Do you want to add some excitement to your NFL betting experience? Receiving prop bets offer a fantastic way to engage with the game beyond just picking winners and losers. These bets focus on wide receiver, tight end, and running back receiving performances. They provide countless opportunities to put your football knowledge to the test.
In this guide, we break down the most popular types of NFL receiving props, show you how they work, and explain how to find value based on matchups, trends, and odds movement. You’ll also get our expert picks for the best receiving props available today, along with our favorite season-long futures to consider before the first snap.
Best NFL receiving props available today
Below, we break down our best season-long receiving picks for the upcoming 2025 season.
CeeDee Lamb More Than 1,274.5 Receiving Yards
CeeDee Lamb had 1,194 receiving yards last season. However, roughly everything went wrong for Lamb in 2024. First, he missed two games and played seven games with a sprained AC joint he suffered in Week 9.
Second, Dak Prescott played only eight games before missing the rest of the year with a gruesome hamstring tendon injury. Even with the deck stacked against Lamb in 2024, he was only 80.5 receiving yards under his line for this season.
According to the data suite at Fantasy Points, in Lamb’s first eight games of the year, when he was healthy and Prescott started, Lamb had a 30.3% air yards share, 24.5% target share, 0.28 targets per route run, 30.4% first-read rate, 10.0 targets per game, 53 receptions (6.6 per game), 660 receiving yards (82.5 per game), and 2.32 yards per route run.
Lamb would need only 15.4 games of averaging 82.5 receiving yards per game to eclipse 1274.5 receiving yards this season. The Cowboys failed to make any meaningful additions to their pass-catching corps in free agency, via trade, or in the NFL Draft this year. In fact, Brandin Cooks left as a free agent. Lamb is a legitimate threat to lead the NFL in targets, receptions, and receiving yards as a one-man show in Dallas’s pass-catching corps. He should easily clear 1,274.5 receiving yards if he stays healthy.
Where to play: CeeDee Lamb More Than 1,274.5 Receiving Yards | Underdog
Travis Kelce Less Than 699.5 Receiving Yards
Travis Kelce is obviously a future Hall of Famer, but Father Time gets the better of everyone. Kelce won’t be the exception, and last year provided signs he might be here.
Among 65 tight ends with at least 100 routes in the 2025 regular season, Kelce was fourth in target share (22.0%), tied for seventh in targets per route run (0.25), fifth in receiving yards per game (51.4), 17th in yards per route run (1.62), 47th in yards per target (6.43), and 50th in yards per reception (8.48). Kelce soaked up targets, but he was incredibly inefficient.
Additionally, Noah Gray tied Kelce in yards per route run. Kelce exploded for 117 receiving yards in the Divisional Round. Still, he couldn’t even tap into his postseason magic, amassing only 19 and 39 receiving yards in the AFC Championship Game and the Super Bowl.
Un-coincidentally, Kelce’s production was putrid out of the gate when Rashee Rice was healthy, and it also dipped after Xavier Worthy settled into a groove and Marquise “Hollywood” Brown returned. Patrick Mahomes doesn’t need to force-feed Kelce anymore, especially if Rice is healthy to begin the year and the continued lack of a court date for Rice’s reckless driving incident prevents him from facing a suspension. Worthy is also a candidate for a second-year leap, and Brown was re-signed in free agency. Thus, Kelce’s production should take another hit after tallying a career-low 823 receiving yards, excluding his rookie season, when he played only one special-teams snap and landed on the injured reserve.
Where to play: Travis Kelce Less Than 699.5 Receiving Yards | Underdog
Best sportsbooks for placing NFL receiving prop bets
When betting on NFL receiving props, choosing the right sportsbook can significantly impact your experience and potential winnings. The best platforms offer competitive odds, a wide range of prop options, and user-friendly interfaces to enhance your betting experience.
We’ve analyzed the top sportsbooks for NFL receiving props, comparing their offerings, bonuses, and user experience. These assessments will help you find the best option for your specific preferences.
DraftKings Sportsbook
DraftKings stands out for its extensive selection of NFL receiving props and its intuitive betting platform. Their mobile app makes finding and placing prop bets quick and simple, with a clean interface that displays odds.
We like their variety of receiving props. DraftKings consistently offers yards, receptions, touchdowns, and even more creative props like longest reception and first-quarter performance. Their early line releases also give you more time to analyze and place your bets.
New players can claim a welcome offer of a deposit match bonus up to $1,000 after depositing at $5 and entering the promo code. The sportsbook also features regular NFL-specific promotions throughout the season that can add extra value to your receiving prop bets.
