Here we go with Game 3 of the NBA Finals, and we’ll look into the top three Heat vs. Nuggets player props for this matchup in South Beach.
Our strategy is rolling these three props into a same game parlay on Thrive Fantasy — which is a great option for people who don’t have fully legalized sports betting in their location. Still, you can bet on these props individually as well if that’s your preference.
Below, we’ll crunch numbers, rummage through the stats, and maybe even consult a psychic octopus to give you the lowdown on what’s hot and what’s not in this high-stakes contest. With that, let’s hop into the Heat vs. Nuggets player props for Game 3!
Heat vs. Nuggets Player Props: Game 3
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Prop 1: Jimmy Butler Over 6.5 Assists
This was listed as the top selection in our deep dive of the best Jimmy Butler props for Game 3. Miami’s top option has gone over 6.5 assists in three of his last four games, which includes both contests against the Nuggets in the NBA Finals.
It’s clear that Denver is trying to neutralize Butler as a scorer, and the veteran has repeatedly stepped up by finding the open man to pad his assist total. The Heat shot poorly in Game 1, and Butler still came through with 7 assists. Then Miami caught fire in Game 2, and Butler improved his assists total with 9 dimes.
I’m expecting Miami to hold a strong shooting percentage at home on Wednesday, which should help Butler exceed 6.5 assists once again.
Looking for a game prediction? Check out our Heat vs. Nuggets predictions, odds, and picks article for our favorite bet on Game 3!
Prop 2: Nikola Jokic Over 40.5 Points + Rebounds
Last game, Jokic went over this number on points alone, pouring in 41 despite losing by three in Game 2. It appears that Miami doesn’t have an answer for him in this series, and the Heat will likely focus on shutting down Denver’s other options (Michael Porter Jr & Jamal Murray) instead of solving the impossible task of limiting Jokic.
The two-time MVP has been on fire in the playoffs, and that shouldn’t be a surprise. After all, he’s averaging nearly 40 minutes per game, which gives him plenty of playing time to pad his stats. Because of that, he’s averaging nearly 30 points and 13 rebounds per game in the postseason.
Jokic has gone over 40.5 points + rebounds in 11 of his last 14 games. All three misses have been close too.
You can find more breakdowns on Nikola Jokic props for Game 3 by clicking here.
Prop 3: Bam Adebayo Over 22.5 Points + Assists
Adebayo has stepped up in the scoring department this series, but he has been passing the ball extremely well too. Miami’s offense is predicated on finding the open man, and Adebayo has executed that strategy with 5, 7, 5, and 4 assists respectively in his last four games.
The Miami big man has recorded 31 and 25 points + assists in two games against Denver in this series. There’s a decent chance he could go over this prop number based on points alone, but having a handful or so assists won’t hurt. Take the over!