It’s one of the great rivalries in the NFC. If you are a Packers fan, you hate the Bears. And if you are a Bears fan, the Packers are the clear enemy. Although, as Aaron Rodgers reminded Chicagoans earlier this year, the rivalry has been rather one-sided. Although even the Packers have dominated in the win column, both teams have seen great individual performances. Let’s take a look at which NFL player props we should target within this Sunday evening matchup of NFC North rivals.
All odds courtesy of BetPrep, updated 6 a.m. ET on Dec. 9.
Aaron Rodgers vs. Chicago Bears
The Prop: Aaron Rodgers Passing Yards
The Odds: Over 269.5 yards (-114)/Under 269.5 yards (-116)
He’s the reigning MVP, and he owns the Bears, but will Aaron Rodgers hit the over against Chicago at Lambeau Field on Sunday night? The simple answer, probably not.
The more complex answer is this: Despite Chicago’s struggles, it’s been since Week 8 that a quarterback has gotten even 220 yards passing against them. As good as Kyler Murray was in his return last week, he had just 123 passing yards. Even Rodgers, who owned the Bears in Week 6, had just 195 yards.
The current forecast calls for cold at Lambeau Field, but no snow. But there will be snow on Friday and Saturday, and it could easily become a storm that hangs around the Door Peninsula, which separates Green Bay from Lake Michigan. And all of that is why Rodgers’ OVER buyers need to beware.
David Montgomery vs. Green Bay Packers
The Prop: David Montgomery Rushing Yards
The Odds: Over 72.5 yards (-114)/Under 72.5 yards (-116)
The Bears are a much better team with a healthy David Montgomery, even though, as luck would have it, Chicago has lost two of Montgomery’s best three games. The most recent was 91 yards rushing and 144 total yards in last week’s loss to Arizona.
Montgomery wasn’t healthy when they faced the Packers the last time, but he did put up over 100 yards against the Lions and Rams earlier in the season, and he’s a good bet to have another solid game. With a passing attack stuck in neutral, and a desire to keep Aaron Rodgers off the field, Chicago will run the ball early and often, and Montgomery will hit the OVER.
Marquez Valdes-Scantling vs. Chicago Bears
The Prop: Marquez Valdes-Scantling Receiving Yards
The Odds: Over 46.5 yards (-115)/Under 46.5 yards (-115)
Lower passing numbers for Aaron Rodgers means fewer big plays for guys like Davante Adams and Randall Cobb. But that’s likely to help bump up the numbers for Marquez Valdes-Scantling.
Air yardage share leaders over the past month:
49% — Justin Jefferson
43% — Tee Higgins
43% — Elijah Moore
42% — Marquez Valdes-Scantling
42% — Stefon Diggs
42% — Terry McLaurin
41% — DJ Moore
40% — Diontae Johnson— Jacob Gibbs (@jagibbs_23) December 6, 2021
Since he returned from injury and Rodgers returned from COVID, the two have teamed up for 41, 123, and 50. And the targets are going up, as has 19 in the last two weeks. It’s clear Rodgers is happy to look Valdes-Scantling’s way when Adams is covered, and that will be a boon for his receiving totals this week.
In a game where many of the Packers will have limited stats, Valdes-Scantling is a good bet to hit the OVER.