The Philadelphia 76ers rolled at home in Games 3 and 4 against the Miami Heat, with the Sixers bolstered by Joel Embiid’s return. Then Miami put the hammer down in Game 5 to take a 3-2 series lead. Still, for Game 6, Philly is a short home chalk on the NBA playoff odds board.
Will top-seeded Miami finish off Philadelphia and advance to the East finals? Or will the 76ers force the Heat to Game 7?
Props.com grabs insights from multiple oddsmakers on NBA playoff odds for Heat vs. 76ers Game 6. Check back for updates through Thursday’s tipoff.
NBA Playoff Odds and Betting Action
No. 1 Miami Heat vs No. 4 Philadelphia 76ers (7 p.m. ET)
UPDATE 5:30 P.M. ET THURSDAY: Ninety minutes pre-tip for Game 6, Caesars Sportsbook has the 76ers laying 2 points in the Thursday NBA playoff odds market. The Sixers opened as 2.5-point favorites late Tuesday night. Within literally one minute, the line dipped to -2, and it’s since toggled between -2 and -2.5.
Point-spread ticket count is 2/1 and money beyond 3/1 on Philadelphia. However, on the moneyline — Philadelphia -135/Miami +115 — ticket count is 3/2 and money 3/1-plus on the Heat. That includes two big bets from one Nevada customer: $30,000 on Miami +120 and $20,000 on Miami +115.
The total dipped from 208 to 206.5, with 70% of tickets/60% of cash on the Over.
UPDATE 6:30 P.M. ET WEDNESDAY: Miami (59-33 SU, 52-39-1 ATS) rolled to a 120-85 victory as a 3-point home chalk in Game 5 on Tuesday night. The Heat were in control from start to finish, leading by double digits through the final 2.5 quarters.
That ended an 0-2 SU and ATS hiccup for Miami, which improved to 13-4 SU/12-5 ATS in its last 17 games. However, the Heat are in ATS ruts of 1-4 in their last five roadies and 0-5 as a playoff underdog.
Meanwhile, Philadelphia is surely glad to return home, where it’s gone 5-1 SU and ATS in its last six. The 76ers are also 6-2 ATS in their last eight laying points.
The SU winner has cashed in 11 straight Heat-76ers meetings. So far this season, Miami is 5-4 SU and ATS against Philly, but the Sixers are 4-1 ATS in their last five at home against the Heat.
Game 5 fell barely short of the 207.5 total, giving the Under a 3-2 mark in this postseason series. Miami is 8-2 to the Under in this year’s playoffs. Meanwhile, the Under is 7-2 in Philadelphia’s last nine conference semifinal games, 7-3 in Philly’s last 10 overall, and 7-3 in the last 10 Heat-76ers meetings.
Late Tuesday night, FanDuel opened Philadelphia as a 2-point Game 6 favorite in the Thursday NBA playoff odds market. The Sixers have since toggled between -2 and -2.5 a few times and are currently -2.5. The total is fairly stable at 207, after opening at 207.5 and seeing a brief stint Tuesday night at 208.
Check back for updates on Heat vs. 76ers odds and betting action.