FanDuel Sportsbook
FanDuel offers one of the most comprehensive selections of NFL receiving props on a user-friendly interface. Their “Same Game Parlay” feature is strong, allowing you to combine multiple receiving props for potentially bigger payouts.
Their live betting platform excels in in-game receiving props, with odds that update quickly and smoothly. FanDuel typically offers competitive lines on reception totals, often with -110 odds on both sides when other books might have more juice.
New customers can take advantage of a bet at least $5 and get $200 in bonus bets welcome offer, with the bonus paid if your first bet wins. FanDuel also frequently runs odds boosts on popular receiver props, providing extra value throughout the NFL season.
Caesars Sportsbook
Caesars provides a solid range of NFL receiving props with some of the most competitive odds in the industry. Their lines often differ slightly from other major sportsbooks, creating opportunities for line shopping and value finding.
The platform excels at prop bet variety, especially for primetime games, offering specialized receiving props not available elsewhere. Caesars also posts its lines early, giving users more time for research and analysis.
When new players claim the welcome offer, they’ll get ten 100% profit boost tokens up to $25 Max Bet Per Boost, providing excellent value for trying different receiving props. Caesar’s rewards program also allows you to earn points when betting on props that can be redeemed at their retail locations.
BetMGM Sportsbook
As an official NFL betting partner, BetMGM offers extensive receiving prop markets with strong options for player touchdowns and multi-leg props. Their “Easy Parlay” feature makes combining receiving props with other bet types easier.
BetMGM’s odds are typically competitive, especially on reception props, where they sometimes offer better lines than competitors. Their mobile app makes finding specific receiving props straightforward with an efficient navigation system.
Newcomers can access an offer up to $1,500 on their first bet, getting the stake back in bonus bets if their first wager loses. BetMGM also features regular “Lion’s Boost” promotions that enhance odds on popular receiving prop combinations.
Fanatics Sportsbook
Fanatics is a new entrant to the sports betting market, but has quickly established strong NFL receiving prop offerings. Their platform provides a fresh approach with a clean design and straightforward navigation.
While their prop selection isn’t as extensive as some competitors, they offer all the major receiving markets with competitive odds. Fanatics excels at offering player-focused promotions that frequently include boosted odds on receiver performances.
As part of their welcome offer, new users can claim up to $300 in bonus bets when betting $30. Though relatively new, Fanatics is quickly gaining popularity for its streamlined betting experience and valuable promotions on NFL markets.
Single-game receiving prop bets explained
Single-game receiving prop bets offer a unique way for bettors to engage with games, providing the chance to wager on a receiver’s performance in a specific matchup. These bets focus on short-term outcomes, influenced by factors like game flow, defensive matchups, and quarterback performance. In contrast to its counterparts, single-game props are more immediate.
Player receiving yards over/under (single game)
This prop focuses on the total number of receiving yards a player will accumulate in a single game. Factors like game flow, matchup quality, and quarterback performance are essential to consider when predicting a receiver’s total yards for the game.
Example: Tyreek Hill has an over/under of 89.5 receiving yards. If he finishes with 90 or more yards, the other wins. For the under to win, he must finish with 89 or fewer yards.
Player receiving touchdowns (single game)
This prop bet focuses on whether a player will score a touchdown in a single game. Bettors should consider red-zone opportunities, the player’s history of scoring, and the opposing defense’s vulnerability to touchdowns.
Example: Justin Jefferson is listed at +150 to score a touchdown. To win the bet, he must score at least one touchdown.
Player receptions over/under (single game)
This prop bet focuses on the total number of player receptions in a single game. Key factors include the receiver’s role in the offense, the team’s passing volume, and the quality of the defensive matchup.
Example: Cooper Kupp has an over/under of 6.5 receptions. 7 or more receptions win the over bet, and 6 or fewer wins the under.
Anytime receiving touchdown scorer
This prop bet focuses on whether a player will score a touchdown at any point during the game. Bettors should consider the player’s red-zone usage, overall scoring ability, and the defence they’re facing.
Example: Ja’Marr CHase is listed at +120 to score a touchdown at any time. If he scores at least one touchdown during the game, the bet wins. If not, the bet loses.
Less common single-game receiving prop bets
These bets cover more niche scenarios, like the longest reception by a player or the number of receptions in the first half. They focus on specific game moments and can be influenced by the team strategy and game flow.
Example: DeVonta Smith has an over/under of 19.5 yards for his longest reception. If he records a catch of 20 yards or more, the over wins. If his longest is 19 or less, the under wins.
