Falcons vs. Saints Player Props & Predictions – Sunday, Nov 26

Atlanta Falcons wide receiver Drake London (5) reacts after making a catch and losing his helmet against the Houston Texans during the second half at Mercedes-Benz Stadium.
Image Credit: Dale Zanine-USA TODAY Sports

The Falcons are ready to clash with the New Orleans Saints on Sunday, Nov 26. This week 12 matchup is set to kick off at 1:00 ET and will be televised on FOX. Atlanta enters this game as a 1-point favorite, and the over/under total is currently at 42. Can the Falcons pull this one out as the favorite? Below, you will find our Falcons vs. Saints player props and predictions.

Falcons VS. Saints Odds

  • Spread: Falcons -1
  • Total 42

Game Info

  • Date: Sunday, Nov 26
  • Time: 1:00 ET
  • Location: Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta GA
  • TV: FOX

Saints Betting Trends

  • Over their last five games, the Saints have an over/under record of 3-2 and are 1-4 vs. the spread.
  • When looking at their past three road matchups, New Orleans has an ATS record of 1-2 while averaging 23 per game. The team went 1-2 overall in these games.
  • New Orleans has done well both straight up and vs the spread as the underdog, going 3-2 SU and 3-2 ATS in their last five games.

Falcons Betting Trends

  • In their last five games, the Falcons have an over/under record of 2-3 and are 1-4 vs. the spread.
  • In their last ten games at home, the Falcons have a straight up record of 1-9 while going 2-8 vs the spread. The team’s offense averaged 14 points per game in these contests.
  • In their last three games as the betting favorite, the Falcons have a straight-up record of 0-3 and an ATS mark of 0-3.

Will the Saints Make it Happen on the Road?

In their game against the Falcons, the Saints will aim to improve their 5-5 record. This positions them 1st in the NFC-South and 4th in the NFC. The Saints’ scoring margin heading into this week’s game is at +1.6, putting their ATS record at 2-7-1.

In the previous game, the Saints lost by a score of 27-19 against the Vikings. In addition to their defeat in the game, the Saints also fell short of covering the spread as 3-point favorites. With a set over/under line of 40.5 points, the game concluded with a combined total of 46 points, surpassing the betting line.

On offense, the Saints finished with 280 yards against the Vikings. On third-down situations, the Saints had a 28.6% conversion rate. Notably, Alvin Kamara led the rushing attack with 42 yards, while Jameis Winston passed for 122 yards.

New Orleans is 8th in points allowed defensively. So far, their opponents are putting up an average of 19.8 points per game, accumulating 312.7 yards per contest.

Is a Home Win Possible for Atlanta?

The Falcons currently hold the 2nd spot in the NFC-South this season, with an overall record of 4-6. In games outside their conference, they have a 1-2 record, and in NFC games, they have a NFC record. The Falcons hold a 2-8 record against the spread. As we approach week 12, their scoring margin stands at -2.8 per game.

Last time they played, the Falcons were handed a 25-23 loss by the Cardinals. Besides their straight-up loss, the Falcons also failed to cover the spread as 2-point favorites. With the over/under line set at 43.5 points, the over hit with a combined 48 points.

Offensively, Taylor Heinicke finished with 55 passing yards while completing 53% of his passes. On the ground, the Falcons ran the ball 41 times for 184 yards. The team went 7/14 on third down.

When it comes to yards allowed, the Falcons rank 7th in the league, conceding an average of 308.8 yards per contest. Atlanta’s defense has allowed 21.7 points per game, which has them 17th in the NFL.

Falcons vs. Saints Player Prop

The rushing yards prop for Alvin Kamara against the Falcons is at 48.5. A bet on the over has a payout of -114 compared to the under at -120. The implied odds for the over are 53%. Alvin Kamara faces the Falcons as the 23rd-ranked running back in rushing attempts for the season, amassing 388 yards. Coming into the game, his average yards per carry stands at 3. Going up against a Falcons rush defense that’s currently ranked 14th in rushing yards allowed, I see Kamara receiving plenty of carries and surpassing 48.5 yards.

  • The Prop: Alvin Kamara Over 48.5 Rushing Yards (-114)

Falcons VS. Saints Predictions

Atlanta initially opened as a 1.5-point favorite at home. The lines have shifted, now standing at Atlanta -1.

After a lackluster performance in the passing game against Arizona, I’m not expecting Atlanta to bounce back quickly. This is why I’m leaning towards New Orleans as a 1-point underdog.

The Pick: Saints +1 | -110 at Fanduel Sportsbook