Cowboys vs. Patriots Predictions, Odds & Player Props – Week 4

Dallas Cowboys running back Tony Pollard (20) celebrates his touchdown during the first quarter against the Detroit Lions at Ford Field.
Image Credit: Tim Fuller-USA TODAY Sports

Looking for Cowboys vs. Patriots predictions and player props? We have you covered as the Patriots travel to take on the Cowboys on Sunday, October 1 at 4:25 ET. Currently, the total sits at 43.5 with the Cowboys favored by 6.5 at home.

Cowboys vs. Patriots Odds

  • Spread: Cowboys -6.5
  • Total 43.5

Game Info

  • Date: Sunday, Oct 1
  • Time: 4:25 ET
  • Location: AT&T Stadium, Arlington TX
  • TV: FOX

Patriots Betting Trends

  • Over their last five games, the Patriots have an over/under record of 3-2 and are 1-4 vs. the spread.
  • Across the Patriots last five road games, the team averaged 23 points per game while allowing 24. Their record vs the spread in these contests was 2-3, while going 2-3 straight-up.
  • Going back to their last five games as the underdog, the Patriots have a straight up record of 0-5. But, their mark vs the spread was just 0-5.

Cowboys Betting Trends

  • In their last five games, the Cowboys have an over/under record of 5-0 and are 3-2 vs. the spread.
  • In their last five games at home, the Cowboys have a straight up record of 2-3 while going 2-3 vs. the spread. The team averaged 21 points per game in this stretch.
  • As the betting favorite, the Cowboys have an ATS record of 2-1 in their last three games. In these matchups, their straight up record was 2-1.

Do the Patriots Have a Shot at a Win at Arlington?

three games into the season, the Patriots hold a 1-2 record. This has them 3rd within the AFC-East and 8th in the AFC. When it comes to the spread, the Patriots have a 1-2 record. Heading into week 4, their scoring margin is at -2.3 (per game).

During their last game, the Patriots came out on top against the Jets, finishing with a score of 15-10. Given that they were favored by 2.5 against the Jets, the Patriots picked up an ATS win. In their most recent game against New York, the pre-game over/under line was set at 35.5 leading the under to hit with a combined total of 25 points.

Offensively, Mac Jones ended with 201 passing yards with a completion rate of 51%. The Patriots ran the ball 40 times, gaining 157 yards. The team converted 8 of 19 third-down opportunities.

The New England defense has recorded two takeaways this season, which places them 8th in the NFL. In terms of points allowed, their average of 19.7 is 9th in the league while giving up 270.3 yards per contest.

Is a Home Win Possible for Dallas?

Having played three games, the Cowboys have a record of 2-1. This puts them at 2nd in the NFC-East and 6th in the NFC. The Cowboys have put together a record of 2-1 against the spread. This mark has come on an average scoring margin of +16.

After their 28-16 loss to the Cardinals, the Cowboys are looking to bounce back in week 4. Along with their outright defeat, the Cowboys couldn’t cover the spread despite being favored by 11.5. The game’s over/under line was 43.5 points, leading to the over hitting with a combined 44 points.

Against the Cardinals, the Cowboys ran the ball 33 times, with Tony Pollard leading the team with 122 yards. Dak Prescott threw the ball 40 times for 249 yards and a passer rating of 78.

The Cowboys are currently 3rd in tackles for loss and 2nd in sacks on defense. Their opponents are scoring an average of 12.7 points per game and gaining 262.0 yards per contest against them.

Cowboys vs. Patriots Player Prop

Cowboys RB Rico Dowdle is currently 27th among running backs in rushing attempts this season, accumulating 71 yards across three games so far. As he enters this week’s game, his average yards per carry stands at 4.

Dowdle is up against the league’s 9th-ranked rush defense, so I’m going to be getting my bet down on the under for Rico Dowdle’s prop of 13.5 rushing yards.

The Prop: Rico Dowdle Under 13.5 Rushing Yards (-115)

Cowboys vs. Patriots Predictions

For this matchup, I like New England to cover as 6.5-point underdogs. New England is coming off a game in which they ran the ball well against the Jets, and are going to look to slow this game down by keeping it on the ground. Look for this to be a closer game than expected, making New England a good play on the spread.

The Pick: Patriots +6.5 | -110 at Fanduel Sportsbook