Season-long receiving prop bets explained
Season-long receiving prop bets allow you to wager on a receiver’s performance across an entire NFL season. These bets test your ability to forecast player production over many games. They consider factors like team offence, quarterback play, and matchup schedules.
Unlike single-game props, season-long bets require a broader understanding of how a player might perform across different scenarios and conditions. The extended timeframe makes these bets particularly exciting, as they keep you engaged with specific players throughout the season.
Season receiving yards leader
This bet requires predicting which receiver will accumulate the most receiving yards throughout the season. Key factors include target share, quarterback play, and team offensive strategy. Bettors should assess past performances, injury history, and matchup trends to make informed predictions. A strong bet would focus on receivers with high target volume and a proven track record.
Example: Justin Jefferson is favored at +600 to lead the league in receiving yards. If he ends with the most yards, the bet wins. If another player tops him, the bet loses.
Season receiving touchdowns leader
This prop centers on identifying which receiver will score the most receiving touchdowns over the season. It accounts for red-zone targets, the player’s role in the offense, and the team’s scoring opportunities. Detailed analysis of scoring trends and historical touchdown data is essential when placing this bet.
Example: Ja’Marr Chase is listed at +700 to lead in receiving touchdowns. If he scores the most, the bet wins. If another receiver scores more, the bet loses.
Player-specific receiving yards over/under
This bet allows bettors to wager on whether a receiver will exceed a set receiving yard total for the season. Key factors include target share, game script, and overall offensive scheme. Performance metrics and matchup projections play a significant role in deciding the outcome.
Example: Cooper Kupp has an over/under set at 1,200 yards. If he finishes with 1,201 yards, the over wins. If he finishes with 1,199 yards, the under bet wins.
Player-specific receiving touchdowns over/under
This bet predicts whether a receiver will score over or under a set number of touchdowns. It considers red-zone utilization and scoring consistency. Bettors should analyze the receiver’s role in the offense and past scoring data for a more accurate prediction.
Example: Tyreek Hill has an over/under of 8 touchdowns. He must score 9 or more for the over bet to win; 7 or fewer will see the under bet winning.
Season receptions over/under
This prop bet focuses on the total number of receiver receptions over the season. The team’s passing volume and players’ roles in the offense are key factors. Bettors should consider target distributions, past reception counts, and offensive game plans.
Example: Amon-Ra St. Brown has an over/under of 90 receptions. If he ends with 91 or more, the over bet wins. If he has 89 or fewer, the under bet wins.
Less common season-long receiving prop bets
These bets might involve wagering on a receiver achieving a specific number of 100-yard games or scoring a touchdown in multiple games. Such bets can be speculative and are influenced by team performance, player health, and matchups. Bettors should focus on consistent performers with favorable schedules.
Examples: A bet might be placed on a receiver to have at least 5 games with over 100 receiving yards. If achieved, the bet wins; if not, it loses.
When do sportsbooks release receiving props?
Knowing when sportsbooks release NFL receiving props can help you find the best value before odds shift due to injuries, lineup news, or public betting.
Season-long props
These typically drop shortly after the previous NFL season ends, often around the NFL Draft in April or May. Early lines cover markets like receiving yards leaders, touchdown leaders, and player-specific over/unders for yards, receptions, and touchdowns.
Early odds are shaped by the prior season’s stats, free agency moves, rookie additions, and coaching changes. Value often exists in receivers returning from injury or underperforming the year prior, and books may initially post conservative lines before public confidence catches up. These odds are frequently adjusted again during training camp as depth charts and offensive schemes evolve.
Single-game props
For Sunday games, sportsbooks usually release player receiving props by Wednesday afternoon. Props for Thursday Night Football are typically up by Tuesday.
Expect major line adjustments on Thursday and Friday as injury reports become more reliable. Reports of limited or full practice participation, weather forecasts, and coach comments can move lines significantly. A line shift of 5+ yards or 0.5 receptions usually signals meaningful news.
Last-minute opportunities
The final 90 minutes before kickoff can present strong value. This window often includes breaking injury news, official inactive lists, or weather developments, especially in outdoor stadiums. Sharp bettors track beat reporter updates and act quickly across multiple books before lines adjust.
Staying alert and acting fast can turn late-breaking news into profitable prop bets.
Tips and strategies for betting on NFL receiving props
Betting on NFL receiving props successfully takes more than just knowing the players. You need a strategy that combines stats, timing, odds evaluation, and bankroll management. Here’s how to sharpen your approach and improve your edge.
