denver is just 27th in three-point shooting at 36%.
So far this season, the Nuggets have been one of the best passing teams in the NBA. They are averaging 29.1 assists per game, which is 4th in the league. In terms of pace, Denver is 29th at 96.1 possessions per game.
At present, the Nuggets’ defense is ranked 7th, allowing 110.3 points per game. In terms of takeaways, the Nuggets are causing 11.9 turnovers per game, ranking 5th in the league. They also enter the matchup ranked 11th in rejections, averaging 5.5 blocked shots each game.
Nuggets vs. Suns Player Prop
A player prop we are looking at is Kevin Durant and his points prop of 27.5. Currently, the over for this prop is sitting at a payout of -121 while the under is at -113. Considering his prop is set at 27.5, our model recommends taking the over, as we expect him to finish with 28. We anticipate him shooting 52.6% from the field and making two threes.
- The Prop: Kevin Durant Over 27.5 Points (-121)
Nuggets vs. Suns Predictions
As the underdogs with a spread of +9.5, we recommend going with the Suns on the point spread. We not only see them covering the spread but also have a strong likelihood of winning this one outright, especially if you’re seeking a higher payout on the moneyline.
Regarding the over/under, the current line is set at 223.5, and our model predicts the Suns and Nuggets to score a combined 226 points. We recommend betting on the over.
The Pick: Suns +9.5 | at Fanduel Sportsbook