NCAA West Region Odds: Davidson Vs Michigan State Line Jumps Fence

UPDATE MIDNIGHT ET THURSDAY: PointsBet USA opened Texas Tech at -15 (-120) on its NCAA West Region odds board. The line saw a couple of juice adjustments early in the week, then went to -14.5 this afternoon, before rebounding to -15 (-105) late tonight. Current betting splits weren’t available. The total opened at 130 (Under -115), peaked at 132.5 multiple times and is now 131.5, with 64% of tickets on the Under/74% of money on the Over.

UPDATE 11:30 P.M. ET MONDAY: Texas Tech (25-9 SU, 21-13 ATS) is certainly not a team to sleep on. The Red Raiders posted two regular-season wins over East Region No. 1 seed Baylor. They also notched a home win over Midwest Region No. 1 seed Kansas and nearly beat the Jayhawks in Lawrence, losing 94-91 in overtime.

Tech made it to the Big 12 tournament final, meeting Kansas again and losing 74-65 as a 2.5-point underdog. In fact, about the only issue one can take with the Aggies lately is their current 1-5 ATS skid. They have, however, cashed in six of their last eight in the NCAA Tournament, making a run to the championship game in 2019, losing to Virginia 85-77 in overtime.

Montana State (27-7 SU, 17-14-1 ATS) is on a 6-0 SU roll, including a 3-0 SU and ATS run to the Big Sky tournament title. In the final, the Bobcats hammered Northern Colorado 87-66 laying 4.5 points. The enter this contest on ATS upticks of 4-0 at neutral sites and 4-1-1 as an underdog.

The Over is 8-2-1 in Montana State’s last 11 games. However, the Under is 4-1 in Texas Tech’s last five neutral-site games and 7-2 in its last nine NCAA Tournament contests.

Texas Tech opened -16.5 at BetMGM and early on dipped to -15.5, where the line sits late tonight. Underdog Montana State is nabbing 70% of spread tickets/72% of spread money in the early going. The total bounced around, going from 131.5 to 129.5, then returning to 131.5 Monday. Current betting splits weren’t available.

UPDATE 12:15 PM ET FRIDAY: Alabama is holding firm at -4 on PointsBet USA’s NCAA West Region odds board. Updated splits on the spread show the Crimson Tide are still the favored side in the betting market, with 52% of the tickets and 63% of the money on the favorite. The total also remains unchanged at 152.5, with 59% wagers/55% cash on the Under

UPDATE MIDNIGHT ET THURSDAY: Alabama hit PointsBet USA’s odds board as a 4-point favorite this morning and remains there tonight. It’s two-way point-spread action with a lean toward Notre Dame, at 52% of bets and 56% of cash. The total is also stable at 152.5, although 86% of early bets/94% of early dollars are on the Under.

UPDATE 3 P.M. ET THURSDAY: Alabama (19-13 SU, 11-20-1 ATS) has been the model of inconsistency this season. Somehow back on Dec. 4, the Crimson Tide faced Gonzaga in Seattle — not a home game for the Zags, but pretty close to it — and snatched a 91-82 victory getting 10 points. But this outfit also had multiple inexplicable losses, with one more added on in the SEC tournament’s second round.

Facing Vanderbilt and laying 5 points, ‘Bama blew a 15-point second-half lead and lost 82-76. And since that big upset of Gonzaga, the Tide are an ice-cold 5-18-1 ATS. If you thought to fade Alabama in that stretch, well, you made some serious cheddar.

The Crimson Tide will meet Notre Dame, which needed double overtime Wednesday night to advance from the First Four into the field of 64. Notre Dame (23-10 SU, 17-15 ATS) edged Rutgers 89-87 laying 1 point in a matchup of co-No. 12 seeds. After a season-saving 9-1 SU run from Jan. 17-Feb. 16, the Fighting Irish have been hit-and-miss lately, alternating SU wins and losses over the last five games, but they’re 5-2 ATS in their last seven outings.

Even with Wednesday’s win and cover, the Irish are 2-7 SU in their last nine neutral-site games.

The Over is 8-0-1 in Notre Dame’s last nine games overall and 4-1 in its last five on neutral courts. Additionally, the Over is on runs for Alabama of 5-0 at neutral sites, 4-1 with the Tide laying points, and 6-1 overall (4-0 last four).

