Stars vs. Flames Player Props, Picks and Predictions – Thursday, Nov. 30

Oct 26, 2023; Calgary, Alberta, CAN; Calgary Flames defenseman MacKenzie Weegar (52) during the third period against the St. Louis Blues at Scotiabank Saddledome.
Image Credit: Sergei Belski-USA TODAY Sports

We have your Dallas Stars vs. Calgary Flames prop betting and game preview needs covered as the Dallas Stars hit the road to face the Calgary Flames.

The Dallas Stars (13-5-2) are set to face off against the Calgary Flames (9-10-3) in a Western Conference showdown. With the Stars looking to extend their road dominance and the Flames aiming to climb the conference rankings, this matchup promises to be a battle of resilience and strategy.

Dallas Stars vs. Calgary Flames Odds Info

Moneyline: Dallas Stars -130 (FanDuel) / Calgary Flames +115 (PointsBet)

Puck Line: +1.5 – Dallas Stars +175 (PointsBet) / Calgary Flames -205 (DraftKings)

Total: 6.0 – +100 (DraftKings) / -120 (DraftKings)

Game Info

Date: Thursday, Nov. 30

Time: 09:00 PM

Location: Scotiabank Saddledome – Calgary, AB

TV: ESPN+

Dallas Stars Betting Trends

  • On the road this season, the Dallas Stars have 8 wins and 2 losses.
  • As the favorite this season, the Dallas Stars have 11 wins and 6 losses.
  • This season, the Dallas Stars have hit 10 overs and 10 unders.

Calgary Flames Betting Trends

  • At home this season, the Calgary Flames have 4 wins and 4 losses.
  • As the underdog this season, the Calgary Flames have 4 wins and 6 losses.
  • This season, the Calgary Flames have hit 13 overs and 9 unders.

Historic Head-to-Head Stats and Analysis

Over the last two seasons, the Calgary Flames and Dallas Stars have faced off in a series of five games, with the Flames emerging victorious in three of these encounters while the Stars claimed two wins. These matchups span from January 2023 to November 2023, showcasing a competitive edge between the two teams. Interestingly, the visiting team has swept all five games, indicating a trend where home-ice advantage did not play a significant role in the outcomes. When it comes to betting statistics, the Calgary Flames have consistently outperformed expectations, covering the spread in four out of the five games, while the Dallas Stars have only managed to do so once. Additionally, all five games have been high-scoring affairs, with the total score surpassing the over-under line each time, marking a tendency for offensive prowess to dominate these matchups. Other notable statistics include the Flames’ strong faceoff win percentage and the Stars’ effective power play percentage in their respective victories.

The most recent game between the Calgary Flames and the Dallas Stars took place on November 24, 2023, where the Flames secured a decisive 7-4 victory over the Stars. In this high-scoring affair, the Flames demonstrated their offensive capabilities, with players such as Wyatt Johnston, A.J. Greer, Jason Robertson, Yegor Sharangovich, Joe Pavelski, Adam Ruzicka, Mikael Backlund, and Nazem Kadri all contributing to the score sheet. The Flames excelled in faceoffs, winning 55.8% of the draws, which likely contributed to their control of the game. Despite the Stars’ power play clicking at a 33.3% success rate, it was not enough to overcome the Flames’ even-strength dominance. The game ended with a total score of 11, comfortably exceeding the closing over-under line of 6.5, and the Flames covered the spread as the visiting underdogs with a final score spread of 3, against a closing spread of -1.5.

Dallas Stars vs. Calgary Flames Predictions

The Dallas Stars are riding high with an impressive 8-1-1 road record, showcasing their ability to perform under pressure away from home. The Stars’ success can be attributed to their balanced attack, led by center Joe Pavelski, who tops the team with 10 goals and 20 points. Left winger Jason Robertson has also been a key playmaker, contributing 13 assists. Dallas’ defensive prowess has been notable as well, allowing the third-fewest scoring and second-fewest high-danger opportunities in the league, which will be crucial against a Flames team looking to ignite their offense.

On the other side, the Calgary Flames are seeking consistency after a turbulent start to the season. Center Elias Lindholm has been a beacon of productivity, leading the team with 15 points, while forward Blake Coleman has netted 6 goals. The Flames have shown flashes of brilliance, particularly in their recent 2-1 overtime victory against the Vegas Golden Knights, but they will need to bolster their offensive game to match the Stars’ tight defensive unit. Calgary’s ability to win faceoffs and capitalize on power-play opportunities could be the difference-maker in this contest.

This game also features a compelling goaltender matchup, with Dallas’ Jake Oettinger boasting a top-10 save percentage against Calgary’s Jacob Markstrom, who is expected to return after a brief illness. Both teams have star players capable of turning the tide of the game, and it will be interesting to see which team’s strategy prevails. With the Stars looking to avenge a previous 7-4 loss to the Flames, and Calgary aiming to build on their home record, this game is set to be a pivotal moment in the season for both teams.

Dallas Stars vs. Calgary Flames Pick

The Dallas Stars enter this matchup with a formidable road record and a strong defensive game that has been a cornerstone of their success this season. With the Stars allowing the third-fewest scoring and second-fewest high-danger opportunities, they are well-equipped to handle the Flames’ offensive efforts. Additionally, the Stars’ goaltender Jake Oettinger has been exceptional, with a top-10 save percentage that will be crucial in this contest. Considering the Stars’ recent performance and their motivation to avenge their previous loss to the Flames, the Dallas Stars moneyline bet offers a promising opportunity for bettors.

While the historic head-to-head data suggests that the visiting team has had the upper hand in recent matchups, this trend supports the Stars’ strong road record and their ability to perform away from home. The Flames have struggled to find consistency this season, and despite their recent overtime win, they face a Dallas team that is both defensively solid and offensively capable. The Stars’ recent form, combined with their desire for redemption, makes the Dallas Stars moneyline bet a compelling choice for this game.

The Pick: Dallas Stars -130 (FanDuel)

Dallas Stars vs. Calgary Flames Player Prop Picks

Here are the players who have hit over their current prop line in at least 7 of their last 10 games.

Dallas Stars

Player Name Prop Line Over Rate Over Odds Under Odds Last 10 Average Projection
Joe Pavelski Points 0.5 9/10 -130 +100 1.0 0.95
Joe Pavelski Shots On Goal 1.5 9/10 -190 +145 2.6 2.40
Matt Duchene Points 0.5 8/10 -125 -105 1.2 1.12
Matt Duchene Assists 0.5 7/10 +154 -200 0.8 0.80
Jason Robertson Assists 0.5 7/10 +120 -150 0.7 0.80
Jason Robertson Points 0.5 8/10 -175 +135 1.1 1.02
Miro Heiskanen Shots On Goal 1.5 7/10 -180 +140 2.5 2.02

Calgary Flames

Player Name Prop Line Over Rate Over Odds Under Odds Last 10 Average Projection
MacKenzie Weegar Shots On Goal 2.5 7/10 +120 -150 3.3 3.39