Guardians vs. Roughnecks Predictions, Odds & Picks – Saturday, March 11

Orlando Guardians quarterback Paxton Lynch (6) drops back to pass against the Houston Roughnecks in the first quarter at TDECU Stadium.
Image Credit: Thomas Shea-USA TODAY Sports

Week 4 of the XFL season kicks off with the Guardians vs. the Roughnecks on Saturday, March 11. The game is scheduled for 7 pm ET while airing on FX. The Houston Roughnecks enter this game as 8.5-point favorites with the total set at 37.5. How will this one play out? Let’s dive into the Guardians vs. Roughnecks predictions below.

Guardians vs. Roughnecks Odds

  • Spread: Roughnecks -8.5
  • Total: 37.5

Odds via FanDuel Sportsbook. New to FanDuel? Check out our FanDuel Sportsbook Review to find out how to redeem a $1,000 risk-free bet!

Game Info

  • Date: Saturday, March 11
  • Time: 7 pm ET
  • Location: Camping World Stadium, Orlando, FL
  • TV: FX

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Guardians Betting Trends

  • Lost 12-33 at Roughnecks in Week 1.
  • Lost 12-30 vs. Brahmas in Week 2.
  • Lost 9-10 at Renegades in Week 3.

Roughnecks Betting Trends

  • Won 33-12 vs. Guardians in Week 1.
  • Won 23-14 vs. Renegades in Week 2.
  • Won 22-13 vs. Brahmas in Week 3.

Guardians vs. Roughnecks Predictions

These teams met each other in Week 1, and the Roughnecks ran away with a 33-12 victory. At this stage in the season, it appears that the Roughnecks are the best team in the XFL and the Guardians are the worst. Will that trend continue in Week 4, or will Orlando figure things out enough to cover the 8.5 point spread?

The answer to that question is still a resounding “no”. The Guardians have issues on both the offensive and defensive lines, and that’s where the Roughnecks strength lies. Expect Houston to get plenty of pressure on Orlando QB Paxton Lynch (similar to Week 1) in order to run away with this game.

Sure, this is a large spread for an XFL game, but Houston has the upper hand to win by double-digits yet again.

The Pick: Roughnecks -8.5 | -110 at FanDuel Sportsbook