Marlins vs. Phillies Predictions – Wild Card Game 2 (Wed, Oct. 4)

Sep 16, 2023; St. Louis, Missouri, USA; Philadelphia Phillies shortstop Trea Turner (7) celebrates with teammates after the Phillies defeated the St. Louis Cardinals at Busch Stadium.
Image Credit: Jeff Curry-USA TODAY Sports

The Philadelphia Phillies (90-72) are set to host the Miami Marlins (84-77) in Game 2 of this NL Wild Card series at Citizens Bank Park. The Phillies are coming off a win yesterday, meaning they can advance to the NLDS with another victory.

How will this one play out? Let’s dive into the Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Phillies predictions, odds, and picks below.

Marlins vs. Phillies Odds

  • Moneyline: Philadelphia Phillies -150 (BetMGM) / Miami Marlins +130 (PointsBet)
  • Total: 8.0

Game Info

  • Date: Wednesday, Oct. 4
  • Time: 8:08 PM ET
  • Location: Citizens Bank Park – Philadelphia, PA
  • TV: ESPN

Marlins Betting Trends

The Marlins are 2-3 ATS in their last 5 games. They have 43 wins and 29 losses this season as the favorite.

Phillies Betting Trends

The Phillies are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games. They have 66 wins and 42 losses this season as the favorite.

Marlins vs. Phillies Predictions

The Phillies’ Aaron Nola, with a 12-9 win-loss record and an ERA of 4.46, is set to face off against the Marlins’ Braxton Garrett, who boasts a 9-7 record and a superior ERA of 3.66. Nola’s performance has been instrumental in the Phillies’ success, contributing to 19 team victories. On the other hand, Garrett has been a consistent performer for the Marlins, contributing to 21 team wins.

On the offensive front, the Phillies boast a .256 batting average and ranking 9th in the MLB. Power hitters like Kyle Schwarber and Nick Castellanos have been the backbone of their lineup, with Schwarber smashing 47 home runs and Castellanos maintaining a .272 average with 29 homers. The Marlins, however, are not far behind with a .259 average, ranking 4th in the MLB. Their star player, Luis Arraez, has been a revelation, hitting a phenomenal .354 average.

While both teams have had their ups and downs, the Phillies edge out with a .556 win percentage, slightly better than the Marlins’ .522. The Phillies’ home record is also superior, with 49 wins at Citizens Bank Park, giving them a potential home-field advantage in this clash.

Marlins vs. Phillies Picks

When the dust settles, the Philadelphia Phillies will emerge victorious. Their consistent performance, particularly at home, coupled with the tenacity of Aaron Nola and the firepower of Schwarber and Castellanos, makes them the team to beat.

The Marlins will put up a fight, but the Phillies’ superior form and home advantage will prove decisive. So, without a shadow of a doubt, the smart money is on the Philadelphia Phillies.

The Pick: Philadelphia Phillies -150 (BetMGM)