Start with a foundation of stats and trends. Key metrics like target share percentage, air yards, yards after catch (YAC), red zone target rate, and routes run are more predictive than traditional box score stats.
Line shopping is also a noteworthy factor. Props can vary significantly between sportsbooks, not just in price, but in number. One book might offer a receiver’s yardage at 62.5, while another has 67.5. Even a half-reception difference can make or break your bet.
Bankroll management keeps you in the game. Limit individual prop bets to 1–3% of your total bankroll, spread action across multiple props rather than going all-in on one, and track your bets to evaluate trends. Consider creating a dedicated budget just for prop betting. Resist the urge to chase losses or raise bet sizes after a win—consistency is key to long-term success.
Efficient research helps you work smarter, not harder. Start with injury reports, especially for quarterbacks, offensive lines, and DBs. Then select defensive matchups by receiver alignment, target distribution trends, and expected game script. Underdogs are more likely to pass, while teams playing in windy or rainy conditions tend to hit the under on receiving yards. Slot receivers often offer the most consistent value on reception totals, while outside receivers may be more volatile depending on the cornerback matchup.
Finally, reacting to news and market movements is essential. Injuries, unexpected inactives, weather changes, and even coach interviews can all shift a receiver’s outlook quickly. Sharp betting action, especially during off-hours, often signals market-moving news. Track alerts from NFL insiders and news outlets to react before the lines move.
Understanding why and when props shift lets you make smarter, faster decisions—and often get ahead of the crowd.
What common mistakes should we avoid when betting on NFL receiving props?
Even seasoned bettors can fall into common traps when betting on NFL receiving props. Recognizing and avoiding these mistakes can improve your decision-making and boost your chances of long-term success.
One major misstep is overreacting to news and injuries without considering the bigger picture. It’s tempting to rush into a bet when a player is ruled out, but knee-jerk reactions often miss the nuances.
Another costly mistake is ignoring line movement. Betting without checking how a line has moved, or misinterpreting why it moved, can lead to poor value. Not all movements reflect sharp action; public headlines drive some.
Finally, bettors often misjudge matchups by relying solely on team-level stats. A defense ranked fifth against the pass might still struggle against slot receivers. Avoid focusing only on overall rankings and instead evaluate individual matchups, scheme tendencies, and how certain receiver types have fared against that defence. Proper matchup analysis requires a deeper look, beyond the surface numbers.
Live betting on NFL receiving props
Live betting on NFL receiving props adds real-time excitement by allowing bets as the game unfolds. Unlike pre-game wagers, these bets are based on actual game flow, creating chances to capitalize on mispriced lines.
Watch for unexpected target patterns, defensive adjustments, and changing game scripts to find value. Key betting times include after a slow start, during two-minute drills, or following defensive injuries. Halftime is a golden window—books adjust based on stats, but savvy bettors anticipate strategic shifts.
Benefits of live betting include reacting to real-time performance and hedging poor pre-game bets. However, risks like emotional betting, volatile odds, and limited research time demand discipline. Set smaller bet sizes, follow a plan, and avoid impulsive reactions.
Live receiving prop betting rewards sharp observation and quick decisions. In this dynamic market, stay calm and focused on the game to find edges that others miss.
How to Parlay NFL receiving props?
Parlaying NFL receiving props involves combining multiple bets into one wager for bigger potential payouts, but with higher risk. It’s a fun, strategic way to amplify returns by applying your knowledge across different players or games.
Same-game parlay (SGP) is a popular option that combines multiple receiving props from a single game. For example, you might pair a receiver’s over on receptions with their touchdown prop. You can also mix in props from different players or include game outcomes like the point total or spread.
Rewards of receiving prop parlays include multiplied payouts, more minor investment requirements, and increased excitement. But the risks are significant—every leg must hit, reducing your overall chances of success.
Limit parlays to 2–3 legs to improve your chances of success, look for correlated props, and only include bets you feel strongly about. Consider alternate lines to boost hit rates. Diversifying across games can also reduce the risk of one bad game script ruining the whole parlay.
Finally, keep parlays to a small slice of your betting portfolio (10–20%). They’re best used as high-upside plays rather than core strategy. A smart move? Try two separate three-leg parlays instead of one six-leg bet to improve your odds while aiming for strong returns.
How do sportsbooks set & adjust NFL receiving prop odds?
Sportsbooks use advanced models and market insights to set and adjust NFL receiving prop odds. Understanding this process can help bettors identify value and anticipate line movement.
