Each weekday, Props.com selects five intriguing players and/or team NBA props from a busy night of action. Then, we do what we do best: Provide in-depth analysis that you can choose to use (or not use!) for wagering purposes.
Props.com compared the top platforms to find that DraftKings Sportsbook has the most robust offerings for NBA Props. They also have a generous welcome offer for new members (see below).
With that, let’s dive into our top NBA Props for Monday’s nine-game slate.
Odds via DraftKings Sportsbook updated as of noon ET on March 28.
- Huge Selection of Sports
- 20+ States
- Top-Rated App
Live In A Non-Betting State?
You can still get in on the NBA Props action with Underdog Fantasy!
If you haven’t played on Underdog Fantasy yet, then fear not! Getting started is very simple:
- Create an account on Underdog Fantasy.
- Use the promo code PROPS to claim an extra $10 on your first deposit.
- Go to the Pick’em Games.
- Make two or more NBA Props selections to receive a correlated payout of 3x, 6x, 10x, 20x.
Underdog Fantasy is available in every state except Arizona, Connecticut, Hawaii, Idaho, Nevada, Louisiana, Montana, Washington, Delaware, and Iowa.
Cleveland Cavaliers: PG Darius Garland
The prop: 34.5 points + assists (vs. Orlando)
The odds: Over -115/Under -115
Garland has been vital to the Cavaliers’ success this season. Given the team’s injuries at guard, he’s carried one of the largest workloads in basketball, ranking eighth in the league in touches per game and fourth in time of possession. He also ranks ninth in the league in minutes per game, and he’s responded with new career-highs in points (21.5) and assists (8.6) per game.
However, Garland is going to get a bit more help moving forward.
Caris LeVert was acquired by the Cavs before the trade deadline, but he’s been on a minute restriction of late. That cap was lifted in his last game, and LeVert racked up nearly 36.4 minutes as a member of the starting lineup. His presence is going to have a negative impact on Garland’s counting stats.
Garland’s usage rate dips by -0.9% when sharing the court with LeVert, while his assist rate drops by -3.3%.
With that in mind, this seems like the right time to sell high.
Chicago Bulls: G/F DeMar DeRozan
The prop: 23.5 points (at New York)
The odds: Over -115/Under -110
The Bulls have fallen in the standings recently, and they’re down to just fifth place in the Eastern Conference.
Part of that has been due to the struggles of DeRozan. He put himself in the MVP conversation with his play before the All-Star break, but he has not been the same player since. DeRozan averaged nearly three fewer points per game following the All-Star break while shooting the ball far less efficiently.
The combination of reduced production and a difficult perceived matchup vs. the Knicks caused his scoring prop to plummet to just 23.5 on Monday. That is simply too low.
DeRozan has scored at least 24 points in 45 of 69 games this season (65.2%), and he’s averaged 28.3 points in three previous meetings with the Knicks.
I’m hitting the over harder than Will Smith hit Chris Rock at the Oscars.
Sacramento Kings: C Damian Jones
The prop: 14.5 points + rebounds (at Miami)
The odds: Over -120/Under -110
The Kings’ frontcourt is decimated at the moment. Domantas Sabonis and Richaun Holmes are both out of the lineup, while Marvin Bagley was traded to the Pistons. That leaves Jones to handle most of the center minutes moving forward.
Jones has averaged 27.5 minutes over his past two contests, and he’s responded with 13.5 points and 5.5 rebounds per game over that time frame. He also had 13 points and seven rebounds over 22 minutes in the game prior, even though Sabonis started and played 31 minutes.
The Kings have a brutal matchup vs. the Heat, but they’re going to need Jones’ size against Bam Adebayo.
This is just a flat-out bad line, so let’s take advantage.
San Antonio Spurs: PG Dejounte Murray
The prop: 7.5 rebounds (at Houston)
The odds: Over -105/Under -125
Murray is enjoying a phenomenal season for the Spurs. He’s averaged career-highs in every category across the board, including 8.3 rebounds per game. He’s also done excellent work on the glass recently. Murray has averaged 8.5 boards over his past 11 games, and he’s pulled down at least eight rebounds in eight of those contests.
Murray draws a phenomenal matchup from a rebounding perspective Monday vs. the Rockets. Houston has played at the second-fastest pace this season, and it ranks 21st in team rebound rate. Unsurprisingly, the Rockets allow the ninth-most rebounds per game to their opponents.
The only real concern is whether or not the Rockets can keep this game competitive. The Spurs are listed as 7.5-point road favorites, but they’ve won two of their three previous meetings by at least 25 points.
As long as Murray sees his usual workload, I like his chances of hitting the over.
Oklahoma City Thunder: PG Theo Maledon
The prop: 5.5 assists (at Portland)
The odds: Over -125/Under -105
The Thunder are almost completely devoid of talent at the moment. Things aren’t as bad as they are in Portland – I’m not sure they’ll have a single NBA-caliber player in the lineup on Monday – but it’s still pretty ugly. Shai Gilegous-Alexander, Josh Giddey, and Lu Dort are all out of the lineup, leaving the team without their top three playmakers.
Those absences have given players like Maledon a chance to shine, and he’s taken full advantage. The second-year player from France has averaged just over 32 minutes in his past two games, and he’s averaged 22.5 points and 4.5 assists in those contests.
I’m bullish on Maledon Monday from a fantasy perspective, but not necessarily as a distributor. He hasn’t exactly been dropping dimes for the Thunder, averaging just 8.5 potential assists over his past two games. Most of his damage has come as a scorer, so I’m willing to fade his assist prop in this spot.
