The Heat are set to face the Phoenix Suns on Monday, Jan 29. The game is scheduled for 7:30 ET while airing on NBA. Miami enters this game as 3.5-point favorites with the total set at 229.5. How will this one play out? Let’s dive into the Heat vs Suns player props and predictions below.
Heat vs. Suns Odds
- Spread: Heat -3.5
- Total 229.5
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Game Info
- Date: Monday, Jan 29
- Time: 7:30 ET
- Location: Kaseya Center, Miami FL
- TV: NBA
Suns Betting Trends
- Over their last five games, the Suns have an over/under record of 1-4 and are 1-3-1 vs. the spread.
- Across their three previous road games, Phoenix has an ATS mark of 1-2. Their straight up record in these matchups was 1-2 while averaging 120 points per game.
- In their last five games as the betting underdog, the Suns have a straight up record of 2-3 and an ATS mark of 2-3.
Heat Betting Trends
- In their last five games, the Heat have an over/under record of 1-4 and are 2-3 vs. the spread.
- In their last three games at home, the Heat have a straight up record of 0-3 while going 0-3 vs the spread. The team’s offense averaged 97 points per game in these contests.
- Going back to their previous three games as the favorite, Miami has an ATS mark of 0-3 while going 0-3 straight up.
Will Phoenix Be The Talk of Kaseya Center?
Overall, the Suns are 26-20 and are 1-2 in their last three games. On the road, the Suns are 12-9 compared to 14-11 at home.
In their most recent game against the Magic, the Suns’ offense only put up 98 points. In that game, they shot 14 three-pointers and had a field goal percentage of 56.2%. So far this season, the Suns rank 6th in the NBA with a 49% field goal percentage. When it comes to three-point shooting, they are 11th in percentage and 22nd in made three-pointers.
So far this season, the Suns’ defense has been solid, ranking 15th in the NBA at 114.4 points per game allowed. Their three-point defense has been average, as opponents have hit 37.0% of their attempts from beyond the arc.
One area where Phoenix has excelled is in blocking shots, ranking 7th in the league at 5.9 rejections per contest. They have also done a good job of keeping opponents off the free-throw line, ranking 7th in made free throws allowed per game.
Over their last five games, the Suns’ defense has been even better, ranking 11th in field goal percentage allowed at 47.2%. During that stretch, they have been particularly good at defending inside the arc, allowing opponents to shoot just 52.5% on two-point attempts.
Will the Heat Find a Way to Win at Home?
Heading into their matchup with the Suns, the Heat are 24-22 on the season and are eager to end their six game skid. In the Eastern Conference, the team is 7th overall and holds the top spot in the Southeast division.
In their home games, Miami is putting up 114.0 points per game, which is 21st in the league. For the season, they are 27th in scoring at 110.5 points per game. Over their last three games, Miami has an effective field goal percentage of 51.3%, which is slightly below their season-long mark of 53% (22nd). In their most recent five games, Miami is shooting 35.9% from three, which is 14th in the league.
When looking at the Miami Heat’s defense, they are currently 7th in the NBA in points allowed per game at 111.6. In terms of their three-point defense, opponents are shooting 37.4% from beyond the arc, which is 24th in the league.
One area where the Heat have been strong defensively is in terms of free throws allowed, as they are 5th in the NBA at 20.6 made free throws allowed per game.
Over their last five games, Miami’s defense has struggled, allowing opponents to shoot 50.8% from the field and 45.7% from three-point range. However, opposing offenses have made just 17.8 free throws per game during that stretch.
Heat vs. Suns Player Props
A player prop we are looking at is Devin Booker and his points prop of 30.5.
Currently, the over for this prop is sitting at a payout of +100 while the under is at -130. With his prop at 30.5, our model suggests taking the over as we have him finishing with 31. We have him finishing with a field goal percentage of 52.4% and knocking down two threes.
- The Prop: Devin Booker Over 30.5 Points (+100)
More NBA Prop Picks For Monday
Heat vs. Suns Predictions
Coming in as the underdogs at +3.5, we have the Suns as the way to go on the point spread. Not only do we have them covering, but our projections show they have a good one of winning this one straight-up if you’re looking for a higher payout on the moneyline.
Right now, the over/under line for the game is sitting at 229.5, and given that our model is projecting 236 points between the teams, we like the over.
The Pick: Suns +3.5 | at Fanduel Sportsbook