Setting the lines: data-driven foundations
Oddsmakers begin with player performance data. Historical stats like target share, catch rate, yards after catch, red zone usage, and recent production trends all shape initial lines. They also factor in offensive schemes—how teams distribute targets and whether a receiver fits the coordinator’s system.
Defensive matchups & game conditions
Sportsbooks carefully assess opposing defenses. Key factors include:
- Cornerback matchups: Are top defenders shadowing elite receivers?
- Coverage types: Zone vs. man coverage affects route success.
- Push rush: Strong pressure can limit downfield passing.
- Defensive weakness: Some defenses struggle against slots or tight ends.
Weather and stadium conditions also matter. High winds (15+ mph), precipitation, and extreme cold usually lower receiving lines, while indoor games can boost them. Game scripts matter too—underdogs expected to trail may see inflated receiving props due to likely pass-heavy scenarios.
Media influence & public perception
Sportsbooks monitor injury updates, coach quotes, and expert projections. High-profile fantasy and betting analysts can sway public sentiment, even if their takes don’t align with internal models.
If a rookie receiver is surrounded by media hype, sportsbooks might bump his line slightly to offset increased public betting, despite modest production.
Sharp betting & line movement
Once lines are live, sportsbooks track sharp action—large bets from respected bettors often signal mispriced props. Quick, repeated bets across books can trigger immediate line moves.
Ultimately, sportsbooks aim to manage risk across their betting portfolio, not just on individual props, adjusting in real-time based on data, news, and market behavior.
What resources help us stay updated on receiving props?
Staying updated with the right tools is essential for making informed NFL receiving prop bets. A mix of stats platforms, expert insights, and betting data can give bettors a real edge.
Key tools and platforms
Odds comparison sites like Odds Trader and Legal Sports Report let you view receiving props across sportsbooks, track line movement, and find value quickly. Sports betting apps like DraftKings and FanDuel also offer current odds, prop trends, and insights into where the money is going.
For deeper analysis, Pro Football Focus (PFF), Next Gen Stats, and PlayerProfiler break down advanced receiver metrics like routine participation, target share, and matchup grades—vital data for projecting performance.
Leveraging resources for smarter bets
Track stats like target share, red zone usage, and average depth of target to spot high-value plays. Monitor weather forecasts and set news alerts for real-time updates. Create a simple pre-bet checklist that includes matchup grades, injuries, recent usage, and sportsbook comparisons.
By consistently using these tools, bettors can stay ahead of market movement and make more strategic, data-informed decisions when betting on NFL receiving props.
How to find and compare the best NFL receiving prop bets?
Identifying valuable NFL receiving prop bets requires a strategic approach combining odds comparison, performance analysis, and situational awareness. By evaluating these factors, bettors can spot favorable opportunities before they disappear.
Comparing NFL receiving prop odds
Effective odds comparison is critical for finding the best value. Strategies include:
- Cross-sportsbook evaluation: Compare props across multiple sportsbooks to find the most favorable lines.
- Line shopping: Look for discrepancies in prop totals and associated odds.
- Number vs. price: Assess whether a better number (e.g., over 64.5 yards) or better price (-110 vs. -120) offers greater value.
Small differences in props can significantly impact profitability.
Short-term trends to watch
Recent data often provides more relevant insights than season-long stats. Focus on:
- Target share changes: New target distribution patterns among receivers.
- Personnel adjustments: changes in offensive schemes or player roles.
- Defensive trends: How opponents have defended similar receivers recently.
Pay attention to opportunities where a receiver’s role has expanded, but their prop lines haven’t adjusted yet.
Impact of injuries and weather
Injuries, especially to quarterbacks or cornerbacks, and weather conditions can significantly influence the performance of the receiver. For instance, wind speeds over 15 mph reduce passing efficiency. Keep an eye on these factors, particularly before placing bets.
Tools for tracking and comparing props
Platforms like Legal Sports Report, OddsTrader, and prop projection models help bettors compare odds, track line movements, and identify value quickly. By using these tools and strategies, bettors can make informed decisions and find the best NFL receiving prop bets.
Conclusion
NFL receiving props continue to grow in popularity—and for good reason. They offer bettors a chance to dive deeper into the game, using player-specific data and situational insights to find real edges. Whether you’re live betting, building parlays, or comparing odds across books, success comes down to preparation, observation, and smart strategy.
With the right tools, a disciplined mindset, and a good grasp of the factors that influence receiving performance, you can turn your football knowledge into informed, profitable bets. Stay sharp, stay curious, and keep evolving your approach as the game (and the market) changes.
The best prop bettors don’t just watch the game—they read between the lines. Now it’s your turn!
