In this very column last week, you were told that Joe Burrow made for a good OVER on his 253.5 yards passing.
No, I didn’t predict that he would go OVER by halftime or that he would more than double the line and throw for 525 yards by the end of the game. But since he did more than double the line, we’re calling it a double-win, even if bookmakers aren’t paying out like it is.
There are no double wins expected this week, but we expect to see several big-time quarterback performances.
All odds courtesy of BetPrep, updated 9 a.m. ET on Dec. 29.
Joe Burrow Vs. Kansas City Chiefs
The Prop: Joe Burrow Passing Yards
The Odds: Over 265.5 yards (-116)/Under 265.5 yards (-114)
Speaking of Mr. 525, Joe Burrow, he has a compelling defensive matchup for someone coming off one of the all-time great games in NFL history.
For this bet, let’s look at consistency. Burrow has had a great season, but he only had 157 yards just two weeks ago – the fourth time this season, he finished with less than 200 yards passing. As for reaching 266 – he’s failed to do that seven times this season.
Then there is the Chiefs passing defense which hasn’t given up more than 265 yards since Week 7. That stretch of good play includes shutting down Dak Prescott, Derek Carr twice, and Justin Herbert.
This week Burrow comes back to earth and goes UNDER.
Kyler Murray Vs. Dallas Cowboys
The Prop: Kyler Murray Total Yards
The Odds: Over 302.5 yards (-115)/Under 302.5 yards (-115)
The fading Cardinals face a must-win game against the Cowboys if they have any shot at winning the NFC West. And that means Kyler Murray must have a big performance against one of the better defenses in football.
He is more than capable, having topped 302 total yards of offense six times this season, including two of his last three games. And last week, against a good Indianapolis defense, he went for 319 yards (245 passing, 74 rushing).
KYLER MURRAY WAS MOVIN’ 💨
57-yard run for the QB.
(via @NFL)pic.twitter.com/SjkMehdOG5
— Bleacher Report (@BleacherReport) December 26, 2021
This game should be higher scoring than that one, which means Murray will have more opportunities for yards, making the OVER the better play.
Tua Tagovailoa Vs. Tennessee Titans
The Prop: Tua Tagovailoa Passing Yards
The Odds: Over 250.5 yards (-114)/Under 250.5 yards (-118)
Riding a seven-game winning streak, the Miami Dolphins and Tua Tagovailoa head to Tennessee to take on the Titans, who are a win away from clinching the AFC South.
The Titans’ defense gave up 322 yards to Jimmy Garoppolo, 310 yards to Mac Jones, and gave up big yards to Trevor Siemian and Zach Wilson earlier in the year.
But don’t let that sway you into going with the over on Tua. During the Dolphins win streak, he’s only gone over 250 yards once. This team is winning with defense and ball control, and that’s what they will try to do again on Sunday. Take the UNDER.