The Hornets are set to face the Miami Heat on Tuesday, Nov 14. The game is scheduled for 7:00 ET while airing on BSSE. Miami enters this game as 3.5-point favorites with the total set at 225. How will this one play out? Let’s dive into the Hornets vs. Heat players props and predictions below.
Hornets vs. Heat Odds
- Spread: Heat -3.5
- Total 225
Game Info
- Date: Tuesday, Nov 14
- Time: 7:00 ET
- Location: Spectrum Center, Charlotte NC
- TV: BSSE
Heat Betting Trends
- Over their last five games, the Heat have an over/under record of 2-3 and are 3-2 vs. the spread.
- In their last three road games, Miami has averaged 114 points per game while allowing 108. The team’s record in this stretch was 3-0 while going 3-0 vs. the spread.
- Although the Heat have a strong straight up record in their last five games as the betting favorite, they have not done as well vs the spread going 2-3.
Hornets Betting Trends
- In their last five games, the Hornets have an over/under record of 2-3 and are 2-3 vs. the spread.
- When looking at their past five home matchups, Charlotte has an ATS record of 3-2 while averaging 118 per game. The team went 2-3 overall in these games.
- Through their last three games as the betting underdog, the Hornets have a strong record vs the spread going 2-1. Their straight up mark in these contests is 1-2.
Will the Heat Defense Show Up in Charlotte?
Coming into today’s matchup, the Heat will be looking to build on their current five game winning streak and their overall record is currently 6-4. In their 10 games, the Heat have achieved a 3-3 record in games against Eastern Conference teams, and they have a 3-1 record in non-conference play.
In their latest game, the Heat offense put up 118 points against the Spurs. They recorded an overall field goal percentage of 43.8% and made 12 threes. The top scorer for the Heat was Duncan Robinson with 26 points, while Bam Adebayo also added 24 to the scoreboard.
At this time, the Heat’s defense is positioned 9th in the NBA, permitting 110.3 points per game.
When it comes to forced turnovers, the Heat are forcing 13.7 per game, which is 13th in the league. They also come into the game sitting 28th in blocked shots at 3.7 per game.
Will Charlotte Come Through as Home Underdogs?
The Hornets will face the Heat bringing in an overall record of 3-6 and a 0-3 record over their previous three games. At the moment, the team holds 13th place in the Eastern Conference and 4th place in the Southeast Division.
In contrast to their season average of 116.1 points per game, the Hornets had a below average performance. They scored 107 points against the Knicks and had a field goal percentage of 46.8%. Currently leading the team in scoring is LaMelo Ball who comes into today’s matchup averaging 21.6. Gordon Hayward also heads into the game with a PPG average of 17.2.
Looking at the Hornets defense, they will be looking for a better performance considering they are currently conceding 123.1 points per game (29th).
When it comes to forced turnovers, the Hornets are forcing 13.8 per game, which is 14th in the league. They also come into the game sitting 16th in blocked shots at 5.3 per game.
Hornets vs. Heat Player Prop
A player prop we are looking at is Bam Adebayo and his points prop of 23.5. Currently, the over for this prop is sitting at a payout of -110 while the under is at -115. In his matchup vs. the Hornets, we are recommending to take the under on Bam Adebayo and his prop of 23.5 points. Our player projection model has him falling short of his prop with a projected 17.
- The Prop: Bam Adebayo Under 23.5 Points (-115)
Hornets vs. Heat Predictions
Our bet is on the Heat for a win, and we project the score to be 111-106. Additionally, we expect them to cover the spread, so our recommendation is to wager on the Heat with the spread at -3.5.
Right now, the over/under line for the game is sitting at 225 and given that our model is projecting 217 points between the teams, we like the under.
The Pick: Heat -3.5