Alabama opened -3.5 Thursday morning at BetMGM and remains there this afternoon. Early tickets and money are running 3/1 and 4/1, respectively, on the Crimson Tide. The total fell from 152.5 to 151.5, with 60% of bets/75% of cash on the Under.

UPDATE 12:20 PM ET FRIDAY: Duke has returned to -18 at PointsBet USA after rising to -18.5 on Thursday night. Despite that dip, the Blue Devils are still seeing a majority of the action, at 69% tickets/77% cash. The total — which has been as low as the opener of 143.5 and as high as 147 — is down a tick from 145.5 to 145. The splits show fairly even action, with 51% tickets/59% money on the Over.

UPDATE MIDNIGHT ET THURSDAY: Duke opened -17.5 Sunday night at PointsBet USA, moved to various iterations of -18 Monday, then tonight rose to -18.5. Ticket count is 2/1 and money 6/1 on the Blue Devils. The total has bounced around quite a bit, opening at 143.5, peaking at 147 Monday and Wednesday, and now sitting at 145.5 (Over -115). The Under is nabbing 58% of bets, while 72% of cash is on the Over.

UPDATE 11:30 P.M. ET MONDAY: Duke managed to land a No. 2 seed as the ACC regular-season champ, but hasn’t exactly inspired a lot of confidence lately. In coach Mike Krzyzewski’s final home game before retiring, the Blue Devils were dealt a 94-81 loss laying 11 points against North Carolina. In the ACC tourney, Duke struggled to put away Syracuse and Miami.

The Blue Devils (28-6 SU, 17-15-2 ATS) then received another comeuppance in the ACC final, getting belted by Virginia Tech 82-67 as 5.5-point favorites. Duke failed to cash in its last four games and is 3-7 ATS over its last 10 outings. The Blue Devils are also in an 0-6 ATS rut in NCAA Tournament play.

Cal State Fullerton (21-10 SU, 16-11-2 ATS) got its March Madness bid by winning the Big West tournament. In the final, the Titans edged Long Beach State 72-71, pushing as a 1-point favorite. Fullerton, catching plenty of points Friday, is 7-2 ATS as an underdog this season.

The Over is 11-2 in Duke’s last 13 games overall (6-0 last six) and 5-0 in Duke’s last five neutral-site affairs.

BetMGM advanced this line from Duke -17.5 to -18.5, where it sits late tonight. Despite the Blue Devils’ ATS woes, early ticket count is 2/1 and early money 6/1 on Coach K and Co. The total opened at 143.5 and was still there early Monday morning, but stretched out to 146.5 by Monday night. Current splits on the total weren’t available.

UPDATE 12:25 PM ET FRIDAY: Michigan State is back down to a 1-point favorite over Davidson at PointsBet USA. This one definitely has a Pros vs Joes feel to it, as 57% of the wagers are on Sparty, but the majority of the cash (74%) is on the underdog Wildcats. The total is holding at 140.5 flat after the seeing -115 juice on the Over on Thursday night. Bettors slightly favor the Under at 59% tickets/56% money.

UPDATE MIDNIGHT ET THURSDAY: Michigan toggled between -1.5 and -1 a couple of times this week in PointsBet USA’s NCAA West Region odds market. The Spartans are currently -1.5 (-105), while taking 52% of spread tickets and 55% of spread dollars. The total rose from 140.5 to 142 (Under -115) by this morning, then receded to -140.5 (Over -115) late this evening, with 59% of tickets/56% of money on the Under.

11:30 P.M. ET MONDAY: Michigan State (22-12 SU, 18-15-1 ATS) didn’t have the most exhilarating Big Ten season, finishing seventh in the conference. But Tom Izzo’s troops made it to the conference semifinals, losing to Purdue 75-70 while cashing as 6.5-point pups. That was the Spartans’ fourth consecutive spread-cover, following a 2-8 ATS purge. Michigan State is also 4-0 ATS in its last four neutral-site matchups.

Michigan State is hoping to at least get a shot at Coach K and Duke in the NCAA’s second round.

Meanwhile, Davidson (27-6 SU, 20-12 ATS) had a good enough body of work to withstand losing the Atlantic 10 final and still get into March Madness. The Wildcats fell to Richmond 64-62 giving 3.5 points in the conference final. That halted Davidson’s 6-1 ATS run. Still, the Wildcats are 5-1 ATS in their last six neutral-site games, all this season, and they’re 5-2 ATS as an underdog.

The Over has hit in five of Sparty’s last six outings.

