Lions vs. Bears Player Props & Predictions – Week 11

Oct 15, 2023; Tampa, Florida, USA; Detroit Lions running back David Montgomery (5) runs with the ball against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers in the second quarter at Raymond James Stadium.
Image Credit: Nathan Ray Seebeck-USA TODAY Sports

The Lions are set to face the Chicago Bears on Sunday, Nov 19. The game is scheduled for 1:00 ET while airing on FOX. Detroit enters this game as 7.5-point favorites, with the total set at 47.5. How will this one play out? Let’s dive into the Lions vs Bears player props and predictions below.

Lions VS. Bears Odds

  • Spread: Lions -7.5
  • Total 47.5

Game Info

  • Date: Sunday, Nov 19
  • Time: 1:00 ET
  • Location: Ford Field, Detroit MI
  • TV: FOX

Bears Betting Trends

  • Over their last five games, the Bears have an over/under record of 1-4 and are 2-2-1 vs. the spread.
  • Across their last three road contests, Chicago has a 2-1 record vs the spread. Their overall mark in these games was 1-2, while averaging 23 points per game.
  • Looking back on the team’s last three games as the underdog, the Bears have a straight-up record of 1-2. Their record vs the spread in these games was 2-1.

Lions Betting Trends

  • In their last five games, the Lions have an over/under record of 2-3 and are 4-1 vs. the spread.
  • Across their ten previous home games, Detroit has an ATS mark of 8-2. Their straight-up record in these matchups was 8-2 while averaging 24 points per game.
  • As the betting favorite, the Lions have an ATS record of 3-0 in their last three games. In these matchups, their straight-up record was 3-0.

Will the Bears Come Through as Road Underdogs?

As the Bears face off against their division rival, they are 3-7 overall and have gone 0-2 in their two division games. Heading into week 11, the Bears are in 4th place in the NFC North. When looking at how they have played on the road, they are 1-4 so far this year. As the underdog, Chicago has gone 3-4-1 this season compared to their ATS record of 0-1-1 as the favorite. At home, the Bears are 1-2-2 ATS and 2-3 vs. the spread on the road.

The Bears are coming off a successful game, where they beat the Panthers with a score of 16-13. On the point spread, the Bears were favored by 3, which resulted in an ATS push. The under bettors were successful in the Bears’ most recent game, with a combined total of 29 points. The game’s betting line was 38.

Facing the Panthers’ defense, Chicago’s offense amassed 295 yards in total. On third downs, the Bears converted at a rate of 40%. D’Onta Foreman led the rushing game with 80 yards, while Tyson Bagent threw for 162 yards.

Defensively, the Bears are currently ranked 6th in tackles for loss and 17th in sacks. Their opponents have been putting up an average of 25.5 points per game against them and accumulating 324.2 yards per contest.

Will the Detroit Defense Show Up at Home?

At home, the Lions have a record of 3-1 this season and are 7-2 overall. When looking at the standings, Detroit is 2nd in the NFC and 1st in the NFC-North. On the road, Detroit has gone 4-1 thus far. The Lions’ scoring margin thus far is currently at +4.2. This has contributed to an ATS record of 7-2.

In their previous game, the Lions secured a victory against the Chargers by a score of 41-38. The Lions were able to cover the spread vs. Los Angeles, as they went into the game favored by 2. Going into the game, the over/under line was 48 points with Los Angeles, the team’s performance exceeded the over/under line of 79.

Offensively, Jared Goff totaled 333 passing yards with a completion rate of 69%. On the rushing front, the Lions had 31 attempts, gaining 200 yards. The team converted 4 of 13 third-down attempts.

On the defensive side of the ball, Detroit currently ranks 18th in points allowed. Their opponents have been averaging 22.6 points per game while gaining 310.7 yards per contest.

Lions vs. Bears Player Prop

David Montgomery takes on the Bears with a rushing yards prop of 49.5. The over has a payout of -125, whereas the under pays at -108. The implied odds for the over stand at 56%. This season, David Montgomery currently ranks 21st among running backs in rushing attempts with a total of 501 yards. Going into this week’s game, he has an average of 4 yards per carry. With the Bears’ defense giving up an average of 3.2 yards per rushing attempt, I’d place my bet on Montgomery going under 49.5 rushing yards.

  • The Prop: David Montgomery Under 49.5 Rushing Yards (-108)

Lions VS. Bears Predictions

Since the lines were initially set, Detroit has moved from -8.5 point favorites to their current line of -7.5 (-112). On the other hand, Chicago currently finds themselves as +7.5 (-109) point underdogs on the road.

Even though the Bears are the 7.5-point underdogs on the road, I like them to cover the spread against the Lions. In their last game, the Lions’ defense struggled to get off the field, giving up 24 first downs. Look for the Bears’ offense to take advantage of facing a struggling defense.

The Pick: Bears +7.5 | -109 at Fanduel Sportsbook