Need a Kings vs. Mavericks prediction? We’ve got what you need, as the Mavericks hit the road to face the Kings on Friday, Mar 29 at 10:00 ET. The current total stands at 231, with the Kings being favored by 1 at home. Keep reading to get our Kings vs. Mavericks player props and predictions.
Kings vs. Mavericks Odds
- Spread: Kings -1
- Total 231
Odds via FanDuel SportsBook. New To FanDuel? Check out our FanDuel Sportsbook Review to find out how to redeem a $1,000 risk-free bet!
Game Info
- Date: Friday, Mar 29
- Time: 10:00 ET
- Location: Golden 1 Center, Sacramento CA
- TV: NBCS
Mavericks Betting Trends
- Over their last five games, the Mavericks have an over/under record of 0-5 and are 4-1 vs. the spread.
- In their last ten games away from home, the Mavericks have a straight up record of 6-4 while going 7-3 vs the spread. The team’s offense averaged 122 points per game in these contests.
- In their last three games as the betting underdog, the Mavericks have a strong straight up record of 2-1. In addition, their ATS record was 3-0 in these scenarios.
Kings Betting Trends
- In their last five games, the Kings have an over/under record of 1-4 and are 2-3 vs. the spread.
- Through their last ten home games, Sacramento has an ATS record of just 6-4. However, their overall record was 6-4 while averaging 114 points per game.
- Over the team’s last five games as the favorite, the Kings struggled vs the spread going just 2-3. However, they still had a straight up mark of 3-2.
Will Dallas Shock Everyone at Golden 1 Center?
The Mavericks have won their last five games and are 43-29 on the season, which is good for 6th place in the Western Conference. In the Southwest Division, they are in 2nd place.
Dallas has an average scoring differential of +0.5 points per game on the road this season. Their ATS record on the road is 23-12, and they have covered the spread in their last two road games.
As the underdog, the Mavericks are 11-18 this season and have covered the spread in three straight games. Today, they are getting 1 point against the Kings. On average, they are 4.6 points worse than the spread as the underdog.
In their last game against the Kings, the Mavericks won by a score of 132-96. They were 1-point underdogs going into the game. The O/U line for that game was 233.5, and the teams combined for 228 points.
This season, the Mavericks have an O/U record of 34-38. In their last five games, the under has hit. Today’s O/U line is set at 231, which is lower than their season average of 235.4.
Heading into their matchup against the Sacramento Kings, the Mavericks are one of the NBA’s top scoring teams, averaging 118.8 points per game (6th). On the road, they have been even better, ranking 3rd with 118.3 points per game.
So far this season, Dallas has outscored the NBA scoring average in 61.1% of their games. In terms of pace, the Mavericks are 12th in the league at 99.6 possessions per game.
When it comes to shooting, the Mavericks are 11th in field goal percentage at 48%. They have been particularly effective inside the arc, ranking 4th in two-point shooting percentage. From three-point range, Dallas is 12th in the league at 37%.
Coming into today’s game, the Mavericks’ defense is giving up an average of 116.6 points per contest. Inside the arc, the Mavericks defense is giving up a shooting percentage of 55.2% and 36.5% from three-point territory.
Will Sacramento Find a Way to Win at Home?
Sacramento is favored by 1 point today against the Mavericks. This season, the Kings have been favored in 50 of their 72 games and have a record of 31-19 in those games. As the favorite, they are 22-28 against the spread and 14-21 ATS at home.
In their last game against the Mavericks, the Kings lost by a score of 132-96. Sacramento was favored by 1 point in that game and had an ATS loss. The O/U line for that game was 233.5.
The Kings are 8th in the Western Conference with a record of 42-30. In the Pacific Division, they are 3rd. Sacramento’s ATS record for the season is 36-36, going 22-15 ATS on the road and 14-21 ATS at home.
Sacramento has seen the under hit in their last five games and have a season record of 34-37-1. Today’s O/U line is set at 231, and the average O/U line in Kings games this season is 234.9 points.
At home, the Kings are 8th in the NBA in scoring at 119.1 points per game. Overall, they are 9th in the league at 117.3 points per game. In terms of pace, Sacramento is 11th in the NBA.
So far, the Kings have outscored the NBA scoring average in 61.1% of their games. In terms of field goal percentage, they are 12th in the league at 48%. Sacramento is also 7th in assists at 28.5 per game.
When it comes to three-point shooting, the Kings are 5th in the NBA in made threes at 14.1 per game. However, they are just 17th in three-point shooting percentage at 36%. At the free-throw line, Sacramento is 24th in made free throws at 15.8 per game.
At present, the Kings’ defense is ranked 19th, allowing 116.3 points per game. In the terms of takeaways, Kings are causing 12.6 turnovers per game, ranking 16th in the league. They also enter the matchup ranked 29th in rejections, averaging 4.2 blocked shots each game.
Kings vs. Mavericks Player Prop
A player prop we are looking at is De’Aaron Fox and his points prop of 25.5. Currently, the over for this prop is sitting at a payout of -113 while the under is at -121. According to our projections, De’Aaron Fox is expected to record 25 points, 4 rebounds, and 5 assists. Regarding his points prop, we recommend taking the under at 25.5.
- The Prop: De’Aaron Fox Under 25.5 Points (-121)
Kings vs. Mavericks Predictions
As the underdogs with a spread of +1, we recommend going with the Mavericks on the point spread. We not only see them covering the spread but also have a strong likelihood of winning this one outright, especially if you’re seeking a higher payout on the moneyline.
As for the total, the line is currently sitting at 231 and our model has the Mavericks and Kings finishing with a combined 223 points. Our pick is to take the under.
The Pick: Mavericks +1 | at Fanduel Sportsbook