Michigan State opened -1.5 Sunday night in BetMGM’s NCAA West Region odds and is still -1.5 tonight. The Spartans are netting 57% of spread tickets and dollars. The total is stable at 140.5, also on two-way action, with 54% of tickets/57% of money on the Over.

UPDATE 7:30 P.M. ET WEDNESDAY: Memphis landed on PointsBet USA’s NCAA West Region odds board as a 2.5-point favorite Sunday night, peaked at -4 earlier today and is now back to -2.5 (-120). The Tigers are getting 62% of spread bets, but Boise State is nabbing 65% of spread money. The total opened at 132, peaked multiple times at 134 and is now 133.5 (Over -115), with 57% of bets on the Under/74% of money on the Over.

UPDATE 11:30 P.M. ET MONDAY: If you count the First Four, with Wyoming in a play-in game vs. Indiana on Tuesday, the Mountain West got four teams into the NCAA Tournament, led by Boise State. The Broncos (27-7 SU, 18-15 ATS) edged San Diego State 53-52 catching 3 points in Saturday’s conference tournament final. Boise State is 8-1 SU/7-2 ATS over its last nine games and is on a 7-1 spread-covering stretch as an underdog.

Memphis got its act together with a 10-1 SU/8-3 ATS run in the home stretch of the regular season. The Tigers (21-10 SU, 15-15-1 ATS) then beat Central Florida and SMU to reach Sunday’s American Athletic Conference final, where they fell to Houston 71-53 getting 3.5 points. Memphis is 10-3 ATS in its last 13 games overall and 8-2 ATS in its last 10 as a chalk.

These teams met in the opening round of last year’s NIT, with Memphis prevailing 59-56 at home on the way to winning the tournament title. However, Boise State covered as a 6.5-point underdog.

The Over is 10-4 in Boise State’s last 14 games.

Memphis opened as a 1.5-point favorite at BetMGM and moved to -2.5, where the line remains at 11:30 p.m. ET Monday. Ticket count is running 2/1-plus and money 6/1 on the Tigers in the very early going. The total opened at 132.5 and stretched out to 133.5 Monday, but updated betting splits weren’t available.

UPDATE 12:45 P.M. ET THURSDAY: Less than 2.5 hours before tipoff, Gonzaga is a 22.5-point favorite at BetMGM, down noticeably from the -25.5 Sunday night opener. It’s two-way play on the point spread, with 54% of tickets on the Zags and 51% of money on big ‘dog Georgia State. The total opened at 148.5 and has been at 149.5 since Monday, with the Over netting 53% of tickets/57% of money.

UPDATE 7:30 P.M. ET WEDNESDAY: PointsBet USA opened Gonzaga a 23.5-point chalk Sunday night and had made only price adjustments at that number through this afternoon. Tickets and money were running about 3/1 on the Zags this afternoon. However, the Bulldogs dropped a full point to -22.5 earlier this evening. Updated spread splits weren’t available. The total opened at 148.5, touched 150.5 a couple of times and is now 150, with the Under taking 52% of tickets/68% of money.

UPDATE 11:30 P.M. ET MONDAY: In 2017 and 2021, Gonzaga almost got to the promised land that it’s been pursuing the past two decades, as a mid-major with big-boy credentials. The Zags reached the national title game in both those seasons, but couldn’t quite summit the mountain. Last year, Gonzaga was 31-0 SU entering the final but fell to Baylor 86-70 as a 4.5-point favorite.

Now back as the No. 1 overall seed, the Bulldogs (26-3 SU, 14-12-3 ATS) are coming off another West Coast Conference tournament title thanks to an 81-71 victory over San Francisco in the semifinals and an 82-69 triumph over St. Mary’s in the title tilt. However, Gonzaga failed to cash in both games, which has pretty much been the pattern down the stretch for the Zags: win a lot of games while struggling to consistently cover double-digit spreads. To that point, Gonzaga is 19-1 SU in its last 20, but just 10-7-3 ATS in that span, including 1-4-2 ATS in the last seven.

Georgia State (18-10 SU, 12-12-1 ATS) made it this far by winning the Sun Belt tournament. In the final, the Panthers topped Louisiana-Lafayette 80-71 as 4-point faves. Georgia State has been hot on the court and at the betting window, at 10-0 SU/8-1-1 ATS in its last 10. On the downside, the Panthers are in ATS funks of 1-5 as an underdog and 1-4 in the Big Dance.

