The Mavericks are gearing up for a showdown against the New York Knicks on Thursday, Jan 11. Today’s game is scheduled to start at 8:30 ET and will be broadcast on BSSW. New York comes into this matchup as 4-point favorites, with the over/under set at 233.5. Will the Knicks manage to secure a win as the favorite? Below, you’ll find our Mavericks vs. Knicks player props and predictions.
Mavericks vs. Knicks Odds
- Spread: Knicks -4
- Total 233.5
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Game Info
- Date: Thursday, Jan 11
- Time: 8:30 ET
- Location: American Airlines Center, Dallas TX
- TV: BSSW
Knicks Betting Trends
- Over their last five games, the Knicks have an over/under record of 0-5 and are 5-0 vs. the spread.
- Through their last five road games, New York has an ATS record of just 2-3. However, their overall record was 2-3 while averaging 120 points per game.
- In their last ten games as the betting favorite, the Knicks have a straight up record of 7-3 and an ATS mark of 6-4.
Mavericks Betting Trends
- In their last five games, the Mavericks have an over/under record of 1-4 and are 3-2 vs. the spread.
- When looking at their past three home matchups, Dallas has an ATS record of 2-1 while averaging 110 per game. The team went 1-2 overall in these games.
- Looking back on the team’s last ten games as the underdog, the Mavericks have a straight up record of 4-6. Their record vs the spread in these games was 5-5.
Are the Knicks Ready for a Road Win?
With a 22-15 record, the Knicks are 5th in the Eastern Conference and 3rd in the Atlantic division. As they prepare for today’s game, the Knicks have won five games in a row.
In their last game against the Trail Blazers, the Knicks put up 112 points. They shot 41.6% from the field and knocked down 18 three-pointers. In terms of scoring, OG Anunoby led the way with 23 points while Julius Randle added 20 points.
So far this season, the Knicks have been one of the best defensive teams in the NBA, ranking 7th in points allowed per game. In their last five games, they have been even better, giving up just 97.4 points per contest, which is the best mark in the league over that stretch.
On the season, opponents have made 35.1% fewer threes than their season average when facing the Knicks. Overall, New York is 15th in three-point shooting percentage allowed.
One area where the Knicks have struggled this season is in blocking shots, as they rank 29th in that category. However, they have done a good job of staying out of foul trouble, ranking 27th in personal fouls.
Will the Mavericks Find a Way to Win at Home?
When facing the Knicks today, the Mavericks are hoping to add to their overall record of 22-16 which is above .500. On the road, the Mavericks are 11-8 this season, compared to their 11-8 record in their home games.
In their most recent game, the Mavericks scored 103 points against the Grizzlies. They shot 43.9% from the field and made 9 three-pointers. Over the Mavericks’ last three games, their effective field goal percentage is 56%, which is slightly higher than their season-long EFG of 55% (10th). In their five most recent games, Dallas is 19th in three-point shooting at 37.3%.
When it comes to points allowed, the Mavericks are giving up 116.9 points per game, which is 20th in the NBA. They are 18th in points allowed at home, where they are giving up 115.5 points per contest.
In terms of three-point shooting, opponents are making 13.3 threes per game against Dallas, which is 20th in the league. In 60.5% of their games, opponents have made more threes than their season average.
Over their last five games, the Mavericks have been even better on the defensive end, giving up just 111 points per game. During that stretch, they are 3rd in three-point shooting percentage allowed at 32.4%.
Mavericks vs. Knicks Player Prop
A player prop we are looking at is Jalen Brunson and his points prop of 26.5. Currently, the over for this prop is sitting at a payout of -129 while the under is at -106. In this game against the Mavericks, we suggest betting on the under for Jalen Brunson and his points prop set at 26.5. Our player projection model anticipates him not reaching his prop, with a projected total of 25.
- The Prop: Jalen Brunson Under 26.5 Points (-106)
Mavericks vs. Knicks Predictions
Coming in as the underdogs at +4, we have the Mavericks as the way to go on the point spread. Not only do we have them covering, but our projections show they have a good one of winning this one straight-up, if you’re looking for a higher payout on the moneyline.
Right now, the over/under line for the game is sitting at 233.5 and given that our model is projecting 228 points between the teams, we like the under.
The Pick: Mavericks +4 | at Fanduel Sportsbook