The Heat are gearing up to take on the New York Knicks on Tuesday, Apr 2. The game is slated for 7:30 ET and will be broadcast on BSSU. Miami comes into this game as 3-point favorites with the total set at 207.5. How will this matchup unfold? Let’s get into the Heat vs. Knicks predictions below.
Heat vs. Knicks Odds
- Spread: Heat -3
- Total 207.5
Odds via FanDuel SportsBook. New To FanDuel? Check out our FanDuel Sportsbook Review to find out how to redeem a $1,000 risk-free bet!
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Game Info
- Date: Tuesday, Apr 2
- Time: 7:30 ET
- Location: Kaseya Center, Miami FL
- TV: BSSU
Knicks Betting Trends
- Over their last five games, the Knicks have an over/under record of 4-1 and are 4-1 vs. the spread.
- Through their last ten road contests, the Knicks offense has averaged 111 points per game while allowing an average of 105. New York posted an overall record of 6-4 while going 5-4-1 ATS.
- Going back to their previous ten games as the underdog, New York has an ATS mark of 5-5 while going 4-6 straight up.
Heat Betting Trends
- In their last five games, the Heat have an over/under record of 2-3 and are 2-3 vs. the spread.
- In their last ten games at home, the Heat have a straight up record of 6-4 while going 7-3 vs the spread. The team’s offense averaged 106 points per game in these contests.
- As the betting favorite, the Heat have an ATS record of 3-2 in their last five games. In these matchups their, straight up record was 4-1.
Is an Upset Waiting to Happen on the Road?
Today, the Knicks are looking to end a two-game losing streak as they take on the Heat. New York is currently 44-30 on the season, which has them in 4th place in the Eastern Conference.
In games against other Eastern Conference teams, the Knicks are 30-15 compared to 14-15 in non-conference games. Within the Atlantic Division, they are in 2nd place.
As the underdog, the Knicks have gone 12-20 this season, and they are 15-17 ATS as the underdog. On average, they have been outscored by -3.1 points per game as the underdog.
New York’s last game was a 113-112 loss to the Thunder. They were 2-point underdogs going into the game. This gave the Knicks an ATS record of 41-32 for the season.
The O/U record for the Knicks this season is 29-44-1, and their games have averaged 220.5 points per game. In their last four games, the O/U record is 4-0.
So far this season, the Knicks have been one of the top offensive rebounding teams in the league, grabbing an average of 12.9 per game. However, they have struggled to move the ball, ranking 29th in assists at 24.2 per game.
When it comes to scoring, the Knicks have been below the NBA average in 58.1% of their games. Overall, they are 20th in scoring at 112.6 points per game. On the road, they have been slightly better, averaging 114.5 points per game compared to 110.7 at home.
One area where the Knicks have excelled is three-point shooting. They are 11th in the league in both three-point makes and attempts, hitting 36% of their shots from beyond the arc. In terms of pace, the Knicks are the slowest team in the NBA at 94.9 possessions per game.
This season, the Knicks defense has been impressive, holding the 2nd position in the league while permitting an average of 107.9 points per contest. When it comes to defending inside the arc, the Knicks squad is permitting opposing teams to shoot at a clip of 53.9% inside the arc, and they’re also giving up 36.2% from downtown.
Will Miami Secure A Victory as Home Favorites?
The Heat have won two straight games on the road and have covered the spread in both of those games. As the favorite, they are 19-20 against the spread on the road and 30-12 straight-up.
Miami’s ATS record at home is 14-22, and they are 3-point favorites today against the Knicks. They have covered the spread in three straight games as the favorite.
In their win over the Wizards, the teams combined for 226 points, surpassing the O/U line of 213.5. This improved Miami’s over/under record for the season to 28-46.
The average O/U line in Miami’s games this season is 221.1, which is higher than today’s line of 207.5. In 70 of their games, the O/U line has been higher than 207.5.
Miami is 41-33 this season, which is good for 7th place in the Eastern Conference. Against the East, they are 28-18 and 12-3 against the Southeast Division.
At home, the Heat are averaging 112.5 points per game, which is 21st in the NBA. Overall, they are 27th in scoring at 109.9 points per game. In terms of field goal percentage, Miami is 23rd in the league at 46%. They are also 29th in pace.
So far this season, the Heat have outscored the NBA scoring average in 37.8% of their games. In terms of three-point shooting, they are 13th in the league at 37%. When it comes to assists, Miami is 21st in the NBA.
When compared to the league average, the Heat are below average in two-point shooting percentage (27th). In terms of free throws, Miami is 10th in the NBA at 18 made per game.
At present, the Heat’s defense is ranked 4th, allowing 108.5 points per game. Opponents are hitting 55.3% of their two-point field goal attempts this season, and they’re also connecting on 35.9% of their three-point attempts.
Heat vs. Knicks Player Prop
A player prop we are looking at is Jalen Brunson and his points prop of 28.5. Currently, the over for this prop is sitting at a payout of -110 while the under is at -120. With his prop at 28.5, our model suggests taking the over as we have him finishing with 31. We have him finishing with a field goal percentage of 47.8% and knocking down three threes.
- The Prop: Jalen Brunson Over 28.5 Points (-110)
Heat vs. Knicks Predictions
The Heat is our pick to not only win with a projected score of 113-109. But we also favor them to cover the spread. Our bet is on the Heat at -3.
As for the over/under, the line is currently at 207.5, and our model projects the Knicks and Heat to reach a combined total of 222 points. Our bet is on taking the over.
The Pick: Heat -3 | at Fanduel Sportsbook