The Over hit in the Panthers’ last two games, but the Under is on a 15-4 run overall for Georgia State. The Under also is 7-2 in Gonzaga’s last nine.

Gonzaga hit BetMGM’s NCAA East Region odds board as a hefty 26.5 point chalk, and respected bettors were quick to gobble up Georgia State at that big price.

“Good action on both sides of Gonzaga-Georgia State,” BetMGM Nevada’s Scott Shelton said Sunday night. “We opened Gonzaga -26.5 and immediately took several bets on Georgia State. We got down to -23.5, then up to -24.5. Sharp play on both sides there.”

The Zags then shortened to -23.5, although ticket count is about 2.5/1 and money almost 4/1 on Gonzaga. The total moved from 148.5 to 149.5, with 58% of tickets translating into 88% of money on the Over.

UPDATE 7:30 P.M. ET WEDNESDAY: This number has been painted on Huskies -6.5 in PointsBet USA’s NCAA West odds market. UConn is drawing a slim majority 52% of spread tickets, while underdog New Mexico State is getting 69% of spread money. The total opened at 132.5 and has seen only a couple of price changes, to Under -120 Monday, then back to the flat -110 tonight. The Under is netting 61% of bets, while 63% of money is on the Over.

UPDATE 11:30 P.M. ET MONDAY: Connecticut (23-9 SU, 13-18-1 ATS) enters the Tourney on a 7-2 SU upswing, but has been less than pleasing for bettors, going 2-7-1 ATS in its last 10 games (1-4 ATS last five). In the Big East semis, the Huskies gave Villanova a good go, but lost 63-60 and fell just short as a 2.5-point underdog.

Recent spread-covering woes aside, though, UConn is 16-5 ATS in its last 21 NCAA Tournament contests and 8-3 ATS in its last 11 as a neutral-site favorite.

New Mexico State (26-6 SU, 17-12 ATS) is on a modest three-game SU and ATS run, but two of those games were in the WAC tournament, sealing an NCAA bid. In the WAC final, the Aggies beat Abilene Christian 66-52 as 5.5-point favorites.

The Under is 7-2 in UConn’s last nine overall (4-0 last four) and 5-1 in its last six NCAA Tournament battles. Conversely, the Over is 7-1 in NMSU’s last eight neutral-site outings, the lone exception being the WAC tourney finale.

BetMGM opened UConn -7.5 in its NCAA West Region odds market and early on dropped to -6.5, where the line sits tonight. It’s two-way point-spread action with a lean toward underdog New Mexico State, at 55% of bets/54% of money. The total dipped from 132.5 to 131.5 Monday, with the Under seeing 62% of bets/68% of cash.

UPDATE 7:30 P.M. ET WEDNESDAY: Arkansas opened -5.5 flat and is now -5.5 (even) at PointsBet USA, where Vermont is nabbing 60% of bets and 64% of money on the spread. The total hasn’t budged off 139.5, with 54% of bets/52% of money on the Over.

UPDATE 11:30 P.M. ET MONDAY: Arkansas had a monster second half of the regular season, going 14-2 SU and 13-2-1 ATS over its last 16 games, including a stretch of nine straight spread-covers. The Razorbacks (25-8 SU, 20-12-1 ATS) then got to the SEC semis, where they seemingly ran out of steam. The Hogs got rolled 82-64 laying 6.5 points Saturday against Texas A&M.

Vermont (28-5 SU, 19-13 ATS) has likewise run up an impressive mark that dates to Dec. 10: 22-1 SU, while going 16-7 ATS. The Catamounts won and cashed in all three America East tournament games, including an 82-43 boat-racing of Maryland-Baltimore County as 15.5-point home favorites in the final.

The Over is on a 6-0 roll for Arkansas, but the Under is 5-1 in its last six NCAA Tourney outings and 5-1 in Vermont’s last six overall.

Arkansas opened as a 4.5-point favorite at BetMGM, and things got interesting right away, as the Hogs shot to -6.5 in the NCAA West Region odds market.

“It was a mini-feeding frenzy on Arkansas,” BetMGM Nevada’s Scott Shelton said Sunday night. “But now we’ve settled at Arkansas -5.5.”

That’s where the number remains late Monday night, with a juice adjustment at Vermont -120/Arkansas +100. The underdog Cantamounts are actually taking 63% of early tickets and 86% of early dollars. The total is stable at 139.5, though the Over is taking practically all the early tickets and money.